UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE // INFO-SA ONLY // UNVERIFIED CLAIMS
CLAIM MAPIran–USA / Strait of Hormuz · 2026

UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — FOR INFORMATION & SITUATIONAL AWARENESS ONLY — NOT FOR TARGETING OR OPERATIONAL USE

WEEKLY SITREP · IRAN–USA · UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — INFO/SA ONLY

Weekly Situation Report — Iran–USA / Strait of Hormuz

DTG091924Z OCT 2026
Period covered2026-10-03 00:00Z – 2026-10-09 23:59Z (7 UTC days)
Data cutoff2026-10-09 16:30Z (latest claim record in window)
OriginatorIran–USA / Strait of Hormuz Claim Map — automated open-source claim aggregation (not an official body)
Basis299 claim records · 240 source links · machine-readable: report.json

UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — INFO/SA ONLY. Every number below is a claim by the named party. Totals are “CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED”.

1. Situation overview (BLUF)

  • 299 open-source claim records were logged on this map between 03 Oct and 09 Oct 2026 (UTC), citing 240 distinct source links. All are UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED. Map side tags: Iran 117, Other 87, USA 58, Unknown 37.
  • Most-reported locations: Strait of Hormuz (EST) (29); Strait of Hormuz — main corridor (EST) (20); Tehran (EST) (17); Southern / Omani-side Hormuz route (EST) (8); Washington, DC (EST) (7).
  • Iran / IRGC side: 2 Iran / IRGC personnel killed, claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) (1 event(s), deduped) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (1 claim record).
  • Other / commercial shipping & third parties side: 3 Other / commercial shipping & third parties personnel killed, claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources (1 event(s), deduped) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (1 claim record).
  • Territory: no territorial-gain claims found in the records; no assessed change in the map’s EST territory layer.
  • Units layer: 30 new unit/actor entries and 7 EST position updates (≥5 km) — all NOT CONFIRMED / ESTIMATED.
  • 1 figure-claim(s) could not be assigned to the side that suffered the loss and are listed under “Side unclear” in Section 2.

2. Weekly totals by side

Losses are grouped by the side that SUFFERED them (target / victim parsed from the claim text and the claimant — not the map’s side tag); “Side unclear” holds figures whose victim could not be determined. Each figure is the sum of this week’s per-event claims, credited to the party making the claim. Repeat reports of one event are counted once; where reports conflict a low–high range is shown. Rolling official tallies are in Section 3 and are not included here. Different claimants are never added together. All totals: CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED.

Losses suffered by: United States / partners

Civilian casualties — Civilians (US / partner states): no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

No per-event figures attributed to United States / partners as target/loser were found in this week’s records (data missing — not evidence of zero).

Losses suffered by: Iran / IRGC

Civilian casualties — Civilians in Iran: no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
PersonnelPersonnel killed2
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-05 · Bampur–Iranshahr road, Sistan & Baluchestan (EST) · 2 — src “Per ISW-CTP Oct 5: the Mobarizoun Popular Front claimed an Oct 5 attack on an Iranian Law Enforcement Command patrol on the Bampur–Iranshahr road, killing two o”
PersonnelPersonnel killed1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-05 · Rask, Sistan & Baluchestan (EST) · 1 — src “a Baloch rights group reported gunmen killed at least three occupants of a vehicle carrying alleged plainclothes security personnel near Jakigur Bridge, while I”
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area

Losses suffered by: Other / commercial shipping & third parties

Civilian casualties — Civilians / seafarers (commercial shipping & third countries): no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
PersonnelPersonnel killed3
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-05 · Rask, Sistan & Baluchestan (EST) · 3 — src “a Baloch rights group reported gunmen killed at least three occupants of a vehicle carrying alleged plainclothes security personnel near Jakigur Bridge, while I”
Equipment / infrastructureArmor (tanks, AFVs, APCs)4
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-05 · Strait of Hormuz — Omani side (EST) · 4 — src “four tanker attacks (three time-late reports from Oct 3–4, including an inbound LPG tanker hit at 1716 UTC and a crude tanker at 1907 UTC on Oct 4, plus 156-26 ”
Equipment / infrastructureShips / vessels1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-05 · Strait of Hormuz — Omani side (EST) · 1 — src “four tanker attacks (three time-late reports from Oct 3–4, including an inbound LPG tanker hit at 1716 UTC and a crude tanker at 1907 UTC on Oct 4, plus 156-26 ”
Equipment / infrastructureCivilian buildings (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-05 · Bampur–Iranshahr road, Sistan & Baluchestan (EST) · 1 — src “Per ISW-CTP Oct 5: the Mobarizoun Popular Front claimed an Oct 5 attack on an Iranian Law Enforcement Command patrol on the Bampur–Iranshahr road, killing two o”
Equipment / infrastructureCivilian buildings (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by US government (White House / State / Treasury)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-06 · Washington, DC (EST — statement made in Nebraska) · 1 — src “Trump said Monday in Nebraska the war with Iran is 'essentially almost over', that Iran 'will not have a nuclear weapon', and called higher gasoline prices a 's”
Equipment / infrastructureCivilian buildings (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-06 · Minab, Hormozgan (EST) · 1 — src “Iran International: Fadavi said his late wife founded the Shajareh Tayyebeh school network linked to the IRGC Navy, including the Minab school hit in a February”
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)2
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)2 claims · 2 events
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area

Losses suffered by: Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable)

Civilian casualties — Civilians — side unclear: no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area

3. Rolling official tallies (kept separate)

Daily or “past 24 h” loss figures published by an official body. These are summed by day only (one figure per day per claimant; duplicates of the same day collapse to a range) and are never mixed with the per-event sums in Section 2.

No rolling daily official tallies were found in this week’s records.

4. Ground situation / territory

EST territory layer: 8 feature(s); generatedAt 2026-10-09T02:02:00Z; 8 feature(s) re-reported this week. Compared against 1 deployment snapshot(s) of this site (baseline 2026-10-02T17:50:00Z).

Assessed change: none. No EST territory feature changed side or geometry this week.

Territorial gain / advance claims (0)

    5. Strikes & engagements log (by day / area)

    All strike, combat, air-defence and naval claim records in the window, grouped by UTC day and location. Unverified.

    2026-10-03 — 1 strike / combat claim(s) in 1 area(s)

    Off Chabahar, Gulf of Oman (Touska seizure Apr 19, EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-03 12:00Z Iran civilian_vessel official_statement — IRISL CEO (via IRNA/Xinhua) says Iran will pursue the April 19 US boarding/seizure of the Iranian-flagged container ship Touska off Chabahar in international courts, calling it a "war crime"; alleges US struck the engine room and took 28 crew hostage. Hellenic Shipping News (Xinhua/IRNA)
    2026-10-05 — 7 strike / combat claim(s) in 5 area(s)

    Strait of Hormuz — main corridor (EST) (3)

    • 2026-10-05 03:39Z Iran blockade official_statement — Mehr (Oct 5, 07:09 Tehran): Fadavi says Iran and Oman have agreed the rules governing Hormuz and are applying them; claims US can move only 3–4M bbl via the southern route; says US vessels that tried to enter were attacked by IRGC Navy/Aerospace Force. Mehr News Agency
    • 2026-10-05 07:02Z Iran blockade official_statement — Tasnim: commission spokesman Qashqavi says Hormuz will not reopen until Iran's seven conditions are fulfilled; says Iran's position is unchanged and "the ball is now in the US court". Tasnim News Agency
    • 2026-10-05 12:35Z Iran blockade official_statement — Euronews: Iran's military said on Monday it retains full control over Hormuz despite changes in US tactics; Khatam al-Anbiya Joint Air Defence HQ commander Aziz Jafari said all movements are under Iranian armed forces' control. Euronews

    Persian Gulf export lanes (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-05 03:20Z Other civilian_vessel not_verified — Gulf News/Reuters citing Kpler: Middle East crude exports (excl. Iran) rose above pre-war levels on four days in the final week of September, up to 22.5M bpd vs ~18M bpd pre-war, despite tanker attacks. Gulf News (Reuters/Kpler)

    ~11 nm north of Khasab, Oman — Strait of Hormuz inbound lane (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-05 11:38Z Iran blockade official_statement — UKMTO (Advisory 152-26 per Gulf News): an inbound tanker in the Strait of Hormuz was hailed by the IRGC and told to turn back or be targeted; the master confirmed the vessel complied. Authorities investigating. Anadolu Agency (citing UKMTO)

    Strait of Hormuz — Omani side (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-05 22:00Z Unknown civilian_vessel corroborated — gCaptain: UKMTO reported five Hormuz incidents on Monday — four tanker attacks (three time-late reports from Oct 3–4, including an inbound LPG tanker hit at 1716 UTC and a crude tanker at 1907 UTC on Oct 4, plus 156-26 at 1637 UTC Oct 5) and one IRGC hail ordering a tanker to turn back. JMIC said attacks along the Omani side were continuing. gCaptain (citing UKMTO / JMIC)

    Bampur–Iranshahr road, Sistan & Baluchestan (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-05 23:00Z Other strike not_verified — Per ISW-CTP Oct 5: the Mobarizoun Popular Front claimed an Oct 5 attack on an Iranian Law Enforcement Command patrol on the Bampur–Iranshahr road, killing two officers and injuring another; Iranian media separately reported a counterinsurgency operation in Rask. Internal security incident, not a US–Iran engagement. ISW / Critical Threats Project (citing MPF Telegram, Mehr)

    6. Forces / unit layer (EST, not confirmed)

    164 unit/actor markers on the map; 71 re-reported this week. Positions are estimates derived from claims — NOT CONFIRMED.

    New entries (30)

    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Patriot battery — Saudi key oil facility (EST Axios) (USA) · Saudi Arabia key oil facility (EST — Axios unnamed site; coarse) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Patriot battery — Qatar natural gas facility (EST Axios) (USA) · Qatar natural gas facility (EST — Axios unnamed site; coarse) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Chosin (CG-65) — Theodore Roosevelt CSG (USA) · EST with TR CSG transit toward Middle East (AP/Fortune: deployed with TR) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Ore Vinst (Fars claim — AIS-off / US escort) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz toward Oman (EST — Fars naming only) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Lipsi (LR2 tanker — reported struck Oct 4) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — exact position not stated) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · IRGC Quds Force — deputy for coordination Iraj Masjedi (Iran) · Tehran IRGC-QF messaging node (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · IRISL (Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines) — CEO Modarres Khiabani (Touska legal case) (Iran) · Tehran IRISL HQ messaging node (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Supreme Council of Cyberspace / National Cyberspace Center — Mohammad Amin Aghamiri (Iran) · Tehran messaging node (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · UAE counter-drone rockets — APKWS guidance kits (US FMS approval, up to 10,000) (Other) · UAE (EST — national pin; delivery/basing not reported) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Milius (DDG-69) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, independent deployer) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Higgins (DDG-76) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, independent deployer) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Michael Murphy (DDG-112) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, independent deployer) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS John Finn (DDG-113) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, independent deployer) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Miguel Keith (ESB-5) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, expeditionary sea base, independent deployer) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Comstock (LSD-45) — Boxer ARG (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, Boxer ARG) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · MT On Peace (Panama-flagged Aframax tanker, IMO 9893204) (Other) · ~9 nm off Limah, Musandam, Oman (EST — Omani MoD location; crew medevaced to Khasab) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · LNG carrier Maran Gas Mystras (Greek-flagged) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — UKMTO 156-26 vessel per Greek media) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · LPG tanker Gas Vela (Singapore-flagged, Sinogas Maritime) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — hit Oct 4 per Vanguard Tech) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · VLCC Cameroon Prosperity (Sinokor; ADNOC L&S technical mgmt) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — hit Oct 4 per Vanguard Tech) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · VLCC Ghana Prosperity (Sinokor) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — hit Oct 3 per Vanguard Tech) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Tanker Singapore Energy (Liberia-registered) (Other) · 11 nm N of Khasab, Oman (EST — turned back after IRGC hail, Oct 5) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Mohammad Reza Naghdi — senior adviser to IRGC commander-in-chief (Iran) · Tehran (EST statement node — not a field position) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Mason (DDG-87) (USA) · Singapore — port stop (EST, outside theatre) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) (USA) · NAS North Island, San Diego Bay (EST) — piered home source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Tanker Acers (struck north of Qatar, Oct 7) (Other) · ~51 nm north of Madinat ash Shamal, Qatar (EST, position at time of attack) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · VLCC Dhalkut (reported fire east of Fujairah, Oct 8) (Other) · Gulf of Oman, ~40 km east of Fujairah (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Iranian police (FARAJA) — Golshan county command, Sistan-Baluchestan (Iran) · Golshan county HQ (Jaleq), Sistan-Baluchestan (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Iranian police (FARAJA) — Faryab county preventive police, Kerman (Iran) · Faryab county, Kerman (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Iran Army (Artesh) Ground Forces — 88th Armored Division (Makran / Nikshahr) (Iran) · Near Nikshahr / Makran coast, Sistan-Baluchestan (EST) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Iranian police (FARAJA) — Zahedan area patrol, Sistan-Baluchestan (Iran) · Near Zahedan, Sistan-Baluchestan (EST) source
    EST position updates ≥5 km (7)
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) (USA) · Arabian Sea (estimated CSG operating area — CENTCOM Sep 30) → Off Phuket, Thailand (EST — port visit in Seventh Fleet area; US official says it will return to CENTCOM) (~4029 km) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Carrier Air Wing 7 (CVW-7) (USA) · Arabian Sea — embarked with CVN-77 (estimated) → Embarked with CVN-77 — off Phuket, Thailand (EST, assumed with carrier) (~4041 km) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Delbert D. Black (DDG-119) (USA) · Northern Arabian Sea / Gulf of Oman approaches (estimated — Iranian claim target) → Phuket, Thailand — port visit with Bush CSG (EST) (~4649 km) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USAF tanker / ISR orbit (generic) (USA) · Persian Gulf (estimated tanker/ISR orbit) → Persian Gulf / Hormuz / Gulf of Oman (EST tanker and ISR orbits) (~439 km) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · Carrier Strike Group (Bush CSG / CSG-2 association) (USA) · Arabian Sea — Bush CSG operating area (estimated) → Bush CSG — off Phuket, Thailand (EST — port visit; to return to CENTCOM per US official) (~4027 km) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) (USA) · EST Pacific–Indian Ocean transit toward CENTCOM AOR (Stripes: may relieve GW; 3rd Fleet ops confirmed) → En route CENTCOM AOR (EST — TR CSG inbound; Cheung/Iran Intl >7k sailors theme) (~2368 km) source
    • 2026-10-09T02:02 · USS Makin Island ARG / 13th MEU (USA) · EST Pacific–Indian Ocean transit (Stripes: destination unconfirmed; Anchorage + Murtha + 13th MEU) → En route CENTCOM AOR (EST — Makin ARG ~2k Marines theme) (~1969 km) source

    7. Diplomatic / political claims (47)

    • 2026-10-03 21:48Z USA movement news_report — Afternoon ~3:48pm MT Oct 3 FULL-STACK: Iran International Oct 3 (Ardavan Roozbeh; ~22:04 GMT+1) — amplifies Axios: Vance-chaired Friday Camp David with Rubio, Hegseth, Witkoff, Ratcliffe, Gen. Caine; Iran + Houthis discussed; WH undisclosed decisions. TR CSG + Makin Island ARG heading to Middle East with >7,000 sailors and 2,000 Marines; Bush + GW already in region with Boxer ARG; if overlap, three CSGs + two ARGs by Iran International (Ardavan Roozbeh)
    • 2026-10-04 13:48Z Iran diplomacy official_statement — Morning ~7:48am MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: The National Oct 4 — Parliament Speaker / lead negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf: Strait of Hormuz will not reopen until Iran’s seven conditions based on the Islamabad memorandum are realised; says US proposals via intermediaries contradicted public statements; dual-track ‘fight and negotiate.’ Tehran continues to demand end to fighting, lifting US naval blockade, frozen-asset r The National (Oct 4)
    • 2026-10-04 14:59Z Other other not_verified — Evening ~7:49pm MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Gulf News / AFP — Iranian airlines resumed flights to Najaf after the US granted Baghdad an exemption for sanctioned Iranian carriers (except Mahan Air), up to 40 daily flights; first Caspian Airlines flight landed 14:15 GMT. Gulf News / AFP
    • 2026-10-04 17:52Z Iran diplomacy official_statement — Midday ~11:52am MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Mehr News (TEHRAN Oct 4) — Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said US viewpoints on Iran’s seven-day Hormuz Strait proposal (outlined by FM Abbas Araghchi in New York, sent via mediators) are under study in Tehran. Once Iran’s final stance is ready it will be announced through appropriate channels; Iran simultaneously maintaining readiness for other potential scenarios. EST Mehr News Agency (Oct 4)
    • 2026-10-04 17:52Z Iran diplomacy official_statement — Midday ~11:52am MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Iran International Oct 4 — MFA spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei: US proposals remain focused on the nuclear issue while Tehran has made clear its focus is security of the Strait of Hormuz; said Tehran had already replied to the US proposal; IAEA inspector return not discussed; denied reports Iranian diplomats expelled from US (called “complete lie”) while noting one diplomat left under p Iran International / Baghaei (Oct 4)
    • 2026-10-04 17:52Z Iran diplomacy official_statement — Midday ~11:52am MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: The Hindu / AFP Oct 4 — Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi told foreign ambassadors there is no military solution to the conflict with the United States, nor any solution based on new sanctions; only negotiations based on justice and fairness. Warned if enemies again choose military confrontation, Iran’s response will be stronger than before. Notes US has not struck Iran since September 1; The Hindu / AFP (Oct 4)
    • 2026-10-04 17:52Z Other diplomacy news_report — Midday ~11:52am MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: The Straits Times Oct 4 — synthesizes Sunday Iranians: Araghchi (no military solution; stronger response if confrontation resumes); Gharibabadi (US views on seven-day proposal under review; preparing for other scenarios); Baghaei (US counterproposal nuclear-focused; Iran focusing on Hormuz, requiring end to disruptions of Iranian commercial maritime traffic and lifting of sanction The Straits Times (Oct 4)
    • 2026-10-04 17:52Z Iran diplomacy news_report — Midday ~11:52am MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Iran International Oct 4 debate wrap — National Security and Foreign Policy Committee member Ebrahim Rezaei said Iran would not retreat from its conditions and framed Washington’s choice as diplomacy vs military pressure: Americans must either surrender to our diplomats or surrender to Iran’s missiles. Separate NSFPC spokesman Hassan Ghashghavi said Iran is at a post-negotiations Iran International (Oct 4 debate wrap)
    • 2026-10-04 18:00Z Other other not_verified — Evening ~7:49pm MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 4 (weekend abbreviated; data cutoff 2 PM ET) — 'Nothing significant to report' for US/partner military operations, Iranian strike campaign and US-Iran negotiations; assessed Iranian war aims unchanged, led by securing recognition of Iranian control over Hormuz. Main focus was Yemen (Houthi capture of al Turbah). Critical Threats / ISW (Ben Rezaei, Brian Carter)
    • 2026-10-04 21:52Z Iran other official_statement — Afternoon ~3:52pm MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Tehran Times (Oct 4, 19:49 Tehran) / Anadolu citing IRNA — Baqaei: Iran conveyed positions to Qatari mediators in Doha, US counter-proposal largely restates nuclear positions, Iran's focus is Hormuz; Tehran will send 'additional points' after review. Restoring Hormuz security requires US steps (end interference with Iranian shipping, sanctions). Tehran Times
    • 2026-10-04 23:01Z Iran other not_verified — Evening ~7:49pm MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Press TV (X) — direct flights between Iran and Georgia halted following new US sanctions. @PressTV
    • 2026-10-04 23:52Z Iran other official_statement — Evening ~7:49pm MT Oct 4 FULL-STACK: Press TV (X) — Iran summoned the Norwegian envoy over what it calls US weaponization of Starlink for subversion. @PressTV
    • 2026-10-05 02:00Z Iran other official_statement — Deputy Speaker Haji Babaei (via ISNA) said negotiations were "in fact underway now" but Iran would never reach an understanding with the US. The Online Citizen (citing ISNA)
    • 2026-10-05 16:09Z Iran other official_statement — Midday ~11:49am MT Oct 5 FULL-STACK: Press TV (X) — Ghalibaf says the US failed to achieve its objectives and undermined its credibility by reneging on the Islamabad agreement; Armenian FM Mirzoyan says Armenia will not allow any action against Iran from its territory. @PressTV
    • 2026-10-05 17:04Z Iran other official_statement — Midday ~11:49am MT Oct 5 FULL-STACK: Iran International live blog — Pezeshkian tells Armenian FM Mirzoyan that negotiations with the US are meaningless because the US attacked Iran after talks 'three times'. Iran International (live blog)
    • 2026-10-05 21:37Z Other movement official_statement — Afternoon ~3:52pm MT Oct 5 FULL-STACK: Iran International: after an emergency meeting of the Makkah Joint Defense Agreement committee, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey agreed on rapid deployment of military forces and capabilities in Saudi Arabia (forces not specified), in response to Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia; Rubio backed Saudi right to respond. Iran International (citing Pakistan foreign ministry joint statement)
    • 2026-10-06 00:21Z USA other official_statement — Trump said Monday in Nebraska the war with Iran is 'essentially almost over', that Iran 'will not have a nuclear weapon', and called higher gasoline prices a 'small price to pay'. Contrasts with Pezeshkian calling talks meaningless and continuing Hormuz tanker strikes the same day. @IranIntl_En (Iran International English)
    • 2026-10-06 01:06Z USA other official_statement — Trump said he personally believes Iran was responsible for the attempted attack on a FlyDubai flight, while VP Vance said he had not seen anything conclusive; Trump also said he remains open to direct talks with Iran ('Yeah, always'). IANS
    • 2026-10-06 06:25Z Iran other official_statement — Afternoon ~3:51pm MT Oct 6 FULL-STACK: FM spokesman Baghaei said countries that provided territory, bases or facilities to the US and Israel for planning attacks on Iran must be held accountable, citing NATO SG Rutte's acknowledgement that bases in Europe were used. WANA (Iranian outlet)
    • 2026-10-06 11:10Z Iran other official_statement — Afternoon ~3:51pm MT Oct 6 FULL-STACK: Iran International: some lawmakers filed a request to impeach FM Araghchi in parliament's online system; presiding-board member Alireza Salimi said filing does not mean it will reach the agenda. Iran International
    • 2026-10-06 12:30Z Other other contradicted — Morning ~7:52am MT Oct 6 FULL-STACK: Contradiction: (a) Majlis spokesman Ghashghavi and deputy speaker Nikzad say Hormuz stays shut/restricted until Iran's seven conditions are met; (b) WSJ (via Iran International) says crude flows are back to ~3/4 of pre-war and CENTCOM says its blockade keeps redirecting ships; (c) tankers keep being hit (MT On Peace Oct 6, UKMTO delayed outbound report for Oct 5). Each side claims Contradiction note (Iran International / WSJ relay / AFP-India MEA / UKMTO via AA)
    • 2026-10-06 15:38Z Other other official_statement — Midday ~11:55am MT Oct 6 FULL-STACK: UN Secretary-General Guterres, at a joint press conference with Pakistani FM Ishaq Dar in Islamabad, said the US and Iran should end their conflict and return to diplomacy. @IranIntl_En (relaying UN SG remarks)
    • 2026-10-06 16:03Z Other other official_statement — Midday ~11:55am MT Oct 6 FULL-STACK: Qatar's Foreign Ministry media director said US–Iran mediation continues without interruption with messages still being exchanged, as Iranian Interior Minister Momeni left Doha after conveying a message from Pezeshkian to the Emir. @IranIntl_En (relaying Qatar MFA)
    • 2026-10-06 23:11Z USA other official_statement — Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 6 FULL-STACK: Vance told Reuters Iran must meaningfully cut its uranium enrichment capacity to end the seven-month war, said the US is in talks with Pezeshkian and Araghchi but is unsure how much authority they hold. @IranIntl_En (relaying Reuters interview; also iranintl.com/en/202610069949)
    • 2026-10-07 13:03Z Iran other official_statement — Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: A senior Iranian official told Reuters there have been no Iran–US nuclear negotiations, called Vance's demands "ideas and requests", and said recognition of Iran's right to enrich is a red line. Iran International (relaying Reuters)
    • 2026-10-07 13:05Z Other other contradicted — Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Contradiction: Rubio says Hormuz is open with near pre-war flows and Iran has lost control; IRGC advisers Naghdi and Mirahmadi say the strait is closed under Iran's full control with ~10 ships/day and threaten to close the southern Omani route; meanwhile Oman/India confirm the On Peace strike and WPO counts 12 likely Iranian attacks in a week. Contradiction note (Iran International / Reuters / Euronews Persian / Al Jazeera / WPO)
    • 2026-10-07 16:22Z Other other not_verified — Midday ~11:50am MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Al Hadath, citing a senior source close to the negotiations: efforts to mediate between Washington and Tehran have reached a deadlock. This conflicts with Qatar's Oct 6 statement that talks and message exchanges continue. @IranIntl_En (relaying Al Hadath)
    • 2026-10-07 17:38Z Iran other official_statement — Midday ~11:50am MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Iran International: FM Araghchi told lawmakers Iran presented mediators in New York with a detailed proposal of Tehran's conditions, under instructions from the country's 'authorized decision-making bodies'. @IranIntl_En
    • 2026-10-07 17:50Z Other other contradicted — Midday ~11:50am MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Contradiction: Reuters' maritime sources log the worst week of tanker attacks (12) and Tasnim says crude traffic fell to ~3.8 mb/d, while Rubio says the strait is open with near pre-war flows and Bloomberg sees Qatar massing empty LNG carriers to export more; on talks, Al Hadath says mediation is deadlocked, Qatar says messages continue, and Araghchi says Iran tabled a detailed pr Contradiction note (Reuters / Shafaq-Tasnim / The National / gCaptain-Bloomberg / Iran International)
    • 2026-10-07 21:18Z Iran other official_statement — Afternoon ~3:55pm MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Baghaei says Iran will deliver its response to US proposals through mediators and that Tehran's conditions for ending the war on all fronts and restoring security in the Gulf and Hormuz have been clearly set out. @IranIntl_En (relaying IRNA)
    • 2026-10-08 00:18Z Iran other official_statement — Evening ~7:52pm MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Baghaei rebutted Rubio, saying 'distorted narratives' cannot erase the US record of broken commitments — part of the Oct 7 exchange over who controls Hormuz and the state of talks. @PressTV
    • 2026-10-08 00:45Z Iran other official_statement — Evening ~7:52pm MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Press TV: Araghchi told parliament Iran is firm in self-defense and serious in diplomacy; reports say he described Iran's conditions for Hormuz security as having been handed to mediators as an operational plan. @PressTV
    • 2026-10-08 01:55Z Other other contradicted — Evening ~7:52pm MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Contradiction: CENTCOM calls Iran's 'Hormuz closed, full control' claim FALSE and Trump claims record oil flows, while Iran's IRGC says the strait is closed and UKMTO counts nine tanker attacks this month plus a new hit off Qatar. Meanwhile Axios and NBC report the Pentagon is readying options to resume major combat as Iran says it will answer US proposals via mediators. Contradiction note (CENTCOM / Iran International / Al Jazeera / Axios / NBC / Press TV)
    • 2026-10-08 07:59Z Other other not_verified — Morning ~7:57am MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: Iranian media (via Iran International): Iraqi Airways resumed direct Najaf-Tehran flights after a suspension, following Baghdad's bid for a limited US-sanctions exemption. @IranIntl_En (relaying Iranian media)
    • 2026-10-08 11:58Z Iran other official_statement — Morning ~7:57am MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: Reuters via Tasnim: Araghchi says Tehran is still reviewing Washington's response to its proposal under which Hormuz could reopen within seven days, and could reply within days. Jerusalem Post (Reuters, citing Tasnim; also Dawn)
    • 2026-10-08 13:44Z Other other not_verified — Morning ~7:57am MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: The National: five diplomats and sources say US-Iran messages are still being exchanged via Qatar, Pakistan and China while both sides prepare for a possible major confrontation; Artesh spokesman Akraminia said Iran could carry out further pre-emptive attacks. The National
    • 2026-10-08 13:57Z Other other contradicted — Morning ~7:57am MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: Contradiction: the IRGC Navy says it oversees all traffic in the Gulf, Hormuz and Gulf of Oman, while CENTCOM says the US and partners "clearly control" the strait. Kpler data show transits at a two-month low, the Oct 7 tanker hit off Qatar is now named as Acers, and an unconfirmed VLCC fire was seen east of Fujairah. Iran says it will answer the US proposal within days as US medi Contradiction note (Press TV / CENTCOM / BBC / Al Arabiya-Reuters / JPost-Reuters)
    • 2026-10-08 18:26Z Iran other official_statement — Catch-up ~12:40pm MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: Pezeshkian and Putin met in Turkmenistan on the sidelines of a CIS/Caspian summit and discussed expanding economic and strategic cooperation; Fars quotes Putin saying Russia is ready to help Iran improve the situation in the Middle East. @IranIntl_En (citing Iranian state media); @FarsNews_Agency
    • 2026-10-09 06:00Z USA movement not_verified — Morning ~8:19am MT Oct 9 FULL-STACK: Ynet (citing NYT / US officials): Pentagon prepared a ~3-day intensive campaign option (missile/drone sites, energy, IRGC command posts); Trump rejected five proposals and says no strikes before Nov 3 midterms; USS Theodore Roosevelt expected to join George H.W. Bush and George Washington around end of October. Ynet News (citing New York Times)
    • 2026-10-09 08:00Z Iran other official_statement — Midday ~11:59am MT Oct 9 FULL-STACK: Iran MFA spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei says messages with Washington continue via mediators (Qatar) and Iran is consulting Oman on restoring navigational security in the strait. Islam Times

    8. Claims to watch next week

    Open, contested or unconfirmed items worth following. This is not a forecast — no predictions are made.

    • contradiction Catch-up ~12:40pm MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: JMIC Update 103 says the Oct 7 Central Gulf tanker (UKMTO 158-26) was struck by three UAVs, a fire in the engine room was put out and one crew member was injured, while UKMTO's warning and Ambrey spoke of 'casualties'/'multiple casualties'. Reuters' maritime sources say Acers' crew had minor injuries. JMIC also lists no confirmed attack in the Gulf of Oman, i.e. the reported Dha JMIC Update 103 vs UKMTO 158-26 / Ambrey / Reuters
    • contradiction Evening ~8:02pm MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: CTP-ISW Oct 8 cites Reuters (Oct 7): two sources say Iran transferred $200m to Hezbollah in Sep 2026 ($150m for ~$3k payments to 50k families). US State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott rejects the reporting, saying Hezbollah is "trying to save face with fake stories" and "the money is not there." CTP-ISW citing Reuters; State Dept via same / Iran International
    • contradiction Catch-up ~12:40pm MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: Contradictions this afternoon: CENTCOM says it cleared mines and 'routes for free transit' are open, and Hegseth says 'We control the Strait of Hormuz', while IRGC chief Vahidi says Iran 'blocked, managed and controlled' it and Reuters' sources say Iran will block new export routes. Trump says no US attack before Nov 3, while Channel 12 says US forces were told to prepare for a Contradiction note (CENTCOM / Hegseth / Iran International / Reuters / JMIC)
    • contradiction Evening ~8:02pm MT Oct 8 FULL-STACK: Same-day contradiction: IRIB/Fars claim tankers hit Iranian-deployed mines in the southern Hormuz passage with "massive/powerful explosions," while CENTCOM earlier said it had successfully cleared sea mines from primary transit lanes and that routes for free transit remain open to vessels not violating the US blockade. No UKMTO warning matching a new Oct 8 evening mine strike foun Contradiction note (IRIB/Fars via AA vs @CENTCOM earlier Oct 8)
    • open Afternoon ~3:55pm MT Oct 7 FULL-STACK: Gulf-based account @AlsagriCapital says ship-tracking sources (unconfirmed) point to the Liberia-flagged Panamax/LR1 tanker CAPETAN ANDREAS as the ship hit in UKMTO 158-26, saying it left Ras Laffan on Oct 2. @AlsagriCapital
    • territory Whether any of this week’s territorial claims (Section 4) appear in independent assessed-control reporting; this site’s EST territory layer showed no assessed change this week.

    9. Sources (240)

    Show all source links
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    2. gulfnews.com/world/mena/trump-weighs-next-iran-move-as-pezes Gulf News / AFP · 5 claim(s)
    3. understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-update-octobe ISW / Critical Threats Project (Iran Update, Oct 5, 2026) · 4 claim(s)
    4. gulfnews.com/world/mena/irans-irgc-warns-us-of-more-lethal-r Gulf News (Iran Intelligence Ministry / Xinhua) · 3 claim(s)
    5. jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Iran-War-Update-10.7.26 JINSA Iran War Update, Oct 6–7 2026 · 3 claim(s)
    6. news.theonlinecitizen.com/2026/10/05/iran-says-strait-of-hor The Online Citizen · 3 claim(s)
    7. understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-update-octobe ISW / Critical Threats Project · 3 claim(s)
    8. www.iranintl.com/en/202610058728 Iran International (citing Al Jazeera / US official) · 3 claim(s)
    9. www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/10/04/777632/US-forces-fled-ov Press TV (Iran state media) · 3 claim(s)
    10. www.seatrade-maritime.com/tankers/sinokor-maran-gas-and-sino Seatrade Maritime (citing Vanguard Tech / Pole Star Global) · 3 claim(s)
    11. www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/03/iran-gearing-up The National (Mohamad Ali Harisi) · 3 claim(s)
    12. english.alarabiya.net/News/gulf/2026/10/07/attacks-on-tanker Reuters (via Al Arabiya English; also gCaptain) · 2 claim(s)
    13. gcaptain.com/attack-risks-rise-for-tankers-as-iran-vows-to-b Reuters (Jonathan Saul, Parisa Hafezi) via gCaptain · 2 claim(s)
    14. gulfnews.com/world/mena/us-iran-war-tehran-rejects-military- Gulf News (Reuters/Kpler) · 2 claim(s)
    15. maritime-executive.com/article/iran-keeps-up-pace-of-strikes The Maritime Executive · 2 claim(s)
    16. parsi.euronews.com/2026/10/07/iran-will-launch-preemptive-st Euronews Persian · 2 claim(s)
    17. understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-update-octobe CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 2 · 2 claim(s)
    18. windward.ai/blog/tanker-attacks-spread-beyond-the-strait-of- Windward MIOC blog · 2 claim(s)
    19. www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/heavy-explosions-in-strait-of-h Anadolu Agency (citing IRIB); also @IranIntl_En / Al Jazeera liveblog · 2 claim(s)
    20. www.axios.com/2026/10/03/trumps-cabinet-camp-david-iran-war- Axios (Barak Ravid) · 2 claim(s)
    21. www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqlydk7796wdo BBC (citing Vanguard) · 2 claim(s)
    22. www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4619553/centco U.S. Central Command (press release; also @CENTCOM on X) · 2 claim(s)
    23. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-6-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update, Oct 6 2026 (citing Fars) · 2 claim(s)
    24. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-8-2026 CTP-ISW (Critical Threats / ISW) · 2 claim(s)
    25. www.euronews.com/2026/10/05/iran-insists-it-controls-hormuz- Euronews · 2 claim(s)
    26. www.iranintl.com/en/202610048198 Iran International (Oct 4) · 2 claim(s)
    27. www.iranintl.com/en/202610063638 Iran International (citing Khabar Online) · 2 claim(s)
    28. www.iranintl.com/en/202610066957 Iran International · 2 claim(s)
    29. www.iranintl.com/en/202610073318 Iran International (relaying Reuters) · 2 claim(s)
    30. www.iranintl.com/en/202610086952 Iran International (Haalvsh; local Iranian press on rank) · 2 claim(s)
    31. www.iranintl.com/en/liveblog/202610033293 Iran International (live blog) · 2 claim(s)
    32. www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-910482 Jerusalem Post (Idan Kweller) — Hegseth Sat briefing · 2 claim(s)
    33. www.newarab.com/news/oil-tankers-attacked-hormuz-smoke-seen- The New Arab · 2 claim(s)
    34. www.rivieramm.com/news-content-hub/casualties-reported-in-ta Riviera News (citing Ambrey, Vanguard Tech) · 2 claim(s)
    35. www.rudaw.net/english/categories/iran/1079572 Rudaw (citing Tasnim) · 2 claim(s)
    36. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261002-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 149-26 PDF · 2 claim(s)
    37. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261007-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 158-26 PDF (also @UK_MTO, Maritime Executive, Xinhua) · 2 claim(s)
    38. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-103-jmic-advisor JMIC Update 103 (via UKMTO) · 2 claim(s)
    39. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2107954036750119346 @CENTCOM (relayed by @IranIntl_En) · 2 claim(s)
    40. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2108241724405383659 @CENTCOM (reply to @US5thFleet) · 2 claim(s)
    41. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107200591000903850 @IranIntl_En · 2 claim(s)
    42. x.com/PressTV/status/2108059805223190948 @PressTV · 2 claim(s)
    43. dpa-international.com/politics/urn:newsml:dpa.com:20090101:2 dpa international (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    44. en.mehrnews.com/news/248254/Era-of-cost-free-threats-over-IR Mehr News Agency (IRGC statement) · 1 claim(s)
    45. en.mehrnews.com/news/248298/A-tanker-struck-by-an-unknown-pr Mehr News Agency (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    46. en.mehrnews.com/news/248301/US-to-be-defeated-if-it-launches Mehr News Agency · 1 claim(s)
    47. en.mehrnews.com/news/248303/Iran-Army-planning-to-enhance-mi Mehr News Agency · 1 claim(s)
    48. en.mehrnews.com/news/248309/US-viewpoints-about-Iran-s-propo Mehr News Agency (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    49. en.mehrnews.com/news/248318/No-US-vessel-present-near-Iran-I Mehr News Agency · 1 claim(s)
    50. en.mehrnews.com/news/248347/Next-enemy-blunder-to-trigger-ne Mehr News Agency (Rezaei X post) · 1 claim(s)
    51. en.mehrnews.com/news/248402/Strait-of-Hormuz-under-full-cont Mehr News Agency (Iran state-affiliated) · 1 claim(s)
    52. en.mehrnews.com/news/248419/Terrorist-killed-as-police-repel Mehr News Agency (citing Sistan and Baluchestan police) · 1 claim(s)
    53. en.royanews.tv/news/74473/Oil-tanker-struck-by-unknown-proje Roya News / UKMTO 149-26 · 1 claim(s)
    54. english.ajel.sa/world/atyaqj9d5 Hegseth via Ajel / Al Arabiya · 1 claim(s)
    55. english.alarabiya.net/News/gulf/2026/10/09/vessel-struck-by- Al Arabiya (Reuters; citing Vanguard) · 1 claim(s)
    56. english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/10/08/hormuz-tra Al Arabiya (Reuters; Kpler, LSEG data) · 1 claim(s)
    57. english.news.cn/20261004/62b519eb74d24345b2a4448557d51306/c. Fars via Xinhua (Oct 3 TEHRAN) · 1 claim(s)
    58. gcaptain.com/five-hormuz-incidents-reported-monday-as-tanker gCaptain (citing UKMTO / JMIC) · 1 claim(s)
    59. gcaptain.com/irans-offshore-oil-stockpile-nears-exhaustion-a gCaptain (citing United Against Nuclear Iran) · 1 claim(s)
    60. gcaptain.com/more-tankers-hit-in-hormuz-as-irgc-orders-ship- gCaptain (citing UKMTO / JMIC) · 1 claim(s)
    61. gcaptain.com/qatar-brings-empty-lng-ships-into-gulf-in-poten Bloomberg (via gCaptain) · 1 claim(s)
    62. gcaptain.com/second-ship-struck-inside-persian-gulf-in-three gCaptain (citing UKMTO / JMIC) · 1 claim(s)
    63. gcaptain.com/six-vessels-hit-in-strait-of-hormuz-since-sunda gCaptain · 1 claim(s)
    64. gulfnews.com/world/gulf/oman/strait-of-hormuz-crisis-tanker- Gulf News (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    65. gulfnews.com/world/mena/oil-tankers-attacked-in-hormuz-strai AFP via Gulf News · 1 claim(s)
    66. gulfnews.com/world/mena/us-iran-war-trump-rules-out-strikes- Gulf News liveblog (citing UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    67. hamerintel.com/data/alerts/25373 Hamer Intel (citing Iranian-linked OSINT channels) · 1 claim(s)
    68. ianslive.in/trump-says-iran-behind-flydubai-attack--20261006 IANS · 1 claim(s)
    69. jarayid.com/en/saudi-arabia/1843507/us-defense-secretary-pil Jarayid — Hegseth airspace claim · 1 claim(s)
    70. kelo.com/2026/10/02/crude-oil-tanker-struck-by-unknown-proje Reuters via KELO-AM · 1 claim(s)
    71. maritime-executive.com/article/tanker-hit-multiple-times-in- Maritime Executive · 1 claim(s)
    72. maritime-executive.com/article/ukmto-tanker-s-engine-room-on The Maritime Executive (relaying UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    73. news.cgtn.com/news/2026-10-05/news-1R08q4mq5KU/share_amp.htm CGTN (relaying UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    74. news.usni.org/2026/10/05/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker- USNI News · 1 claim(s)
    75. news.usni.org/2026/10/08/abraham-lincoln-carrier-strike-grou USNI News (Heather Mongilio) · 1 claim(s)
    76. nournews.ir/en/news/349956/war-with-iran-or-with-the-america Nour News (citing Mohebbi X post) · 1 claim(s)
    77. parsi.euronews.com/2026/10/03/strait-of-hormuz-tankers-struc Euronews (Kpler cite) · 1 claim(s)
    78. shafaq.com/en/Middle-East/IRGC-says-it-controls-Strait-of-Ho Shafaq News (relaying Tasnim / Fars) · 1 claim(s)
    79. shafaq.com/en/World/Oil-tanker-explodes-in-Hormuz Shafaq News — Iranian state TV / Mehr · 1 claim(s)
    80. timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/5-indian-seafarers-safely- Indian Embassy Oman via Times of India · 1 claim(s)
    81. wanaen.com/baghaei-countries-providing-territory-for-attacks WANA (Iranian outlet) · 1 claim(s)
    82. wanaen.com/talaei-nik-enemy-targets-prepared-to-respond-to-a WANA (Iranian outlet) · 1 claim(s)
    83. www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/trump-blames-russia-ukraine-war-de Anadolu Agency (quoting Trump on Truth Social) · 1 claim(s)
    84. www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-s-revolutionary-guards-ord Anadolu Agency (citing UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    85. www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-says-lpg-carrier-struck-ca Anadolu Agency (IRGC statement via Tasnim) · 1 claim(s)
    86. www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-threatens-to-target-us-bas Anadolu Agency · 1 claim(s)
    87. www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/oil-tanker-struck-by-unknown-pr Anadolu Agency (relaying UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    88. www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/10/fire-smoke-seen-near-ar Reuters via Al-Monitor · 1 claim(s)
    89. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/6/hormuz-ship-attacks-surge-a Al Jazeera (+ CBS News live: Shell CEO via Bloomberg) · 1 claim(s)
    90. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/7/oman-evacuates-injured-crew Al Jazeera (citing Omani Ministry of Defence, India MEA, Marisks) · 1 claim(s)
    91. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/8/the-hormuz-bonus-sailor-sal Al Jazeera (citing FT, Bloomberg, WSJ) · 1 claim(s)
    92. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/8/us-stocks-slide-as-oil-pric Al Jazeera (AFP / Reuters) · 1 claim(s)
    93. www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/10/9/iran-war-live-iran Al Jazeera English liveblog · 1 claim(s)
    94. www.anews.com.tr/world/2026/10/03/iraq-says-it-transported-2 ANews / Iraq Oil Tankers Company statement · 1 claim(s)
    95. www.arabnews.com/node/3004312/middle-east AP via Arab News · 1 claim(s)
    96. www.arabtimesonline.com/news/one-more-tanker-hit-today-by-un Arab Times Online (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    97. www.assafinaonline.com/en/article/UKMTO-Reports-Four-Hormuz- Robban Assafina (citing UKMTO / Vanguard Tech) · 1 claim(s)
    98. www.axios.com/2026/10/07/trump-us-central-command-iran-israe Axios (relayed by Iran International) · 1 claim(s)
    99. www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-attack-kuwait-camp-buehring-u-s-ne CBS News · 1 claim(s)
    100. www.cnbc.com/2026/10/04/more-tankers-struck-in-gulf-waters-a CNBC (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    101. www.cnbc.com/2026/10/06/crude-oil-tanker-strait-hormuz-iran- CNBC (citing Windward, IMO, JMIC) · 1 claim(s)
    102. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-04-2026 Critical Threats / ISW (Ben Rezaei, Brian Carter) · 1 claim(s)
    103. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-07-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update, October 7, 2026 (criticalthreats.org) · 1 claim(s)
    104. www.dailyprabhat.com/crude-oil-tanker-hit-by-unknown-project ANI via Daily Prabhat · 1 claim(s)
    105. www.devdiscourse.com/article/international/3987866-oman-carr Reuters (via Devdiscourse) — Oman armed forces media office · 1 claim(s)
    106. www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-macron/2026/10/02/g7-leaders-state Élysée — G7 Leaders’ Statement · 1 claim(s)
    107. www.eurasiareview.com/03102026-irans-hormuz-leverage-is-fadi RFE/RL via Eurasia Review (Kian Sharifi) · 1 claim(s)
    108. www.euronews.com/2026/10/08/iran-strikes-tankers-outside-hor Euronews (citing IRGC-affiliated outlets, Ebn ol-Reza post on X) · 1 claim(s)
    109. www.euronews.com/2026/10/09/irans-irgc-strikes-tanker-and-th Euronews (Persian service) · 1 claim(s)
    110. www.hellenicshippingnews.com/report-irans-irgc-hit-7-violati Hellenic Shipping News (Xinhua/IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    111. www.iranintl.com/en/202610037591 Steven Cheung via Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    112. www.iranintl.com/en/202610039171 Fars / IRIB via Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    113. www.iranintl.com/en/202610039569 Iran International (Ardavan Roozbeh) · 1 claim(s)
    114. www.iranintl.com/en/202610040586 Iran International (citing IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    115. www.iranintl.com/en/202610040986 Iran International / Baghaei (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    116. www.iranintl.com/en/202610047470 Iran International (Oct 4 debate wrap) · 1 claim(s)
    117. www.iranintl.com/en/202610054845 Iran International (citing Pakistan foreign ministry joint statement) · 1 claim(s)
    118. www.iranintl.com/en/202610065913 Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    119. www.iranintl.com/en/202610067844 Iran International (relaying IRIB / Fars reports) · 1 claim(s)
    120. www.iranintl.com/en/202610069449 Contradiction note (Iran International / Hamer Intel / @HormuzReport) · 1 claim(s)
    121. www.iranintl.com/en/202610069467 Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    122. www.iranintl.com/en/202610070962 Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    123. www.iranintl.com/en/202610072825 Iran International (also Mehr News Agency en.mehrnews.com/news/248402; Fars via Reuters) · 1 claim(s)
    124. www.iranintl.com/en/202610079105 Iran International (Trump remarks to reporters) · 1 claim(s)
    125. www.irishtimes.com/world/us/2026/10/06/iranian-drone-threat- The Irish Times (NYT — Eric Schmitt, Julian E. Barnes) · 1 claim(s)
    126. www.islamtimes.com/en/news/1311381/araghchi-iran-reviewing-u Islam Times · 1 claim(s)
    127. www.jpost.com/international/article-910444 Jerusalem Post Staff (citing Axios + WaPo + Reuters) · 1 claim(s)
    128. www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-911058 Jerusalem Post (Reuters, citing Tasnim; also Dawn) · 1 claim(s)
    129. www.lloydslistintelligence.com/resources/blog/strait-of-horm Lloyd's List Intelligence Maritime Intelligence Unit · 1 claim(s)
    130. www.malaymail.com/news/world/2026/10/03/two-oil-tankers-stru AFP via Malay Mail · 1 claim(s)
    131. www.malaymail.com/news/world/2026/10/06/panama-flagged-tanke Malay Mail / AFP (relaying India MEA statement) · 1 claim(s)
    132. www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/irgc-navy-o Middle East Eye (Fars interview) · 1 claim(s)
    133. www.middleeasteye.net/news/irans-revolutionary-guards-say-fo Middle East Eye (relaying IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    134. www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-military-prepa NBC News · 1 claim(s)
    135. www.pbs.org/newshour/world/uss-lincoln-aircraft-carrier-retu AP (via PBS NewsHour) · 1 claim(s)
    136. www.rte.ie/news/business/2026/1003/1593891-oil-reserves/ IEA via RTE · 1 claim(s)
    137. www.shippingherald.com/attack-risks-rise-for-tankers-as-iran Shipping Herald (Reuters syndication) · 1 claim(s)
    138. www.straitstimes.com/asia/iranian-official-says-illegal-rout Reuters (via The Straits Times), citing Fars · 1 claim(s)
    139. www.straitstimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-warns-us-more-fi The Straits Times (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    140. www.straitstimes.com/world/middle-east/tanker-attacked-in-st AFP via Straits Times · 1 claim(s)
    141. www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/05/3714962/reopening-of-ho Tasnim News Agency · 1 claim(s)
    142. www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/05/3715007/irgc-general-wa Tasnim News Agency · 1 claim(s)
    143. www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/06/3716268/iran-warns-of-h Tasnim News Agency (IRGC-affiliated) · 1 claim(s)
    144. www.tehrantimes.com/news/530738/Iran-says-to-deliver-additio Tehran Times · 1 claim(s)
    145. www.thecandorpost.com/article/explosions-heard-near-irans-qe The Candor Post (relaying Iran International / Fars / IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    146. www.thehindu.com/news/international/irans-foreign-minister-t The Hindu / AFP (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    147. www.thenationalnews.com/news/gulf/2026/10/04/iran-says-strai The National (Oct 4) · 1 claim(s)
    148. www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/08/attempt-to-brea The National · 1 claim(s)
    149. www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/tanker-in-strait-of-hor Multi-source morning contradiction note · 1 claim(s)
    150. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261004-ukmto_warning- UKMTO Warning 150-26 PDF · 1 claim(s)
    151. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261008-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 159-26 · 1 claim(s)
    152. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261009-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO · 1 claim(s)
    153. www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2026/10/02/third-aircraft-carrier-gr UPI (Lisa Hornung; citing WaPo / Al Jazeera) · 1 claim(s)
    154. www.worldports.org/12-seafarers-injured-in-attack-on-lr2-tan World Ports Organization (Emily Carter) · 1 claim(s)
    155. www.ynetnews.com/article/s1kvrobife Ynet News (citing New York Times) · 1 claim(s)
    156. x.com/AlexiaNoel94927/status/2107841066237870491 @AlexiaNoel94927 (Eye OSINT) · 1 claim(s)
    157. x.com/Alexkennedy213/status/2106867042989330503 @Alexkennedy213 (X, unverified) · 1 claim(s)
    158. x.com/AlsagriCapital/status/2107949573196972074 @AlsagriCapital · 1 claim(s)
    159. x.com/Avionsint/status/2108037696639881578 @Avionsint (also @LoneWolfV_) · 1 claim(s)
    160. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2107912093521596561 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    161. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2108187309455896852 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    162. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2108209079864766918 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    163. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2108224804272963724 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    164. x.com/ConflictRadarME/status/2107829863172174007 @ConflictRadarME · 1 claim(s)
    165. x.com/Currentreport1/status/2108065392493256818 @Currentreport1 · 1 claim(s)
    166. x.com/Currentreport1/status/2108232392754470938 @Currentreport1 (citing Kpler) · 1 claim(s)
    167. x.com/ERAM_News/status/2107932476068986978 @ERAM_News (also viral reposts; Liveuamap undated ticker item) · 1 claim(s)
    168. x.com/FarsNews_Agency/status/2107914096804761857 @FarsNews_Agency (also @IranIntl_En) · 1 claim(s)
    169. x.com/HormuzReport/status/2107556774635270304 @HormuzReport (unverified aggregator) · 1 claim(s)
    170. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2106905579599851571 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    171. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107163419346452934 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    172. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107217204219404427 @IranIntl_En (citing WSJ) · 1 claim(s)
    173. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107264841526464682 @IranIntl_En (Iran International English) · 1 claim(s)
    174. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107276034718552272 @IranIntl_En (Iran International English) · 1 claim(s)
    175. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107313764492361856 @IranIntl_En (relaying Wall Street Journal) · 1 claim(s)
    176. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107362045200843052 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    177. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107447736500912159 @IranIntl_En (relaying UK police) · 1 claim(s)
    178. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107452914897653908 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    179. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107456613720211620 @IranIntl_En (relaying CENTCOM statement) · 1 claim(s)
    180. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107495775060033605 @IranIntl_En (relaying UN SG remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    181. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107502009540624672 @IranIntl_En (relaying Qatar MFA) · 1 claim(s)
    182. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107527306805670210 @IranIntl_En (relaying IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    183. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107544531382001916 @IranIntl_En (relaying IRGC statement) · 1 claim(s)
    184. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107562272096649680 @IranIntl_En (iranintl.com/en/202610066353) · 1 claim(s)
    185. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107564698459594797 @IranIntl_En (relaying Trump remarks; iranintl.com/en/202610062289) · 1 claim(s)
    186. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107568516522222001 @IranIntl_En (relaying Trump remarks; also iranintl.com/en/202610069449) · 1 claim(s)
    187. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107588865993421208 @IranIntl_En (relaying IRIB interview) · 1 claim(s)
    188. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107599054934802454 @IranIntl_En (relaying @SecScottBessent post; also iranintl.com/en/202610069246) · 1 claim(s)
    189. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107599100233613326 @IranIntl_En (relaying Trump remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    190. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107609738640765108 @IranIntl_En (relaying Reuters interview; also iranintl.com/en/202610069949) · 1 claim(s)
    191. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107635256723710059 @IranIntl_En (relaying Mehr News Agency) · 1 claim(s)
    192. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107738904581304452 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    193. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107769696451772491 @IranIntl_En (relaying Rubio; also iranintl.com/en/202610073318) · 1 claim(s)
    194. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107798804904710311 @IranIntl_En (relaying The Jerusalem Post) · 1 claim(s)
    195. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107817641482101117 @IranIntl_En (relaying Rubio remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    196. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107869260475486587 @IranIntl_En (relaying Al Hadath) · 1 claim(s)
    197. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107878580227023233 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    198. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107879455800557887 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    199. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107888308306993553 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    200. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107914719524725010 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    201. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107933200219607325 @IranIntl_En (relaying The Atlantic; also Jerusalem Post) · 1 claim(s)
    202. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107943558309454192 @IranIntl_En (relaying IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    203. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107951058257346823 @IranIntl_En (relaying IRNA) · 1 claim(s)
    204. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2107999168723648768 @IranIntl_En (Trump remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    205. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108063534705680530 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    206. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108089373073772652 @IranIntl_En (also @PressTV) · 1 claim(s)
    207. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108104956464988578 @IranIntl_En (relaying Iranian media) · 1 claim(s)
    208. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108113963678400979 @IranIntl_En (citing Zahedan governor) · 1 claim(s)
    209. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108119053080420579 @IranIntl_En (relaying Mehr) · 1 claim(s)
    210. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108134242366414928 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    211. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108136979112071317 @IranIntl_En (citing Haalvsh) · 1 claim(s)
    212. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108140524330750022 @IranIntl_En (Trump remarks, Wed night) · 1 claim(s)
    213. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108140750357581874 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    214. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108143186707193928 @IranIntl_En (relaying WirtschaftsWoche) · 1 claim(s)
    215. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108204030740635856 @IranIntl_En (Eslami remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    216. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108209797673734653 @IranIntl_En (citing Al Arabiya interview with CENTCOM) · 1 claim(s)
    217. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108222816549994920 @IranIntl_En (Vahidi message; also Fars via Dawn, ISNA) · 1 claim(s)
    218. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108248437791612995 @IranIntl_En (citing US Treasury) · 1 claim(s)
    219. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108258544760086778 @IranIntl_En (citing Reuters / Treasury official) · 1 claim(s)
    220. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108262782013489238 @IranIntl_En (citing Iranian state media); @FarsNews_Agency · 1 claim(s)
    221. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108264502097760368 @IranIntl_En (citing Channel 12); @clashreport (citing Axios) · 1 claim(s)
    222. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108294327562871200 @IranIntl_En (relaying Fars) · 1 claim(s)
    223. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108299630106534015 @IranIntl_En; also @PeteHegseth RT @DOWResponse · 1 claim(s)
    224. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108549037896954156 @IranIntl_En (relaying IRIB / Fars) · 1 claim(s)
    225. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108591145282379940 @IranIntl_En (Iran International English) · 1 claim(s)
    226. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108611058118107438 @IranIntl_En (Iran International English) · 1 claim(s)
    227. x.com/PressTV/status/2106882507081998812 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    228. x.com/PressTV/status/2106895242943234452 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    229. x.com/PressTV/status/2107042332361265157 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    230. x.com/PressTV/status/2107076125843501488 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    231. x.com/PressTV/status/2107141215162601852 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    232. x.com/PressTV/status/2107988913801343197 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    233. x.com/PressTV/status/2107995641289072778 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    234. x.com/PressTV/status/2108133423537877407 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    235. x.com/PressTV/status/2108137566436270444 @PressTV (also Nour News, Iran International) · 1 claim(s)
    236. x.com/PressTV/status/2108376907549196694 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    237. x.com/PressTV/status/2108558109719531740 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    238. x.com/TankerTrackers/status/2108247727398420761 @TankerTrackers · 1 claim(s)
    239. x.com/clashreport/status/2108230580068319363 @clashreport (screenshot/text of Trump Truth Social post); AP, Axios · 1 claim(s)
    240. x.com/clashreport/status/2108263975070703673 @clashreport (video of Hegseth remarks) · 1 claim(s)

    Annex A — Multi-day, cumulative & nationwide figures (listed, not summed)

    None.

    Annex B — Component figures (breakdowns of an official tally; not summed)

    None.

    Annex C — Figure ledger (8 extracted figures)

    Every figure extracted, with its source
    • 2026-10-05 · 4 Armor (tanks, AFVs, APCs) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “four tanker attacks (three time-late reports from Oct 3–4, including an inbound LPG tanker hit at 1716 UTC and a crude tanker at 1907 UTC on Oct 4, plus 156-26 at 1637 UTC Oct 5) and one IRGC hail ord” source
    • 2026-10-05 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “four tanker attacks (three time-late reports from Oct 3–4, including an inbound LPG tanker hit at 1716 UTC and a crude tanker at 1907 UTC on Oct 4, plus 156-26 at 1637 UTC Oct 5) and one IRGC hail ord” source
    • 2026-10-05 · 2 Personnel killed · target Iran / IRGC · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “Per ISW-CTP Oct 5: the Mobarizoun Popular Front claimed an Oct 5 attack on an Iranian Law Enforcement Command patrol on the Bampur–Iranshahr road, killing two officers and injuring another” source
    • 2026-10-05 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “Per ISW-CTP Oct 5: the Mobarizoun Popular Front claimed an Oct 5 attack on an Iranian Law Enforcement Command patrol on the Bampur–Iranshahr road, killing two officers and injuring another” source
    • 2026-10-05 · 1 Personnel killed · target Iran / IRGC · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “a Baloch rights group reported gunmen killed at least three occupants of a vehicle carrying alleged plainclothes security personnel near Jakigur Bridge, while Iranian media confirmed one death.” source
    • 2026-10-05 · 3 Personnel killed · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “a Baloch rights group reported gunmen killed at least three occupants of a vehicle carrying alleged plainclothes security personnel near Jakigur Bridge, while Iranian media confirmed one death.” source
    • 2026-10-06 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by US government (White House / State / Treasury) · event — “Trump said Monday in Nebraska the war with Iran is 'essentially almost over', that Iran 'will not have a nuclear weapon', and called higher gasoline prices a 'small price to pay'. Contrasts with Pezes” source
    • 2026-10-06 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “Iran International: Fadavi said his late wife founded the Shajareh Tayyebeh school network linked to the IRGC Navy, including the Minab school hit in a February strike” source

    Annex D — Method

    Figures are extracted automatically from the English summaries of this map’s claim records (claims.json) by fixed text rules; nothing is estimated or imputed. Each figure is credited to the party the claim cites (the claimant) and assigned to the side that the claim says suffered the loss. Per-event figures are de-duplicated: repeat reports of the same event (same UTC day, same ~10 km area, same claimant) count once, and when they disagree the range runs from the lowest to the highest figure reported. Rolling official tallies (e.g. daily General Staff / MoD loss counts) are kept in a separate table and are never added to per-event sums. Multi-day, nationwide, monthly or cumulative figures are listed separately and not summed. Totals from different claimants are never added together. Separate incidents in the same area on the same day may merge into one range, so per-event totals can undercount; rule-based extraction can also misread text — every figure links to its source in the ledger so it can be checked. Synthesis / cross-source ‘contradiction’ records are excluded from all figures to avoid double counting. Losses are grouped by the side that suffered them, parsed from the claim text and claimant (never from the map’s side tag); figures whose victim cannot be determined are shown under ‘Side unclear’. Official day tallies are bucketed by UTC date, so an interim evening update and the next-morning full-day figure can overlap — treat tally sums as upper bounds.