{ "conflict": "iran-usa", "title": "Iran–USA / Strait of Hormuz", "short": "IRAN–USA", "site": "https://iran-usa-claim-map-2026.pages.dev", "reportDate": "2026-10-23", "window": { "start": "2026-10-17T00:00:00Z", "end": "2026-10-23T23:59:59Z" }, "generatedAt": "2026-10-23T19:20:33Z", "dataCutoff": "2026-10-23T13:33:02Z", "label": "UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — INFO/SA ONLY", "totalsLabel": "CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED", "counts": { "claims": 145, "bySide": { "Iran": 70, "Other": 41, "USA": 26, "Unknown": 8 }, "byType": { "other": 66, "civilian_vessel": 24, "blockade": 18, "naval": 14, "strike": 11, "movement": 10, "air_defense": 1, "unit_sighting": 1 }, "byStatus": { "official_statement": 91, "not_verified": 45, "contradicted": 5, "corroborated": 4 }, "sources": 140, "topLocations": [ [ "Tehran (statement; EST pin)", 5 ], [ "Tehran (statement pin)", 5 ], [ "Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin)", 3 ], [ "Tehran (statement)", 3 ], [ "Tehran", 2 ], [ "Iran–Pakistan border (Taftan / Gabd–Rimdan crossings; plotted at Taftan)", 2 ] ] }, "bluf": [ "145 open-source claim records were logged on this map between 17 Oct and 23 Oct 2026 (UTC), citing 140 distinct source links. All are UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED. Map side tags: Iran 70, Other 41, USA 26, Unknown 8.", "Most-reported locations: Tehran (statement; EST pin) (5); Tehran (statement pin) (5); Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin) (3); Tehran (statement) (3); Tehran (2).", "Iran / IRGC side: 2 — strike / attack events reported (deduped), claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (2 claim records).", "Other / commercial shipping & third parties side: 14 — strike / attack events reported (deduped), claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (15 claim records).", "Territorial gain/advance claims this week — Iranian state / IRGC sources: 1; US government (White House / State / Treasury): 1. No assessed change in the map’s EST territory layer.", "Units layer: 2 new unit/actor entries and 0 EST position updates (≥5 km) — all NOT CONFIRMED / ESTIMATED.", "21 figure-claim(s) could not be assigned to the side that suffered the loss and are listed under “Side unclear” in Section 2." ], "headline": [ { "side": "Iran", "metric": "strike_events", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "low": 2, "high": 2, "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "nClaims": 2, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "text": "Iran / IRGC side: 2 — strike / attack events reported (deduped), claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)" }, { "side": "Other", "metric": "strike_events", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "low": 14, "high": 14, "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "nClaims": 15, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "text": "Other / commercial shipping & third parties side: 14 — strike / attack events reported (deduped), claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)" } ], "sides": [ "USA", "Iran", "Other", "Unclear" ], "sideLabels": { "USA": "United States / partners", "Iran": "Iran / IRGC", "Other": "Other / commercial shipping & third parties", "Unclear": "Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable)" }, "totalsBySide": { "USA": { "side": "USA", "label": "United States / partners", "civLabel": "Civilians (US / partner states)", "rows": [], "lossesSufferedBy": "USA", "civilianLine": "Civilians (US / partner states): no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.", "officialTallies": [] }, "Iran": { "side": "Iran", "label": "Iran / IRGC", "civLabel": "Civilians in Iran", "rows": [ { "metric": "wounded", "category": "Personnel", "label": "Personnel wounded", "claimant": "US military / CENTCOM / US officials", "low": 2, "high": 2, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-19", "loc": "Konarak naval base, Sistan-Baluchestan coast, Gulf of Oman (EST pin)", "lo": 2, "hi": 2, "refs": [ { "id": "news-dawn-1019-iran-navy-claims-us-struck-konarak-naval-base-35mm-cannon", "url": "https://www.dawn.com/news/2038331", "text": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 19 (escalated to full territory rebuild): Iran's regular navy told Al Jazeera that US forces attacked the Konarak naval base early Monday (about 1am local per Iranian outlet DEJ) with 'two light projectiles' aimed at a 35mm cannon, woundi" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:aircraft", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Aircraft", "claimant": "Media report: Iran International", "low": 300.0, "high": 300.0, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "loc": "Iran (Tehran Mehrabad EST pin; locations of losses not stated)", "lo": 300.0, "hi": 300.0, "refs": [ { "id": "news-iranintl-1020-iran-air-chief-30-40-aircraft-destroyed-in-war", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610205886", "text": "Iran had a little over 300 aircraft but only about 130 to 140 operational before the latest losses" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:ships", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Ships / vessels", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "loc": "Central Gulf ~68–78 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (assessment; EST pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ctp-1017-iran-update-irgc-navy-likely-attacked-two-tankers-ne-al-jubail", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-17-2026", "text": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 17: CTP-ISW's Oct 17 Iran Update assessed that the IRGC Navy likely carried out the two Oct 16 tanker attacks NE of al Jubail reported by UKMTO (174-26 projectile, 175-26 RPG from a small boat, likely an IRGC fast attack craft), not" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:civilian_buildings", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Civilian buildings (incidents)", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "loc": "Central Gulf ~68–78 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (assessment; EST pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ctp-1017-iran-update-irgc-navy-likely-attacked-two-tankers-ne-al-jubail", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-17-2026", "text": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 17: CTP-ISW's Oct 17 Iran Update assessed that the IRGC Navy likely carried out the two Oct 16 tanker attacks NE of al Jubail reported by UKMTO (174-26 projectile, 175-26 RPG from a small boat, likely an IRGC fast attack craft), not" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 2, "high": 2, "nClaims": 2, "nEvents": 2, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "low": 2, "high": 2, "nClaims": 2, "nEvents": 2, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "US military / CENTCOM / US officials", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] } ], "lossesSufferedBy": "Iran", "civilianLine": "Civilians in Iran: no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.", "officialTallies": [] }, "Other": { "side": "Other", "label": "Other / commercial shipping & third parties", "civLabel": "Civilians / seafarers (commercial shipping & third countries)", "rows": [ { "metric": "equip:ships", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Ships / vessels", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "low": 6, "high": 6, "nClaims": 5, "nEvents": 5, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "loc": "Central Gulf ~68 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (EST from UKMTO range/bearing)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ukmto-1017-174-26-tanker-projectile-68nm-ne-al-jubayl", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261016-ukmto_warning_174-26.pdf", "text": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: UKMTO Warning 174-26 (time-late report, source CSO): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 68 NM northeast of Al Jubayl on 16 Oct at 0900UTC" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "loc": "Gulf of Oman, northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE (EST — no range/bearing given)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ukmto-1018-177-26-tug-struck-two-unknown-projectiles-ne-khor-fakkan", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261018-ukmto_warning_177-26.pdf", "text": "Liveuamap (cite-only) lists 'A vessel was targeted in northeastern Khorfakkan'. Attacker not named by UKMTO. First reported attack on the UAE east-coast (Khor Fakkan/Fujairah bypass) side in this window." } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "loc": "Northern Gulf ~30 NM southeast of Al Faw, Iraq — EST pin from range/bearing", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ukmto-180-26-tanker-projectile-30nm-se-al-faw", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_180_26.pdf?rev=e4123460cf8a4413b40a8800d280e6fe", "text": "incident 20 Oct 1830 UTC, source: Master): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile ~30 NM SE of Al Faw" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "loc": "Gulf waters ~11 NM west of Bukha, Musandam (Oman) — EST pin from range/bearing", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ukmto-179-26-tanker-projectile-fire-11nm-west-bukha", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_179_26.pdf?rev=1651a4e18c0a47ddbf483f9d6a025f2c", "text": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: UKMTO Warning 179-26 (incident 21 Oct 0145 UTC, source: local authorities): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 11 NM west of Bukha, starting a fire that was extinguished" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "loc": "Gulf of Oman ~30 km off Sohar, Oman (EST pin; position not confirmed)", "lo": 2, "hi": 2, "refs": [ { "id": "x-2112971209746858040-sprinterpress-ship-fire-30km-sohar", "url": "https://x.com/SprinterPress/status/2112971209746858040", "text": "@Krieg2026 says satellite imagery shows two tankers, one on fire and one leaking oil, in the ship-to-ship transfer zone north of Sohar" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:ships", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Ships / vessels", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "low": 6, "high": 8, "nClaims": 5, "nEvents": 5, "sourcesDisagree": true, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz (EST corridor pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-aj-1017-centcom-says-strait-cleared-of-mines-vs-irgc-mine-claims", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/17/us-and-iran-both-claim-control-of-strait-of-hormuz-amid-attacks-on-vessels", "text": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Al Jazeera (Tehran) said the US and Iran both claim control of Hormuz: IRGC says ships hit mines on unauthorized routes, while CENTCOM says it cleared the strait of mines and vessels are struck by projectiles" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "loc": "Sea of Oman / eastern Strait of Hormuz (claim; EST pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 3, "refs": [ { "id": "news-mehr-1017-artesh-navy-third-violator-tanker-fire-sea-oman-hormuz-not-open", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248654/Iran-Navy-says-no-of-ships-hit-in-east-of-Hormuz-rising", "text": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: Mehr reported the Iranian Army Navy's PR department said its surveillance teams found a 'violator' tanker that had caught fire and could not move in the Sea of Oman / eastern Strait of Hormuz on Saturday afternoon, said the numb" }, { "id": "news-mehr-1017-artesh-navy-third-violator-tanker-fire-sea-oman-hormuz-not-open", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248654/Iran-Navy-says-no-of-ships-hit-in-east-of-Hormuz-rising", "text": "Al Jazeera's live page (Oct 18) relays the Iran navy claim alongside the IRGC second-supertanker claim ('fires reported on three tankers')" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "loc": "Central Arabian Gulf / Strait of Hormuz (assessment; plotted EST central Gulf)", "lo": 2, "hi": 2, "refs": [ { "id": "news-jmic-106-1018-arabian-gulf-raised-substantial-mine-claims-unsubstantiated", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-106-jmic-advisory-note-18-october.pdf?rev=86f67da1821f4dcdb4e27868b6679729", "text": "says the IRGC Navy's Oct 17 claim that two supertankers struck mines has no substantiation" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "loc": "Southern / Omani-side Strait of Hormuz (position not stated; EST pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "x-2111935353859043810-iranintl-irgc-navy-third-tanker-mine-southern-hormuz-ais-off", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111935353859043810", "text": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: Iran's IRGC Navy said, in a statement carried by Iranian state media, that an oil tanker struck a naval mine south of the Strait of Hormuz, causing an explosion and fire in the engine room" } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "loc": "West of the Strait of Hormuz (EST)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-mehr-1022-irgc-navy-three-vessels-mines-west-hormuz", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248811/4-vessels-hit-by-IRGC-3-others-hit-mine-in-Strait-of-Hormuz", "text": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Same IRGC Navy statement says three other 'violating' vessels struck mines west of the Strait of Hormuz overnight, caught fire and were stopped." } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:ships", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Ships / vessels", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 5.0, "high": 5.0, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz / Gulf of Oman NE of Khor Fakkan, UAE (assessment; EST pin)", "lo": 5.0, "hi": 5.0, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ctp-1018-iran-update-iran-likely-attacked-tug-ne-khor-fakkan", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-18-2026", "text": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: CTP-ISW's Oct 18 Iran Update assessed that Iran likely attacked the tugboat UKMTO reported struck by two unknown projectiles NE of Khor Fakkan, linking it to Rezaei's Oct 11 claim that Iran attacks ~5 small vessels doing ship-to" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:energy", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Energy infrastructure (incidents)", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "low": 2, "high": 2, "nClaims": 3, "nEvents": 2, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "loc": "Tehran (statement; no location of action given)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "x-2111894465682006355-iranintl-abdollahi-armed-forces-chief-counting-down-harsher-response", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111894465682006355", "text": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 18: Iran International and IRNA ('Iran counting down for next enemy miscalculation: Armed Forces chief', 19:42Z) report Armed Forces Chief of Staff Ali Abdollahi warned the US and Israel of a harsher military response to any new att" }, { "id": "x-2111939847036514665-iranintl-irgc-mohabbi-energy-infrastructure-scorched-earth-israel", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111939847036514665", "text": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohabbi warned on X that any attack on Iran's energy infrastructure would trigger a devastating response against Israel." } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin on corridor)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "x-2112136350442963101-iranintl-mokhber-wont-relinquish-hormuz-strike-nine-countries", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112136350442963101", "text": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 19: Mohammad Mokhber, aide to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, rejected calls to relinquish control of Hormuz, likening it to the 1828 Treaty of Turkmenchay, called control of the strait major leverage, and warned that attacks on po" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:civilian_buildings", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Civilian buildings (incidents)", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "loc": "Central Gulf ~78 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (EST from UKMTO range/bearing)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ukmto-1017-175-26-tanker-rpg-small-boat-78nm-ne-al-jubayl", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261017-ukmto_warning-175-26.pdf", "text": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: UKMTO Warning 175-26 (source: Master): a tanker reported being attacked by an RPG from a small boat 78 NM northeast of Al Jubayl on 16 Oct at 1922UTC, damaging the aft port quarter" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:civilian_buildings", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Civilian buildings (incidents)", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz / Gulf of Oman NE of Khor Fakkan, UAE (assessment; EST pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ctp-1018-iran-update-iran-likely-attacked-tug-ne-khor-fakkan", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-18-2026", "text": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: CTP-ISW's Oct 18 Iran Update assessed that Iran likely attacked the tugboat UKMTO reported struck by two unknown projectiles NE of Khor Fakkan, linking it to Rezaei's Oct 11 claim that Iran attacks ~5 small vessels doing ship-to" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "equip:civilian_buildings", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Civilian buildings (incidents)", "claimant": "Media report: Gulf News", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "loc": "Arabian Sea near the Strait of Hormuz (CVN-73; EST pin)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-gulfnews-1019-cvn73-captain-deleo-iran-attempts-unsuccessful", "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/irans-attempts-to-strike-us-ships-near-hormuz-unsuccessful-uss-george-washington-captain-deleo-1.500716590", "text": "Nicholas DeLeo, commanding officer of USS George Washington (CVN-73), told reporters during a recent media visit in the 5th Fleet area that Iran had tried to strike a variety of ships near the Strait of Hormuz and none succeeded" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "low": 14, "high": 14, "nClaims": 15, "nEvents": 14, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "low": 6, "high": 6, "nClaims": 7, "nEvents": 6, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Media report: @IranIntl_En", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "US government (White House / State / Treasury)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Media report: The National", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Media report: Press TV", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "territory_claims", "category": "Territory", "label": "Territory lost — settlement / position claims", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "number of claim records in which this claimant says ground was taken from this side", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "loc": "Tehran (sources; not a battlefield location)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "news-asharq-reuters-1020-iran-prolongs-talks-preparing-renewed-attacks", "url": "https://english.aawsat.com/node/5331671", "text": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Asharq Al-Awsat carries Reuters: three senior Iranian officials and an insider say Iran is deliberately prolonging talks to weaken Trump before the Nov 3 midterms and is preparing for renewed attacks; Reuters says ship traffic through Hormuz is \"a trickle\"." } ] } ] }, { "metric": "territory_claims", "category": "Territory", "label": "Territory lost — settlement / position claims", "claimant": "US government (White House / State / Treasury)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "number of claim records in which this claimant says ground was taken from this side", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz (statement made in India)", "lo": 1, "hi": 1, "refs": [ { "id": "x-2112627447610904904-iranintl-rubio-nazi-uboat-tactics-traffic-80-100pct", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112627447610904904", "text": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran is deliberately attacking commercial ships, that Hormuz shipping/energy traffic recovered to 80–100% of prewar levels, and that \"extraordinary economic pressure\" will continue; Al Jazeera: a peace deal is \"extremely difficult\"." } ] } ] } ], "lossesSufferedBy": "Other", "civilianLine": "Civilians / seafarers (commercial shipping & third countries): no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.", "officialTallies": [] }, "Unclear": { "side": "Unclear", "label": "Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable)", "civLabel": "Civilians — side unclear", "rows": [ { "metric": "equip:aircraft", "category": "Equipment / infrastructure", "label": "Aircraft", "claimant": "Media report: Iran International", "low": 40.0, "high": 40.0, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "loc": "Iran (Tehran Mehrabad EST pin; locations of losses not stated)", "lo": 40.0, "hi": 40.0, "refs": [ { "id": "news-iranintl-1020-iran-air-chief-30-40-aircraft-destroyed-in-war", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610205886", "text": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: Iran Air CEO Abdolhai, cited by Nournews (close to the SNSC), says 30 to 40 operational aircraft were destroyed" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "low": 12, "high": 12, "nClaims": 13, "nEvents": 12, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Media report: @IranIntl", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Media report: Gulf News", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Media report: @RudawEnglish", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "strike_events", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Strike / attack events reported (deduped)", "claimant": "US government (White House / State / Treasury)", "low": 1, "high": 1, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area", "events": [] }, { "metric": "mun:air_strikes", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Launched against: Air strikes / raids", "claimant": "Media report: @IranIntl_En", "low": 3, "high": 3, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-22", "loc": "Hormozgan province (approx; exact base location not stated in source)", "lo": 3, "hi": 3, "refs": [ { "id": "x-2113343802819608866-iranintl-twz-eagle44-repairs", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113343802819608866", "text": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Iran International relays The War Zone, citing high-resolution imagery, that Iran is continuing construction and repairs at its Eagle 44 underground airbase in southern Hormozgan despite at least three rounds of strikes this yea" } ] } ] }, { "metric": "mun:ground_attacks", "category": "Strikes launched against", "label": "Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "low": 23.0, "high": 23.0, "nClaims": 1, "nEvents": 1, "sourcesDisagree": false, "basis": "per-event sum; repeat reports of one event (same UTC day, ~10 km area, claimant) counted once; range = lowest–highest figure per event", "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-21", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz (EST area pin)", "lo": 23.0, "hi": 23.0, "refs": [ { "id": "news-ctp-1021-iran-likely-more-accurate-ir-guided-weapons-engine-room-strikes", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-21-2026", "text": "cites Bloomberg that at least 5 of 23 recorded attacks in early October hit engine rooms, and WaPo/Kpler that Gulf oil exports are nearing prewar averages." } ] } ] } ], "lossesSufferedBy": "Unclear", "civilianLine": "Civilians — side unclear: no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.", "officialTallies": [] } }, "totalsNote": "totalsBySide[side] = losses SUFFERED by that side (target/victim parsed from claim text + claimant), credited to the claimant; 'Unclear' = victim side not determinable. Not based on the map's claim side tags.", "officialTallies": [], "components": [], "aggregates": [ { "claim_id": "news-jmic-106-1018-arabian-gulf-raised-substantial-mine-claims-unsubstantiated", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "munition", "metricKey": "mun:ground_attacks", "value": 4, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "aggregate", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-106-jmic-advisory-note-18-october.pdf?rev=86f67da1821f4dcdb4e27868b6679729", "clause": "Arabian Gulf threat level raised to SUBSTANTIAL after four Iranian attacks since Oct 7 (UKMTO 174-26 and 175-26 off Al Jubayl in the last 72h)" }, { "claim_id": "x-2112339897130344761-lloydslist-two-vlcc-attacks-off-saudi-record-october", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 2, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "aggregate", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://x.com/LloydsList/status/2112339897130344761", "clause": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Lloyd's List says two VLCC attacks off Saudi Arabia add to a record October escalation that has spread across vessel types and beyond Hormuz" } ], "territory": { "layer": { "baseline": [ "2026-10-16T14:00:00Z", "/workspace/claim-maps-reports/snapshots/iran-usa/2026-10-16" ], "nSnapshots": 2, "terrChanges": [], "newUnits": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T01:58:00Z", "id": "unit-ukmto-jubayl-tanker-attacks-1016", "name": "UKMTO reported tankers attacked — central Gulf NE of Al Jubayl (Saudi Arabia)", "side": "Other", "loc": "~68–78 NM NE of Al Jubayl (EST from UKMTO range/bearing)", "echelon": "ship", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261017-ukmto_warning-175-26.pdf", "status": "corroborated" }, { "ts": "2026-10-22T01:58:00Z", "id": "unit-ukmto-khorfakkan-tug-1018", "name": "Tug JIF BARRACUDA (NL-flagged, per Windward) struck by 2 unknown projectiles — Gulf of Oman NE of Khor Fakkan (UAE)", "side": "Other", "loc": "Northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE (EST — UKMTO gave no range/bearing)", "echelon": "ship", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261018-ukmto_warning_177-26.pdf", "status": "corroborated" } ], "movedUnits": [], "terrFeatures": 8, "terrRefreshed": 8, "terrRefreshedNames": [ "EST Iran-held Hormozgan coast / Bandar Abbas–Qeshm–Jask approaches", "EST contested Strait of Hormuz maritime corridor", "EST southern Hormuz / Omani-side corridor (US-challenged route theme)", "EST Iran-held Qeshm–Larak island approaches (after reported strike themes)", "EST reported US/partner basing presence — Bahrain (5th Fleet area) (NOT US sovereign territory)", "EST reported US/partner basing presence — Al Udeid / Qatar (NOT US sovereign territory)", "EST reported US/partner basing presence — Al Dhafra / UAE (NOT US sovereign territory)", "EST reported US/partner basing presence — Camp Arifjan / Kuwait (NOT US sovereign territory)" ], "unitsTotal": 178, "unitsRefreshed": 15, "terrGeneratedAt": "2026-10-22T01:58:00Z" }, "claims": [ { "claim_id": "news-asharq-reuters-1020-iran-prolongs-talks-preparing-renewed-attacks", "url": "https://english.aawsat.com/node/5331671", "handle": "Asharq Al-Awsat (Reuters)", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "claimant_side": "Iran", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "gain", "gainer": "Iran", "loser": "Other", "km2": [], "scope": "event", "loc": "Tehran (sources; not a battlefield location)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Asharq Al-Awsat carries Reuters: three senior Iranian officials and an insider say Iran is deliberately prolonging talks to weaken Trump before the Nov 3 midterms and is preparing for renewed attacks; Reuters says ship traffic through Hormuz is \"a trickle\"." }, { "claim_id": "x-2112627447610904904-iranintl-rubio-nazi-uboat-tactics-traffic-80-100pct", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112627447610904904", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (Rubio interview with Network18)", "claimant": "US government (White House / State / Treasury)", "claimant_side": "USA", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "gain", "gainer": "Iran", "loser": "Other", "km2": [], "scope": "event", "loc": "Strait of Hormuz (statement made in India)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran is deliberately attacking commercial ships, that Hormuz shipping/energy traffic recovered to 80–100% of prewar levels, and that \"extraordinary economic pressure\" will continue; Al Jazeera: a peace deal is \"extremely difficult\"." } ] }, "strikesLog": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "areas": [ { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (exact position not stated; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T01:47:34Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@RyanRozbiani (relaying IRGC Navy statement; also @MEBriefNews citing Tasnim, @Multipolar_RPT)", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 16: Accounts on X relayed an IRGC Navy statement (attributed by MEBriefNews to Tasnim) that a supertanker carrying over 2 million barrels of crude, which had disabled its navigation and radar systems and tried to transit the Strait of Hormuz with US military support, struck a naval mine, causing a massive explosion and fire. The IRGC Navy said the strait is closed. Vessel not named; no independent confirmation yet.", "url": "https://x.com/RyanRozbiani/status/2111272878800810426", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Central Gulf ~68 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (EST from UKMTO range/bearing)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T06:27:45Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "UKMTO (Warning 174-26; posted @UK_MTO 2111343387395919930)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: UKMTO Warning 174-26 (time-late report, source CSO): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 68 NM northeast of Al Jubayl on 16 Oct at 0900UTC; all crew safe and evacuated; no environmental impact reported. Reuters (via Arab News) and Iran International relayed it; Mehr misreported it as two tankers \"collided\".", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261016-ukmto_warning_174-26.pdf", "status": "corroborated" } ] }, { "area": "Central Gulf ~78 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (EST from UKMTO range/bearing)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T07:27:55Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "UKMTO (Warning 175-26; posted @UK_MTO 2111358532528591354)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: UKMTO Warning 175-26 (source: Master): a tanker reported being attacked by an RPG from a small boat 78 NM northeast of Al Jubayl on 16 Oct at 1922UTC, damaging the aft port quarter; crew safe; damage/environmental impact unknown. Al Jazeera called it \"a new type of attack\"; TradeWinds reports the target was a VLCC.", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261017-ukmto_warning-175-26.pdf", "status": "corroborated" } ] }, { "area": "Tehran (statement; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T09:04:41Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting Hassan Ghashghavi)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Iran International reported Hassan Ghashghavi, spokesman of parliament's national security committee, said claims that the Strait of Hormuz has reopened are \"completely false\" and that ending the conflict requires all sides to accept \"the reality on the ground\".", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111382883868827968", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "US Navy blockade line / Gulf of Oman off Fujairah (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T10:49:17Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@WindwardAI", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Windward said Windward and Vortexa data show a seven-day average of 9 million barrels of crude a day crossing the US Navy Blockade Line into the global market between Sep 20 and Oct 12, either straight from terminal loadings or via ship-to-ship transfers off Fujairah.", "url": "https://x.com/WindwardAI/status/2111409205643268403", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (EST corridor pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T12:10:56Z", "side": "USA", "type": "naval", "handle": "Al Jazeera (Maziar Motamedi)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Al Jazeera (Tehran) said the US and Iran both claim control of Hormuz: IRGC says ships hit mines on unauthorized routes, while CENTCOM says it cleared the strait of mines and vessels are struck by projectiles. UKMTO's weekly report counted 125 outbound and 129 inbound transits over seven days; Kpler put flows at 11.6M bpd (68% of pre-war) for the week to Oct 13.", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/17/us-and-iran-both-claim-control-of-strait-of-hormuz-amid-attacks-on-vessels", "status": "contradicted" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (position not stated; EST corridor pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T12:23:07Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "@PressTV (relaying IRGC Navy PR); also Mehr 248650", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Press TV and Mehr relayed an IRGC Navy statement that \"this morning\" (Sat Oct 17) a second supertanker carrying over 2 million barrels of crude, having switched off positioning/radar systems, tried to transit via an unauthorized route, hit a naval mine, suffered an engine-room explosion and came to a complete stop while on fire. Follows the IRGC's first supertanker mine claim overnight.", "url": "https://x.com/PressTV/status/2111432820707258804", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Statement (Araghchi at OIC meeting, Baghdad per Iranian media); EST pin Tehran", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T13:01:59Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting FM Abbas Araghchi)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Iran International reported FM Araghchi said Tehran had sent Washington, through Qatar, a seven-day plan under which the Strait of Hormuz could reopen and normal traffic resume if Iran's conditions were met; he blamed US military actions for blocking the June MoU.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111442601270288432", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Sea of Oman / eastern Strait of Hormuz (claim; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T16:51:08Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "Mehr News (Iran Army Navy PR)", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: Mehr reported the Iranian Army Navy's PR department said its surveillance teams found a 'violator' tanker that had caught fire and could not move in the Sea of Oman / eastern Strait of Hormuz on Saturday afternoon, said the number of ships hit is rising, claimed control over the eastern Hormuz, Arabian Sea and Sea of Oman, and said the strait is not open and ships must coordinate with Iran's armed forces. Al Jazeera's live page (Oct 18) relays the Iran navy claim alongside the IRGC second-supertanker claim ('fires reported on three tankers'). Vessel not named; no independent confirmation; UKMTO has no matching notice.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248654/Iran-Navy-says-no-of-ships-hit-in-east-of-Hormuz-rising", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Central Gulf ~68–78 NM NE of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia (assessment; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T18:00:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "naval", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats) Iran Update Oct 17", "summary": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 17: CTP-ISW's Oct 17 Iran Update assessed that the IRGC Navy likely carried out the two Oct 16 tanker attacks NE of al Jubail reported by UKMTO (174-26 projectile, 175-26 RPG from a small boat, likely an IRGC fast attack craft), noted the IRGC Navy claimed the vessels hit sea mines, and said the small-boat/RPG method suggests Iran still faces targeting constraints after US strikes on coastal radar. US/partner ops, US–Iran negotiations: 'Nothing significant to report'. Contradicts IRGC mine claims.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-17-2026", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "CENTCOM regional waters — Gulf of Oman / Arabian Sea blockade area (no position given; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T20:04:01Z", "side": "USA", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@CENTCOM", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: CENTCOM posted that USS Rafael Peralta (DDG 115) is transiting regional waters in support of the naval blockade against Iranian ports and that, as of Oct 17, CENTCOM forces have redirected 138 commercial vessels (up from 133 last reported Oct 9). No position published.", "url": "https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/2111548808232309120", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Erbil, Kurdistan Region of Iraq (city-level EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T20:39:39Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "strike", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Al Arabiya)", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: Iran International, citing Al Arabiya and a security source, reported drones targeted the headquarters of an Iranian Kurdish opposition group in Erbil on Saturday; group, casualties and damage not identified. Liveuamap (cite-only) lists 'Drones target Iranian Kurdish opposition bases in Erbil'; IRNA (Persian) reported an explosion heard in northern Iraq. Attacker not named.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111557774794695027", "status": "not_verified" } ] } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "areas": [ { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T01:48:25Z", "side": "USA", "type": "naval", "handle": "@IranIntl (Persian; quoting VP JD Vance to CBS News)", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: Iran International (Persian) reported VP JD Vance told CBS News (Tony Dokoupil) the US achieved a 'decisive victory' by destroying Iran's nuclear program but the war must continue so Iran cannot rebuild and to prevent a global energy crisis; he said gasoline prices are too high but would be triple if the US Navy were not keeping oil and gas flowing through the Strait of Hormuz.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl/status/2111635480714354908", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Gulf of Oman, northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE (EST — no range/bearing given)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T04:26:22Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "UKMTO (Warning 177-26; posted @UK_MTO 2111675229307044030)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 18: UKMTO Warning 177-26 (ATTACK, incident date 18 Oct, time TBC) — a tug travelling southbound reported being struck by 2 unknown projectiles northeast of Khor Fakkan; tug damaged but continuing on its route, one minor casualty. Relayed by Mehr, Middle East Eye, CBS News and Reuters (via X relays); Liveuamap (cite-only) lists 'A vessel was targeted in northeastern Khorfakkan'. Attacker not named by UKMTO. First reported attack on the UAE east-coast (Khor Fakkan/Fujairah bypass) side in this window.", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261018-ukmto_warning_177-26.pdf", "status": "corroborated" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement made in Baghdad; EST corridor pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T09:29:29Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "Reuters (via Arab News)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 18: Reuters (via Arab News) — Araghchi told Iranian media in Baghdad that Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days is still on the table; Tehran is reviewing US comments; conditions include lifting the US blockade on Iranian ports, lifting oil sanctions and ending hostilities on all fronts; strait would reopen within six days, talks the following day. Also carried by Iran International, Press TV, ISNA, Mehr, Tasnim (insecurity in Hormuz 'a direct result' of US-Israeli aggression), Asharq Al-Awsat, Al Arabiya, CBS. Reiterates the Oct 17 seven-day-plan line.", "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/iran-urges-us-to-accept-proposal-to-reopen-strait-of-hormuz-3006986", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Central Arabian Gulf / Strait of Hormuz (assessment; plotted EST central Gulf)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T13:00:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "JMIC Update 106 Advisory Note, 18 October (PDF via UKMTO / @UK_MTO)", "summary": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 18: JMIC Update 106 (ICOD 181300 UTC; posted by @UK_MTO 14:50Z). Arabian Gulf threat level raised to SUBSTANTIAL after four Iranian attacks since Oct 7 (UKMTO 174-26 and 175-26 off Al Jubayl in the last 72h); Strait of Hormuz stays SEVERE (one attack, UKMTO 177-26 tug NE of Khor Fakkan); says the IRGC Navy's Oct 17 claim that two supertankers struck mines has no substantiation. Gulf of Oman MODERATE: no new attacks; CENTCOM figure 138 vessels redirected (Oct 17), no new enforcement action announced. ~83 US-facilitated Hormuz transits Oct 15–18; ~217 vessels at anchor off Fujairah/Khor Fakkan on Oct 18. 153 incidents since 1 March.", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-106-jmic-advisory-note-18-october.pdf?rev=86f67da1821f4dcdb4e27868b6679729", "status": "corroborated" } ] }, { "area": "Koya (Koysinjaq), Erbil province, Kurdistan Region of Iraq (district-level EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T13:31:04Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "strike", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (citing Kurdistan local media / Sabireen News)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 18: Mehr says local Kurdistan media reported attacks on headquarters of 'anti-Iran separatist' groups in Erbil province; explosions heard in Koya district; Sabireen News (close to Iraqi resistance groups) says kamikaze drones targeted separatist HQs in Koya. Earlier (Mehr 02:56Z, citing Al-Mayadeen) an explosion/drone attack was reported on separatist HQs in Wadi Alane on Erbil's outskirts. Follows Oct 17 Erbil drone reports. Attacker not named by any official source; no Iranian claim found.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248684/Blasts-reported-in-separatist-groups-bases-in-Erbil", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz / Gulf of Oman NE of Khor Fakkan, UAE (assessment; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T18:00:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "naval", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats) Iran Update Oct 18", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: CTP-ISW's Oct 18 Iran Update assessed that Iran likely attacked the tugboat UKMTO reported struck by two unknown projectiles NE of Khor Fakkan, linking it to Rezaei's Oct 11 claim that Iran attacks ~5 small vessels doing ship-to-ship transfers per day. US and partner military operations and US–Iran negotiations: 'Nothing significant to report'.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-18-2026", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Southern / Omani-side Strait of Hormuz (position not stated; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T21:40:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: Iran's IRGC Navy said, in a statement carried by Iranian state media, that an oil tanker struck a naval mine south of the Strait of Hormuz, causing an explosion and fire in the engine room. It said the tanker had switched off positioning/navigation systems and was leaving via an 'unauthorized southern route'. Also relayed by Press TV, TASS and Reuters (via Times of Israel). Third such IRGC Navy mine claim since Oct 17.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111935353859043810", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Southern Strait of Hormuz (position not stated; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-18T23:13:13Z", "side": "Other", "type": "strike", "handle": "@BabakTaghvaee1", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: OSINT account Babak Taghvaee (The Crisis Watch) posted footage he says was filmed by IRGC-linked fishers and claimed the IRGC Navy used an anti-ship cruise missile on the tanker's engine room, contradicting the IRGC Navy's naval-mine claim.", "url": "https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2111958809551745381", "status": "not_verified" } ] } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "areas": [ { "area": "Gulf of Oman / Arabian Sea (statement; no position given — EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T03:12:07Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 19: IRGC deputy commander Mostafa Izadi, quoted by IRGC-affiliated Fars, said US forces at sea had moved about 700 km away to avoid IRGC Aerospace Force missiles and that IRGC missiles can now target enemy vessels.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112018933448671235", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin on corridor)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T10:58:42Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 19: Mohammad Mokhber, aide to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, rejected calls to relinquish control of Hormuz, likening it to the 1828 Treaty of Turkmenchay, called control of the strait major leverage, and warned that attacks on power plants or petrochemical sites would see Iran 'strike nine countries'.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112136350442963101", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Gulf of Oman NE of Khor Fakkan, UAE (EST pin, same as UKMTO 177-26)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T13:10:05Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@WindwardAI", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 19: Maritime-intelligence firm Windward named the tug UKMTO reported struck by two unknown projectiles NE of Khor Fakkan on Oct 18 as the Netherlands-flagged JIF BARRACUDA (IMO 9345506), said it had switched off AIS before crossing Hormuz on Oct 17, and attributed the strike to Iran.", "url": "https://x.com/WindwardAI/status/2112169415106068500", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz / Omani-side route (EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T15:09:05Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@TankerTrackers", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 19 (escalated to full territory rebuild): TankerTrackers says Iran has blacklisted 104 tankers while the 'Arab Dark Fleet' still shuttling oil is nearly four times that, with clients paying about $1.4M/day; in replies it says these ships use the Omani route rather than the Iranian route and switch AIS off.", "url": "https://x.com/TankerTrackers/status/2112199363175002595", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Konarak naval base, Sistan-Baluchestan coast, Gulf of Oman (EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T16:12:27Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "strike", "handle": "Dawn (citing Al Jazeera / Iranian navy)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 19 (escalated to full territory rebuild): Iran's regular navy told Al Jazeera that US forces attacked the Konarak naval base early Monday (about 1am local per Iranian outlet DEJ) with 'two light projectiles' aimed at a 35mm cannon, wounding two personnel. Also relayed by Sepah News (via FinancialJuice), Newsquawk (16:12Z) and Dawn. Would be the first reported strike on Iranian territory in about seven weeks. CENTCOM/Pentagon had not commented as of this run; competing OSINT versions (MQ-9 Hellfire vs carrier jets) are unconfirmed.", "url": "https://www.dawn.com/news/2038331", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement made in meeting with Russian PM Mishustin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T16:38:27Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "ISNA", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 19 (escalated to full territory rebuild): First Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref, meeting Russian PM Mishustin, said Iran has no choice but to exercise sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz to ensure its security and that the US is responsible for the situation and must bear the cost (IRNA/ISNA; relayed by IranPress and others).", "url": "https://en.isna.ir/news/1405072718467/Iran-has-no-choice-but-to-exercise-sovereignty-over-Strait-of", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Taftan-Mirjaveh crossing, Iran-Pakistan border (EST pin; Gabd-Rimdan also closed)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T18:00:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "blockade", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: CTP-ISW reports a Pakistani official announced on Oct 17 that Pakistan 'temporarily closed' the Gabd-Rimdan and Taftan-Mirjaveh crossings in Sistan and Baluchistan, citing security and smuggling concerns; Iranian MFA spokesman Baghaei said the closures are temporary and due to 'technical problems'. CTP assesses this disrupts one of Iran's last remaining trade channels amid the US naval blockade.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-19-2026", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Tehran (Foreign Ministry)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T20:42:19Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Irish Ambassador Aidan Cronin was called to Iran's Foreign Ministry on Monday to protest an EU statement condemning Tehran's threats to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and repression of its citizens.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112283225443995921", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (context pin; remarks made in New York)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-19T23:33:00Z", "side": "USA", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "gCaptain (Bloomberg)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Speaking at a Citadel Securities event in New York, Wright said the administration is working with investors who buy idled sanctioned tankers so they can carry non-sanctioned oil, citing the war and the 'effective closure' of the Strait of Hormuz; he estimated ~1,600 dark-fleet vessels. gCaptain (Bloomberg) adds that Gulf-to-East-Asia freight costs over six times pre-war levels.", "url": "https://gcaptain.com/u-s-to-allow-dark-fleet-tankers-to-shed-sanctions-wright-says/", "status": "official_statement" } ] } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "areas": [ { "area": "Gulf waters off Saudi Arabia (EST pin NE of Al Jubayl)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T00:27:31Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@LloydsList", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Lloyd's List says two VLCC attacks off Saudi Arabia add to a record October escalation that has spread across vessel types and beyond Hormuz; its linked article is headlined 'UAE-owned VLCC abandoned as attacks spread across Middle East Gulf'. Article body paywalled: dates and positions not visible, and these may be the Oct 16 Al Jubayl incidents already logged from UKMTO 174-26 / 175-26.", "url": "https://x.com/LloydsList/status/2112339897130344761", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Basra oil terminals / northern Gulf (EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T01:00:24Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Iraqi Oil Minister Basim Mohammed Khudair told INA that exports have risen above 3.4 million barrels per day since the start of October despite the war conditions in the Strait of Hormuz (via Iran International).", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112348174224658705", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Arabian Sea near the Strait of Hormuz (CVN-73; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T01:36:00Z", "side": "USA", "type": "naval", "handle": "Gulf News", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Gulf News reports that Capt. Nicholas DeLeo, commanding officer of USS George Washington (CVN-73), told reporters during a recent media visit in the 5th Fleet area that Iran had tried to strike a variety of ships near the Strait of Hormuz and none succeeded. Gulf News says the carrier is operating in the Arabian Sea near Hormuz supporting the US blockade and escorting tankers. Date of the media visit not stated.", "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/irans-attempts-to-strike-us-ships-near-hormuz-unsuccessful-uss-george-washington-captain-deleo-1.500716590", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Airspace over the Strait of Hormuz (EST pin; location not stated)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T04:08:29Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "air_defense", "handle": "Mehr News (IRGC statement)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: IRGC says its Aerospace Force air defenses, using new advanced systems in the integrated air defense network, intercepted and destroyed a US MQ-9 over Hormuz early Oct 20, the 54th it claims. IRNA ran the same item under an \"MQ-1\" headline but its text says MQ-9 (treated as one claim).", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248737/IRGC-downs-54th-US-MQ-9-drone-over-Strait-of-Hormuz", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (PGSA admin node, Bandar Abbas EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T09:23:04Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "Mehr News (PGSA statement)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: Iran's PGSA says 122 vessels have been added to its non-compliance list, action has been taken against more than 40, 19 are negotiating, two agreed to meet obligations, and about 30 more will be listed if they ignore warnings (up from 82 listed on Oct 2).", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248748/122-vessels-so-far-been-added-to-PGSA-non-compliance-list", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Southern / Omani-side Hormuz route (EST pin; exact location not stated)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T09:52:43Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "Mehr News (IRGC statement)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: IRGC statement (Sepah News, relayed by Mehr, IRNA, ISNA, Press TV, Gulf News, MEE) says two non-compliant tankers caught fire and were halted after hitting mines laid on a prohibited route in the southern Strait of Hormuz. Tankers not named; MEE notes the statement did not say when they were hit. Fourth to fifth such IRGC mine claim since Oct 17.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248750/Two-oil-tankers-on-fire-after-hitting-mine-in-Hormuz-Strait", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Arabian Sea ~121 NM east of Duqm, Oman (EST pin from bearing/range)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T11:14:42Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "UKMTO (@UK_MTO)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: UKMTO advisory 178-26 (posted Oct 20) reports an incident on 19 Oct at 1000 UTC involving a tanker and military forces about 121 NM east of Duqm; the tanker was \"subject to interaction as part of ongoing military activity\". Forces and nationality not named; investigations ongoing.", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261019-ukmto_advisory-178-26.pdf?rev=a15a939e805e4eb7a7eb3bd11109c907", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Northern Gulf ~30 NM southeast of Al Faw, Iraq — EST pin from range/bearing", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T18:30:00Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "UKMTO (@UK_MTO)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: UKMTO Warning 180-26 (time-late report; incident 20 Oct 1830 UTC, source: Master): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile ~30 NM SE of Al Faw; crew safe, no damage or environmental impact reported. Mehr reported it as 28 NM SE. Attacker not named.", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_180_26.pdf?rev=e4123460cf8a4413b40a8800d280e6fe", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Southern / Omani-side Hormuz route (EST; exact position not stated)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T18:43:50Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "Mehr News (IRGC Navy statement)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 20 LIGHT: IRGC Navy (via IRIB ~16:51Z, Mehr 18:43Z, Iran International 17:05Z) says a 'violating' supertanker carrying more than 2 million barrels of crude struck a naval mine on the southern route, after switching off its AIS/radar and ignoring warnings, and released footage. Vessel not named. Some OSINT accounts suggest a drone strike instead (unsourced, not ingested separately).", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248766/Super-tanker-set-ablaze-after-hitting-mine-in-Hormuz-VIDEO", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Southern corridor, Strait of Hormuz (EST area)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T18:45:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "Press TV (Artesh Navy)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Press TV: the Iranian Army Navy identified a violating tanker that caught fire in a prohibited zone in the southern corridor of the Strait of Hormuz — likely the same supertanker the IRGC Navy says hit a mine.", "url": "https://presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/10/20/778797/iran-navy-spots-burning-violating-tanker-in-prohibited-hormuz-corridor", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement made in India)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T19:30:08Z", "side": "USA", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (Rubio interview with Network18)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran is deliberately attacking commercial ships, that Hormuz shipping/energy traffic recovered to 80–100% of prewar levels, and that \"extraordinary economic pressure\" will continue; Al Jazeera: a peace deal is \"extremely difficult\".", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112627447610904904", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement; area)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T20:42:02Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Fars)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Iran International, citing IRGC-affiliated Fars, reports IRGC Deputy Commander Mostafa Izadi said the Guards have operational control of the Strait of Hormuz and will keep it as long as Iran chooses. FinancialJuice relayed a similar IRNA line attributed to a Maj. Gen. (\"Yazidi\").", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112645541289234854", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement; interview to Iraqi TV)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-20T21:40:52Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Araghchi told Iraq's Al Ekhbariya TV the strait will remain closed absent an agreement; under Iran's seven-day initiative it was to be fully reopened on day six; US agreed but wanted extra provisions.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112660345131008400", "status": "official_statement" } ] } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "areas": [ { "area": "Gulf waters ~11 NM west of Bukha, Musandam (Oman) — EST pin from range/bearing", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T01:45:00Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "UKMTO (@UK_MTO)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: UKMTO Warning 179-26 (incident 21 Oct 0145 UTC, source: local authorities): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 11 NM west of Bukha, starting a fire that was extinguished; tanker now at anchor, crew safe. Attacker not named. Also reported by AFP (Asharq Al-Awsat, Gulf News), Mehr, Iran International and Windward.", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_179_26.pdf?rev=1651a4e18c0a47ddbf483f9d6a025f2c", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Balisan valley, northeast of Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan (EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T07:03:59Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "strike", "handle": "@RudawEnglish (PAK spokesperson)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Rudaw English cites PAK spokesperson Rebaz Sharifi; follow-up says at least two projectiles struck PAK positions.", "url": "https://x.com/RudawEnglish/status/2112802057610830192", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T17:45:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@PressTV", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 21 LIGHT: Press TV (X) reports IRGC spokesman Brig. Gen. Hossein Mohebbi saying the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to US and Israeli vessels and all warships. Iranian official claim; no independent confirmation of enforcement in this window. Regional flows data (Kpler/WSJ via X) say Gulf exports are above pre-war levels.", "url": "https://x.com/PressTV/status/2112963375038705781", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "~11 NM west of Bukha, Musandam, Oman (UKMTO 179-26 position; EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T17:48:32Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@sarbanandsonwal (India Minister of Shipping)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Indian Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal names the tanker as Kuwait-flagged M/T AL DASMA with 21 Indian crew, all safe; NAVAREA IX / Vanguard (per @WarWired) link it to UKMTO 179-26 off Bukha.", "url": "https://x.com/sarbanandsonwal/status/2112964265129001212", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (EST area pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T18:00:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "strike", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 21 assesses Iran may have used more accurate systems against commercial shipping in the past two weeks; cites Bloomberg that at least 5 of 23 recorded attacks in early October hit engine rooms, and WaPo/Kpler that Gulf oil exports are nearing prewar averages.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-21-2026", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Gulf of Oman ~30 km off Sohar, Oman (EST pin; position not confirmed)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T18:16:08Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "@SprinterPress", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 21 LIGHT: Several aggregator accounts (earliest seen @Naz1186 15:42Z, @SprinterPress 18:16Z, @Krieg2026 18:21Z, @entre_guerras_ 18:00Z) report a large ship fire about 30 km from Sohar; @Krieg2026 says satellite imagery shows two tankers, one on fire and one leaking oil, in the ship-to-ship transfer zone north of Sohar. No UKMTO warning (181-26 not found), JMIC, or wire report confirms a new incident; cause and date unconfirmed. Not added as a territory claim.", "url": "https://x.com/SprinterPress/status/2112971209746858040", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Sirik, Hormozgan Province, Iran (plotted at town)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T19:31:00Z", "side": "Unknown", "type": "strike", "handle": "Mehr News Agency", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Mehr cites local Iranian media that explosions were heard in Sirik on Wednesday night; local officials had not commented.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248810/Explosions-heard-in-Sirik-in-south-Iran", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Tehran (statement pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-21T23:09:16Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing IRNA)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Iran International relays IRNA: Iran called on the UN to condemn what it calls a continuing US maritime blockade and demand it end.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113044981741203717", "status": "official_statement" } ] } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "areas": [ { "area": "Sirik area, Hormozgan (EST pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T01:03:10Z", "side": "USA", "type": "strike", "handle": "@WorldConflict_X", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Aggregator accounts (@MENAPobserver 19:56Z citing local Iranian reports, @WorldConflict_X 01:03Z) claim the Sirik blasts were a US strike on an IRGC ASCM launch unit. No US official or Iranian official confirmation; Iranian state media say the cause is unclear.", "url": "https://x.com/WorldConflict_X/status/2113073646461993293", "status": "not_verified" }, { "ts": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "side": "USA", "type": "strike", "handle": "CTP-ISW Iran Update (Critical Threats)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 22 FULL: The CTP-ISW Iran Update (Oct 22) notes that an Israeli media outlet and an OSINT account claimed US forces struck IRGC missile launchers near Sirik on Oct 22, and that CENTCOM has not confirmed any US strikes in Iran.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-22-2026", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Northern-central Persian Gulf (EST, location not specified)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T05:32:50Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy statement)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: IRGC Navy statement (Mehr) says four 'violating' vessels transferring oil cargo ship-to-ship in the northern Persian Gulf were hit simultaneously and are burning; it also warned the conflict could extend to US bases in the region. Ships, flags and casualties not identified.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248811/4-vessels-hit-by-IRGC-3-others-hit-mine-in-Strait-of-Hormuz", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "West of the Strait of Hormuz (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T05:32:50Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy statement)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Same IRGC Navy statement says three other 'violating' vessels struck mines west of the Strait of Hormuz overnight, caught fire and were stopped.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248811/4-vessels-hit-by-IRGC-3-others-hit-mine-in-Strait-of-Hormuz", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Eastern Strait of Hormuz (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T09:27:53Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "@PressTV", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Press TV relays an Artesh Navy message that it maintains a strong presence at sea and along the coast in the eastern Strait of Hormuz.", "url": "https://x.com/PressTV/status/2113200662209306863", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Sea of Oman east of Hormuz (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T11:05:27Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "Tasnim", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 22 FULL: Tasnim (full article; the midday run only had the IRNA headline) quotes Iran Army chief Hatami saying Iran has deployed equipment incl. naval mines and automated control systems to enforce its Hormuz/Gulf/Sea of Oman traffic rules, that the Navy has a strong presence east of Hormuz, and that any enemy vessel entering the area would be targeted.", "url": "https://www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/22/3729579/army-chief-iran-fully-prepared-for-asymmetric-warfar", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T16:00:00Z", "side": "USA", "type": "naval", "handle": "Al Jazeera (with AFP, AP)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Trump on Truth Social accused Iran of inventing hits and mines to raise oil prices; an anonymous CENTCOM spokesperson told Al Jazeera Iran's mine claims are incorrect, US forces have cleared the shipping lanes of mines, Iran is using missiles and drones, and 95 percent of vessels are getting through.", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/22/iran-says-seven-ships-hit-in-hormuz-strait-warns-us-of-wider-response", "status": "contradicted" } ] }, { "area": "Gulf of Oman / Arabian Sea blockade area (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T17:56:39Z", "side": "USA", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@CENTCOM", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: CENTCOM says it is 100 days since US forces resumed the naval blockade of Iran, which it says has prevented at least $25 billion of Iranian crude exports.", "url": "https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/2113328696153215144", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Gulf of Oman / beyond blockade line (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "blockade", "handle": "CTP-ISW Iran Update citing WSJ / Kpler", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 22 FULL: CTP-ISW cites the Wall Street Journal (Oct 21, Kpler data) that Iran has exhausted the oil it had stored on vessels anchored beyond the US blockade line and previously sold to China; CTP assesses blockade costs may push Iran to intensify efforts to break it.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-22-2026", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Umm Al Quwain coast, UAE (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-22T23:54:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "The National (UAE MOCCAE statement)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 22 FULL: The National reports the UAE Ministry of Climate Change and Environment confirmed a tanker oil spill affecting Umm Al Quwain's beaches and closed them; the ministry did not name the vessel; The National notes maritime agencies say the Gem No.2 was struck in a suspected Iranian drone attack Oct 9-10.", "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2026/10/22/uae-strong-smell-tanker-oil-spill/", "status": "official_statement" } ] } ] }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "areas": [ { "area": "US blockade line — Gulf of Oman (theme pin, EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T06:58:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "blockade", "handle": "Iran International (Kpler / China customs data)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Iran International: China imported 276k bpd recorded as Malaysian in September vs ~1.3M bpd 2025 average; Kpler data show Iranian oil afloat outside the US blockade line fell to zero by mid-October.", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610222999", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Strait of Hormuz (statement pin, EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T09:31:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "naval", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy commander)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Mehr quotes IRGC Navy commander Ali Ozmaei saying US forces are no longer in the Persian Gulf and have moved 600–700 km from Hormuz. Contrasts with CENTCOM/Trump statements that the US blockade and escorted transits continue.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248831/US-forces-deployed-600-700-km-away-from-Strait-of-Hormuz", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Iran's southern waters / southern Hormuz route (EST, location not stated)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T11:01:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "strike", "handle": "Tasnim News Agency (unnamed IRGC Navy-linked source)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Tasnim cites an unnamed source close to the IRGC Navy: movement of 'non-compliant' vessels has completely halted after destruction of navigational-aid systems, strikes on three tankers Thursday and destruction of another tanker 'last night'; warns of a more forceful response to any renewed US aerial intervention. Press TV (citing Fars) carried the same report.", "url": "https://www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/23/3730169/irgc-navy-s-decisive-action-halts-violations-by-offending-vessels-source", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Gulf of Oman ship-to-ship transfer area (EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T11:14:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "civilian_vessel", "handle": "gCaptain (Bloomberg)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Bloomberg (via gCaptain), from Vortexa/Equasis/Signal data: Sinokor vessels moved 105.6M bbl through Hormuz in September, more than Bahri, KOTC and ADNOC shipping combined; shuttle trade discharges at STS points in the Gulf of Oman. Gulf exports near pre-war levels.", "url": "https://gcaptain.com/south-korean-shipowner-sinokor-dominates-hormuz-transits-as-oil-flows-rebound/", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "New York (UN) (statement pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T11:32:00Z", "side": "USA", "type": "blockade", "handle": "Iran International (Financial Times interview)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Iran International relays a Financial Times interview: Waltz says the US is prepared for a prolonged confrontation and can keep the blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely; The Atlantic reports Trump is weighing several days of renewed strikes after the Nov 3 midterms (no decision made). CBS: Waltz said the war could last another year.", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610234921", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "US base in Saudi Arabia (photo caption; plotted at Prince Sultan AB, approx)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T11:43:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "strike", "handle": "Press TV (MeidasTouch / VALOR Media Network)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Press TV says MeidasTouch, with VALOR Media Network, obtained never-published photos/videos of damage to US facilities across the region from earlier Iranian strikes, with troops criticizing preparations.", "url": "https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/10/23/779009/Images-troops-reveal-damage-at-US-bases", "status": "not_verified" } ] }, { "area": "Tehran (statement pin)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T12:43:38Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Iran International: presidential chief of staff Mohsen Haji-Mirzaei said imports fell 25% since southern ports were blockaded; ~75% of imports previously came via southern ports.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113612308710674793", "status": "official_statement" } ] }, { "area": "Kharg Island (export theme pin, EST)", "items": [ { "ts": "2026-10-23T13:33:02Z", "side": "Other", "type": "blockade", "handle": "@TankerTrackers", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: TankerTrackers compares Middle East crude exports with the Jan–Feb 2026 average: Iran -100% (over 3 months), Iraq -13%, Kuwait -39%, Oman -2%, Qatar -47%, Saudi +10% (west coast +296%, east -27%), UAE +6%.", "url": "https://x.com/TankerTrackers/status/2113624742926471493", "status": "not_verified" } ] } ] } ], "diplomacy": [ { "ts": "2026-10-17T00:23:34Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "@PressTV", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 16: Press TV reported an Iranian deputy foreign minister insisted Lebanon must be included in any agreement ending the war (negotiating position).", "url": "https://x.com/PressTV/status/2111251740788220198", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-17T08:42:57Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting MP Yaghoub Rezazadeh)", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Iran International reported MP Yaghoub Rezazadeh (national security committee) said Iran awaits a US response to its conditions, talks run via Qatar and Oman with SNSC approval, and he does not expect fighting before the US midterms and Israel's elections; \"If Iran is attacked, we will respond forcefully.\"", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111377413280006490", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-17T14:42:30Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "Times of India (relaying IRIB)", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: Times of India (video report) said Iran's state broadcaster IRIB claimed Washington approached Tehran through back channels seeking a limited attack (on Pickaxe Mountain) with no Iranian retaliation, and that Iran rejected the proposal and put forces on high alert. Other reports attribute the claim to IRIB correspondent Morteza Ghoroghi (~03:00Z Oct 17). Not confirmed by US or Iranian governments.", "url": "https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/videos/international/trump-seeks-irans-permission-to-drop-mother-of-all-bombs-big-reveal/videoshow/135016026.cms", "status": "not_verified" }, { "ts": "2026-10-18T08:33:23Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 18: Iran's parliament approved Mehrdad Akhlaghi Ketabchi (sanctioned missile-industry veteran with IRGC ties) as defense minister, 237 for / 15 against of 277 (Iran International, IRNA, ISNA, Mehr, Fars, Tasnim, Press TV, Al Jazeera). Akhlaghi warned Trump against another attack, saying Washington should think about getting its personnel out of the region safely; Iran International quotes him: 'If he drops one bomb, he should see how many of his people he will have to carry out horizontally (dead)'. Fars (Persian) carries the same line plus a warning of a 'surprising and widespread' response. He replaces Aziz Nasirzadeh, killed Feb 28. IRGC chief Vahidi pledged 'synergy' with the ministry (Tasnim). President Pezeshkian: Iran does not intend to attack any country but will respond forcefully (Liveuamap / Press TV).", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111737393438978526", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-18T21:16:06Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi, responding on X to Trump's 'soon finish the job' warning, said Iran emerged stronger last time and warned it has 'unfinished jobs too'; he accused Netanyahu of pushing Washington into another war to stay out of jail. Also carried by Press TV, Fars and Al Jazeera.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111929336458891377", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-19T13:49:39Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 19: At a joint news conference with Russian FM Sergei Lavrov in Tehran, Iran's FM Abbas Araghchi blamed the US for insecurity in Hormuz and said regional disputes should be resolved through diplomacy (also AJE X 13:40Z). Lavrov's visit follows the GCC–Russia meeting in Manama.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112179374166347920", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-19T21:01:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "Mehr News Agency", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Mehr, citing local Iranian media, says Field Marshal Asim Munir will travel to Tehran on Tuesday for consultations with Iranian officials, with Pakistan's potential mediation between Iran and the US among the agenda items.", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248730/Pakistan-army-chief-to-visit-Tehran-on-Tuesday", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T00:08:00Z", "side": "USA", "type": "movement", "handle": "Al Jazeera (citing Axios)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Al Jazeera and Reuters, citing Axios and two sources, report Hegseth met Netanyahu in Israel on Monday; Reuters could not immediately confirm, and the Pentagon did not immediately comment. Comes amid US and Israeli talk of possible renewed strikes on Iran.", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/20/hegseth-meets-netanyahu-in-unannounced-israel-visit", "status": "not_verified" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T09:38:46Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "Mehr News (Qatar MFA)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: Qatar's Foreign Ministry spokesman Majed al-Ansari says Iran–US talks are continuing with engagement from both parties and that the lack of public news is a good sign; also warned of wider regional war (Mehr, Asharq Al-Awsat).", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248749/Qatar-says-Iran-US-talks-ongoing-warns-of-wider-regional-war", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T11:20:45Z", "side": "Other", "type": "movement", "handle": "IRNA", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: IRNA and ISNA report Munir arrived in Tehran Oct 20 for talks. FM Baghaei said he did not know the visit's purpose; an Iranian MP said it is bilateral and not mediation, while Pakistan's Deputy PM Dar (IRNA 13:28Z) says Islamabad will continue mediation between the US and Iran.", "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86298358/Pakistani-Army-Chief-arrives-in-Tehran", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T12:06:47Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "The National (citing Iran's ambassador on X)", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: Iranian ambassador Mohammad Al Sadegh says the Iraq–Iran joint security committee (Baghdad, Oct 19) agreed to remove Iranian Kurdish separatist groups from the Kurdistan Region or hand them over. No immediate Iraqi or KRG comment; Iraqi readout only mentions \"appropriate solutions\". Follows drone attacks on Kurdish opposition bases in Erbil/Koya Oct 17-18.", "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/20/iran-says-iraq-has-agreed-to-expel-iranian-kurdish-opposition-groups-from-kurdistan-region/", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T14:59:34Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "Mehr News (citing Arab media)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 20 LIGHT: Mehr relays unnamed Arab media reports that Washington and Tehran preliminarily approved a fresh compromise proposal from Pakistan and Qatar. Same day Iran's lead negotiator Ghalibaf said Iran has 'no new words' beyond its seven conditions (IRNA/Mehr/ISNA).", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248760/Iran-US-give-approval-to-new-proposal-report", "status": "not_verified" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T16:30:25Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "Asharq Al-Awsat (Reuters)", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Asharq Al-Awsat carries Reuters: three senior Iranian officials and an insider say Iran is deliberately prolonging talks to weaken Trump before the Nov 3 midterms and is preparing for renewed attacks; Reuters says ship traffic through Hormuz is \"a trickle\".", "url": "https://english.aawsat.com/node/5331671", "status": "not_verified" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T17:27:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "Iran International", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 20 LIGHT: Iran International reports Israeli PM Netanyahu said toppling the Islamic Republic is the 'primary objective', after talks with US officials.", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610209049", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T19:02:14Z", "side": "USA", "type": "other", "handle": "The National", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: The National: US ambassador to Turkey / envoy for Syria and Iraq Tom Barrack said Tehran's government is \"not an evil regime\" while the IRGC \"has become an adversary\"; urged a negotiated settlement over regime change. State Dept did not comment.", "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2026/10/20/tom-barrack-iran-not-evil/", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-20T19:18:40Z", "side": "Other", "type": "movement", "handle": "IRNA", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 20 LIGHT: IRNA says Munir and his delegation left Tehran on Tuesday evening after meeting senior Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian; Pakistan says its mediation between Tehran and Washington continues.", "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86298747/Pakistani-Army-chief-departs-for-Islamabad", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-21T06:33:00Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "IRNA", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: IRNA: FM Araghchi said the US agreed to the conditions in Iran's seven-day initiative but requested additional clauses; ISNA quotes him tying Hormuz reopening to the Islamabad MoU; Iran International (13:53Z) quotes him saying progress depends on the US meeting Tehran's conditions. No US confirmation found.", "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86298957/US-accepted-Iran-s-seven-day-proposal-but-sought-additional-terms", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-21T12:09:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "IRNA", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: IRNA: President Putin, meeting Trump's special envoy, said Moscow is willing to help resolve the Iran–US conflict. Asharq/AP: Putin hosted the envoy for new Ukraine talks.", "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86299537/Russia-is-ready-to-help-resolve-US-Iran-conflict-Putin-tells", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-21T13:53:42Z", "side": "Iran", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 21 LIGHT: Iran International (X) quotes FM Araghchi saying progress in negotiations with Washington and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz depend on the US meeting Tehran's conditions. IRNA headlines the same day (14:11Z, 18:44Z): 'If US prefers war over diplomacy, it will certainly suffer an even greater strategic defeat' (IRNA article pages redirected and were not read).", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112905168165486747", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-21T17:40:12Z", "side": "USA", "type": "other", "handle": "@Reuters", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 21 LIGHT: Reuters reports the US imposed sanctions on a Greek and Panama law firm for helping Iran shipping. Treasury notice not fetched this run.", "url": "https://x.com/Reuters/status/2112962166185721965", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-21T18:53:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "Iran International", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Iraqi govt spokesperson blamed technical readiness for the Sheeb closure; Al Jazeera (Iraqi official) and AFP (two political sources) report more crossings may close under US pressure; Iranian officials say Iraq gave no notice and talks to reopen are under way. CTP-ISW Oct 21 also reports the closure.", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610219901", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-21T21:48:00Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "Al Jazeera", "summary": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 21 FULL: Emir Tamim and President Macron joint statement calls for freedom of navigation in Hormuz without constraints or fees and condemns Iranian military attacks on regional countries.", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/22/qatar-france-call-for-opening-of-hormuz-and-gaza-ceasefire-implementation", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-22T17:48:36Z", "side": "USA", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (State Department readout)", "summary": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Iran International relays a State Department readout: Secretary Rubio reaffirmed US commitment to Qatar's security and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz in a call with Qatar's PM/FM.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113326671168245870", "status": "official_statement" }, { "ts": "2026-10-23T13:24:18Z", "side": "Other", "type": "other", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "summary": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 23 FULL: Iran International: Turkish FM Fidan posed with counterparts from Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, France, Germany, Britain and Italy before talks covering the US-Iran war and Hormuz; its analysis frames a possible 'division of labor' focused on containing the Houthis. UK FCDO says passage through Hormuz 'remains under threat'.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113622546201387060", "status": "not_verified" } ], "outlook": [ { "kind": "contradiction", "text": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Tasnim, citing an informed source, said no Qatari delegation travelled to Iran, contradicting Nour News (Iran Intl earlier relayed state-media reports of a Qatari visit after Munir left).", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112636647171150176", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Tasnim / Nour News)", "ts": "2026-10-20T20:06:42Z" }, { "kind": "contradiction", "text": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 20 FULL: Iran International, citing IRGC-affiliated Fars, says the crossings remained closed Tuesday evening despite Pakistani army chief Munir announcing they had reopened; from Wednesday only limited flows would be allowed per the Pakistani side.", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112652494820319624", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Fars)", "ts": "2026-10-20T21:09:40Z" }, { "kind": "contradiction", "text": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: ISNA: the Iranian Interior Ministry spokesperson said trade with Pakistan continues without interruption at the border terminals. Contradicts Iran International (Oct 20) and Fars (via Iran Intl, Oct 20) reports that the Gabd–Rimdan/Taftan crossings were halted/closed.", "url": "https://en.isna.ir/news/1405072919826/Iran-Pakistan-border-trade-ongoing-diplomatic-efforts-continue", "handle": "ISNA", "ts": "2026-10-21T09:56:00Z" }, { "kind": "contradiction", "text": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Trump on Truth Social accused Iran of inventing hits and mines to raise oil prices; an anonymous CENTCOM spokesperson told Al Jazeera Iran's mine claims are incorrect, US forces have cleared the shipping lanes of mines, Iran is using missiles and drones, and 95 percent of vessels are getting through.", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/22/iran-says-seven-ships-hit-in-hormuz-strait-warns-us-of-wider-response", "handle": "Al Jazeera (with AFP, AP)", "ts": "2026-10-22T16:00:00Z" }, { "kind": "open", "text": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 22 FULL: The CTP-ISW Iran Update (Oct 22) notes that an Israeli media outlet and an OSINT account claimed US forces struck IRGC missile launchers near Sirik on Oct 22, and that CENTCOM has not confirmed any US strikes in Iran.", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-22-2026", "handle": "CTP-ISW Iran Update (Critical Threats)", "ts": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z" }, { "kind": "open", "text": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 21 LIGHT: Several aggregator accounts (earliest seen @Naz1186 15:42Z, @SprinterPress 18:16Z, @Krieg2026 18:21Z, @entre_guerras_ 18:00Z) report a large ship fire about 30 km from Sohar; @Krieg2026 says satellite imagery shows two tankers, one on fire and one leaking oil, in the ship-to-ship transfer zone north of Sohar. No UKMTO warning (181-26 not found), JMIC, or wire report confirms a new incident; cause and date unconfirmed. Not added as a territory claim.", "url": "https://x.com/SprinterPress/status/2112971209746858040", "handle": "@SprinterPress", "ts": "2026-10-21T18:16:08Z" }, { "kind": "open", "text": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 21 LIGHT: Press TV (X) reports IRGC spokesman Brig. Gen. Hossein Mohebbi saying the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to US and Israeli vessels and all warships. Iranian official claim; no independent confirmation of enforcement in this window. Regional flows data (Kpler/WSJ via X) say Gulf exports are above pre-war levels.", "url": "https://x.com/PressTV/status/2112963375038705781", "handle": "@PressTV", "ts": "2026-10-21T17:45:00Z" }, { "kind": "territory", "text": "Whether any of this week’s territorial claims (Section 4) appear in independent assessed-control reporting; this site’s EST territory layer showed no assessed change this week.", "url": null, "handle": null, "ts": null } ], "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-22-2026", "handle": "CTP-ISW Iran Update (Critical Threats)", "n": 4 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248811/4-vessels-hit-by-IRGC-3-others-hit-mine-in-Strait-of-Hormuz", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy statement)", "n": 2 }, { "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-19-2026", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats)", "n": 2 }, { "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86298358/Pakistani-Army-Chief-arrives-in-Tehran", "handle": "IRNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86298747/Pakistani-Army-chief-departs-for-Islamabad", "handle": "IRNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86298957/US-accepted-Iran-s-seven-day-proposal-but-sought-additional-terms", "handle": "IRNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86299537/Russia-is-ready-to-help-resolve-US-Iran-conflict-Putin-tells", "handle": "IRNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.irna.ir/news/86300287/Iran-Army-chief-says-drone-capabilities-strengthened-forces", "handle": "IRNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.isna.ir/news/1405072718467/Iran-has-no-choice-but-to-exercise-sovereignty-over-Strait-of", "handle": "ISNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.isna.ir/news/1405072919826/Iran-Pakistan-border-trade-ongoing-diplomatic-efforts-continue", "handle": "ISNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.isna.ir/news/1405072919843/US-forces-distance-themselves-from-Strait-of-Hormuz-to-evade", "handle": "ISNA", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248654/Iran-Navy-says-no-of-ships-hit-in-east-of-Hormuz-rising", "handle": "Mehr News (Iran Army Navy PR)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248684/Blasts-reported-in-separatist-groups-bases-in-Erbil", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (citing Kurdistan local media / Sabireen News)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248723/World-to-face-serious-energy-crisis-if-US-resumes-war-on-Iran", "handle": "Mehr News (Tehran Times interview)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248729/Iran-will-defend-itself-under-any-circumstances", "handle": "Mehr News Agency", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248730/Pakistan-army-chief-to-visit-Tehran-on-Tuesday", "handle": "Mehr News Agency", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248737/IRGC-downs-54th-US-MQ-9-drone-over-Strait-of-Hormuz", "handle": "Mehr News (IRGC statement)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248748/122-vessels-so-far-been-added-to-PGSA-non-compliance-list", "handle": "Mehr News (PGSA statement)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248749/Qatar-says-Iran-US-talks-ongoing-warns-of-wider-regional-war", "handle": "Mehr News (Qatar MFA)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248750/Two-oil-tankers-on-fire-after-hitting-mine-in-Hormuz-Strait", "handle": "Mehr News (IRGC statement)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248760/Iran-US-give-approval-to-new-proposal-report", "handle": "Mehr News (citing Arab media)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248765/Ukraine-s-deployst-micro-drones-in-regional-countries-report", "handle": "Mehr News (citing unnamed security source)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248766/Super-tanker-set-ablaze-after-hitting-mine-in-Hormuz-VIDEO", "handle": "Mehr News (IRGC Navy statement)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248773/Iran-to-target-internet-cables-in-Hormuz-if-infrsutucture-hit", "handle": "Mehr News Agency", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248810/Explosions-heard-in-Sirik-in-south-Iran", "handle": "Mehr News Agency", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248831/US-forces-deployed-600-700-km-away-from-Strait-of-Hormuz", "handle": "Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy commander)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://english.aawsat.com/node/5331001", "handle": "Asharq Al-Awsat", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://english.aawsat.com/node/5331671", "handle": "Asharq Al-Awsat (Reuters)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://gcaptain.com/south-korean-shipowner-sinokor-dominates-hormuz-transits-as-oil-flows-rebound/", "handle": "gCaptain (Bloomberg)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://gcaptain.com/u-s-to-allow-dark-fleet-tankers-to-shed-sanctions-wright-says/", "handle": "gCaptain (Bloomberg)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/irans-attempts-to-strike-us-ships-near-hormuz-unsuccessful-uss-george-washington-captain-deleo-1.500716590", "handle": "Gulf News", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/us-sends-more-warships-as-iran-peace-push-hits-uranium-roadblock-is-war-next-1.500718413", "handle": "Gulf News", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/10/20/778797/iran-navy-spots-burning-violating-tanker-in-prohibited-hormuz-corridor", "handle": "Press TV (Artesh Navy)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/videos/international/trump-seeks-irans-permission-to-drop-mother-of-all-bombs-big-reveal/videoshow/135016026.cms", "handle": "Times of India (relaying IRIB)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/17/us-and-iran-both-claim-control-of-strait-of-hormuz-amid-attacks-on-vessels", "handle": "Al Jazeera (Maziar Motamedi)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/20/hegseth-meets-netanyahu-in-unannounced-israel-visit", "handle": "Al Jazeera (citing Axios)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/22/iran-says-seven-ships-hit-in-hormuz-strait-warns-us-of-wider-response", "handle": "Al Jazeera (with AFP, AP)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/22/qatar-france-call-for-opening-of-hormuz-and-gaza-ceasefire-implementation", "handle": "Al Jazeera", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/10/22/iran-war-live-irgc-vows-invasion-as-defence-doctrine-turns-offensive", "handle": "Al Jazeera (live blog)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/iran-urges-us-to-accept-proposal-to-reopen-strait-of-hormuz-3006986", "handle": "Reuters (via Arab News)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-17-2026", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats) Iran Update Oct 17", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-18-2026", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats) Iran Update Oct 18", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-21-2026", "handle": "CTP-ISW (Critical Threats)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.dawn.com/news/2038331", "handle": "Dawn (citing Al Jazeera / Iranian navy)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610200868", "handle": "Iran International (citing Fox News)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610201460", "handle": "Iran International", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610205886", "handle": "Iran International (citing Nournews)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610209049", "handle": "Iran International", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610219901", "handle": "Iran International", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610222999", "handle": "Iran International (Kpler / China customs data)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610234921", "handle": "Iran International (Financial Times interview)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/hegseth-says-us-prepared-take-military-action-against-iran-if-directed", "handle": "Middle East Eye", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/10/23/779009/Images-troops-reveal-damage-at-US-bases", "handle": "Press TV (MeidasTouch / VALOR Media Network)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/22/3729579/army-chief-iran-fully-prepared-for-asymmetric-warfar", "handle": "Tasnim", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/23/3730169/irgc-navy-s-decisive-action-halts-violations-by-offending-vessels-source", "handle": "Tasnim News Agency (unnamed IRGC Navy-linked source)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/20/iran-says-iraq-has-agreed-to-expel-iranian-kurdish-opposition-groups-from-kurdistan-region/", "handle": "The National (citing Iran's ambassador on X)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/21/iraq-closes-major-border-crossing-with-iran-over-security-arrangements-says-official/", "handle": "The National", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/10/23/iran-deliberately-undermining-iraqs-security-says-al-zaidi-adviser/", "handle": "The National", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2026/10/22/uae-strong-smell-tanker-oil-spill/", "handle": "The National (UAE MOCCAE statement)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2026/10/20/tom-barrack-iran-not-evil/", "handle": "The National", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/report-idf-chief-says-no-need-for-strike-on-iran-before-israeli-election/", "handle": "Times of Israel (Channel 13 report)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261016-ukmto_warning_174-26.pdf", "handle": "UKMTO (Warning 174-26; posted @UK_MTO 2111343387395919930)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261017-ukmto_warning-175-26.pdf", "handle": "UKMTO (Warning 175-26; posted @UK_MTO 2111358532528591354)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261018-ukmto_warning_177-26.pdf", "handle": "UKMTO (Warning 177-26; posted @UK_MTO 2111675229307044030)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261019-ukmto_advisory-178-26.pdf?rev=a15a939e805e4eb7a7eb3bd11109c907", "handle": "UKMTO (@UK_MTO)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_179_26.pdf?rev=1651a4e18c0a47ddbf483f9d6a025f2c", "handle": "UKMTO (@UK_MTO)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_180_26.pdf?rev=e4123460cf8a4413b40a8800d280e6fe", "handle": "UKMTO (@UK_MTO)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-106-jmic-advisory-note-18-october.pdf?rev=86f67da1821f4dcdb4e27868b6679729", "handle": "JMIC Update 106 Advisory Note, 18 October (PDF via UKMTO / @UK_MTO)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2111958809551745381", "handle": "@BabakTaghvaee1", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2112502484904157672", "handle": "@BabakTaghvaee1", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/2111548808232309120", "handle": "@CENTCOM", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/2113328696153215144", "handle": "@CENTCOM", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl/status/2111635480714354908", "handle": "@IranIntl (Persian; quoting VP JD Vance to CBS News)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111370010237046962", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting VP JD Vance)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111377413280006490", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting MP Yaghoub Rezazadeh)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111382883868827968", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting Hassan Ghashghavi)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111442601270288432", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting FM Abbas Araghchi)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111540532144963933", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111549572388430277", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (quoting President Trump)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111557774794695027", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Al Arabiya)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111735338301309114", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (relaying Rezaei X post; Tasnim 3725873)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111737393438978526", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111798969189769572", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Khaneh Mellat)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111805209668092227", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111868104162590900", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111894465682006355", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (also IRNA English)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111929336458891377", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111935353859043810", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111939847036514665", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112018933448671235", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112036909568626994", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112042991166595444", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112136350442963101", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112151913189785835", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112179374166347920", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112260077558132839", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112283225443995921", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112331107056460171", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112348174224658705", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112357742098739545", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112523226471436651", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Haalvsh)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112627447610904904", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (Rubio interview with Network18)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112636647171150176", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Tasnim / Nour News)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112645541289234854", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Fars)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112652494820319624", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Fars)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112660345131008400", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112780328498573722", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112905168165486747", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112939806317580765", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113014289132880114", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Axios)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113019181394452830", "handle": "@IranIntl_En", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113044981741203717", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing IRNA)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113048873774301201", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing CBS News)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113078701982179368", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing Kurdistan Human Rights Network)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113326671168245870", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (State Department readout)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113343802819608866", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (citing The War Zone)", "n": 1 }, { "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113373052843229196", "handle": "@IranIntl_En (Iraqi News Agency)", "n": 1 }, { "url": 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~7:46am MT Oct 17: UKMTO Warning 174-26 (time-late report, source CSO): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 68 NM northeast of Al Jubayl on 16 Oct at 0900UTC" }, { "claim_id": "news-ukmto-1017-175-26-tanker-rpg-small-boat-78nm-ne-al-jubayl", "date": "2026-10-17", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:civilian_buildings", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Other", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261017-ukmto_warning-175-26.pdf", "clause": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: UKMTO Warning 175-26 (source: Master): a tanker reported being attacked by an RPG from a small boat 78 NM northeast of Al Jubayl on 16 Oct at 1922UTC, damaging the aft port quarter" }, { "claim_id": "news-aj-1017-centcom-says-strait-cleared-of-mines-vs-irgc-mine-claims", "date": "2026-10-17", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/17/us-and-iran-both-claim-control-of-strait-of-hormuz-amid-attacks-on-vessels", "clause": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 17: Al Jazeera (Tehran) said the US and Iran both claim control of Hormuz: IRGC says ships hit mines on unauthorized routes, while CENTCOM says it cleared the strait of mines and vessels are struck by projectiles" }, { "claim_id": "news-mehr-1017-artesh-navy-third-violator-tanker-fire-sea-oman-hormuz-not-open", "date": "2026-10-17", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248654/Iran-Navy-says-no-of-ships-hit-in-east-of-Hormuz-rising", "clause": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 17: Mehr reported the Iranian Army Navy's PR department said its surveillance teams found a 'violator' tanker that had caught fire and could not move in the Sea of Oman / eastern Strait of Hormuz on Saturday afternoon, said the numb" }, { "claim_id": "news-mehr-1017-artesh-navy-third-violator-tanker-fire-sea-oman-hormuz-not-open", "date": "2026-10-17", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 3, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248654/Iran-Navy-says-no-of-ships-hit-in-east-of-Hormuz-rising", "clause": "Al Jazeera's live page (Oct 18) relays the Iran navy claim alongside the IRGC second-supertanker claim ('fires reported on three tankers')" }, { "claim_id": "news-ctp-1017-iran-update-irgc-navy-likely-attacked-two-tankers-ne-al-jubail", "date": "2026-10-17", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Iran", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-17-2026", "clause": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 17: CTP-ISW's Oct 17 Iran Update assessed that the IRGC Navy likely carried out the two Oct 16 tanker attacks NE of al Jubail reported by UKMTO (174-26 projectile, 175-26 RPG from a small boat, likely an IRGC fast attack craft), not" }, { "claim_id": "news-ctp-1017-iran-update-irgc-navy-likely-attacked-two-tankers-ne-al-jubail", "date": "2026-10-17", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:civilian_buildings", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Iran", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-17-2026", "clause": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 17: CTP-ISW's Oct 17 Iran Update assessed that the IRGC Navy likely carried out the two Oct 16 tanker attacks NE of al Jubail reported by UKMTO (174-26 projectile, 175-26 RPG from a small boat, likely an IRGC fast attack craft), not" }, { "claim_id": "news-ukmto-1018-177-26-tug-struck-two-unknown-projectiles-ne-khor-fakkan", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261018-ukmto_warning_177-26.pdf", "clause": "Liveuamap (cite-only) lists 'A vessel was targeted in northeastern Khorfakkan'. Attacker not named by UKMTO. First reported attack on the UAE east-coast (Khor Fakkan/Fujairah bypass) side in this window." }, { "claim_id": "news-jmic-106-1018-arabian-gulf-raised-substantial-mine-claims-unsubstantiated", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "munition", "metricKey": "mun:ground_attacks", "value": 4, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "aggregate", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-106-jmic-advisory-note-18-october.pdf?rev=86f67da1821f4dcdb4e27868b6679729", "clause": "Arabian Gulf threat level raised to SUBSTANTIAL after four Iranian attacks since Oct 7 (UKMTO 174-26 and 175-26 off Al Jubayl in the last 72h)" }, { "claim_id": "news-jmic-106-1018-arabian-gulf-raised-substantial-mine-claims-unsubstantiated", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 2, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-106-jmic-advisory-note-18-october.pdf?rev=86f67da1821f4dcdb4e27868b6679729", "clause": "says the IRGC Navy's Oct 17 claim that two supertankers struck mines has no substantiation" }, { "claim_id": "news-ctp-1018-iran-update-iran-likely-attacked-tug-ne-khor-fakkan", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 5.0, "qual": "~", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-18-2026", "clause": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: CTP-ISW's Oct 18 Iran Update assessed that Iran likely attacked the tugboat UKMTO reported struck by two unknown projectiles NE of Khor Fakkan, linking it to Rezaei's Oct 11 claim that Iran attacks ~5 small vessels doing ship-to" }, { "claim_id": "news-ctp-1018-iran-update-iran-likely-attacked-tug-ne-khor-fakkan", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:civilian_buildings", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Other", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-18-2026", "clause": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: CTP-ISW's Oct 18 Iran Update assessed that Iran likely attacked the tugboat UKMTO reported struck by two unknown projectiles NE of Khor Fakkan, linking it to Rezaei's Oct 11 claim that Iran attacks ~5 small vessels doing ship-to" }, { "claim_id": "x-2111894465682006355-iranintl-abdollahi-armed-forces-chief-counting-down-harsher-response", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:energy", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Other", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111894465682006355", "clause": "Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 18: Iran International and IRNA ('Iran counting down for next enemy miscalculation: Armed Forces chief', 19:42Z) report Armed Forces Chief of Staff Ali Abdollahi warned the US and Israel of a harsher military response to any new att" }, { "claim_id": "x-2111935353859043810-iranintl-irgc-navy-third-tanker-mine-southern-hormuz-ais-off", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111935353859043810", "clause": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: Iran's IRGC Navy said, in a statement carried by Iranian state media, that an oil tanker struck a naval mine south of the Strait of Hormuz, causing an explosion and fire in the engine room" }, { "claim_id": "x-2111939847036514665-iranintl-irgc-mohabbi-energy-infrastructure-scorched-earth-israel", "date": "2026-10-18", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:energy", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Other", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111939847036514665", "clause": "Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 18: IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohabbi warned on X that any attack on Iran's energy infrastructure would trigger a devastating response against Israel." }, { "claim_id": "x-2112136350442963101-iranintl-mokhber-wont-relinquish-hormuz-strike-nine-countries", "date": "2026-10-19", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:energy", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Other", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2112136350442963101", "clause": "Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 19: Mohammad Mokhber, aide to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, rejected calls to relinquish control of Hormuz, likening it to the 1828 Treaty of Turkmenchay, called control of the strait major leverage, and warned that attacks on po" }, { "claim_id": "news-dawn-1019-iran-navy-claims-us-struck-konarak-naval-base-35mm-cannon", "date": "2026-10-19", "kind": "casualty", "metricKey": "wounded", "value": 2, "qual": "", "target": "Iran", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "US military / CENTCOM / US officials", "url": "https://www.dawn.com/news/2038331", "clause": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 19 (escalated to full territory rebuild): Iran's regular navy told Al Jazeera that US forces attacked the Konarak naval base early Monday (about 1am local per Iranian outlet DEJ) with 'two light projectiles' aimed at a 35mm cannon, woundi" }, { "claim_id": "x-2112339897130344761-lloydslist-two-vlcc-attacks-off-saudi-record-october", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 2, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "aggregate", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://x.com/LloydsList/status/2112339897130344761", "clause": "Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 19 FULL: Lloyd's List says two VLCC attacks off Saudi Arabia add to a record October escalation that has spread across vessel types and beyond Hormuz" }, { "claim_id": "news-gulfnews-1019-cvn73-captain-deleo-iran-attempts-unsuccessful", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:civilian_buildings", "value": 1, "qual": "incident", "target": "Other", "civilian": true, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Media report: Gulf News", "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/irans-attempts-to-strike-us-ships-near-hormuz-unsuccessful-uss-george-washington-captain-deleo-1.500716590", "clause": "Nicholas DeLeo, commanding officer of USS George Washington (CVN-73), told reporters during a recent media visit in the 5th Fleet area that Iran had tried to strike a variety of ships near the Strait of Hormuz and none succeeded" }, { "claim_id": "news-iranintl-1020-iran-air-chief-30-40-aircraft-destroyed-in-war", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:aircraft", "value": 40.0, "qual": "", "target": "Unclear", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Media report: Iran International", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610205886", "clause": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 20 FULL: Iran Air CEO Abdolhai, cited by Nournews (close to the SNSC), says 30 to 40 operational aircraft were destroyed" }, { "claim_id": "news-iranintl-1020-iran-air-chief-30-40-aircraft-destroyed-in-war", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:aircraft", "value": 300.0, "qual": "over", "target": "Iran", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Media report: Iran International", "url": "https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610205886", "clause": "Iran had a little over 300 aircraft but only about 130 to 140 operational before the latest losses" }, { "claim_id": "news-ukmto-180-26-tanker-projectile-30nm-se-al-faw", "date": "2026-10-20", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_180_26.pdf?rev=e4123460cf8a4413b40a8800d280e6fe", "clause": "incident 20 Oct 1830 UTC, source: Master): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile ~30 NM SE of Al Faw" }, { "claim_id": "news-ukmto-179-26-tanker-projectile-fire-11nm-west-bukha", "date": "2026-10-21", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261021-ukmto_warning_179_26.pdf?rev=1651a4e18c0a47ddbf483f9d6a025f2c", "clause": "Morning ~7:46am MT Oct 21 FULL: UKMTO Warning 179-26 (incident 21 Oct 0145 UTC, source: local authorities): a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 11 NM west of Bukha, starting a fire that was extinguished" }, { "claim_id": "news-ctp-1021-iran-likely-more-accurate-ir-guided-weapons-engine-room-strikes", "date": "2026-10-21", "kind": "munition", "metricKey": "mun:ground_attacks", "value": 23.0, "qual": "", "target": "Unclear", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-21-2026", "clause": "cites Bloomberg that at least 5 of 23 recorded attacks in early October hit engine rooms, and WaPo/Kpler that Gulf oil exports are nearing prewar averages." }, { "claim_id": "x-2112971209746858040-sprinterpress-ship-fire-30km-sohar", "date": "2026-10-21", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 2, "qual": "", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)", "url": "https://x.com/SprinterPress/status/2112971209746858040", "clause": "@Krieg2026 says satellite imagery shows two tankers, one on fire and one leaking oil, in the ship-to-ship transfer zone north of Sohar" }, { "claim_id": "news-mehr-1022-irgc-navy-three-vessels-mines-west-hormuz", "date": "2026-10-22", "kind": "equipment", "metricKey": "equip:ships", "value": 1, "qual": "single (no number stated)", "target": "Other", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Iranian state / IRGC sources", "url": "https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248811/4-vessels-hit-by-IRGC-3-others-hit-mine-in-Strait-of-Hormuz", "clause": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Same IRGC Navy statement says three other 'violating' vessels struck mines west of the Strait of Hormuz overnight, caught fire and were stopped." }, { "claim_id": "x-2113343802819608866-iranintl-twz-eagle44-repairs", "date": "2026-10-22", "kind": "munition", "metricKey": "mun:air_strikes", "value": 3, "qual": "at least", "target": "Unclear", "civilian": false, "scope": "event", "claimant": "Media report: @IranIntl_En", "url": "https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2113343802819608866", "clause": "Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 22 LIGHT: Iran International relays The War Zone, citing high-resolution imagery, that Iran is continuing construction and repairs at its Eagle 44 underground airbase in southern Hormozgan despite at least three rounds of strikes this yea" } ], "method": "Figures are extracted automatically from the English summaries of this map’s claim records (claims.json) by fixed text rules; nothing is estimated or imputed. Each figure is credited to the party the claim cites (the claimant) and assigned to the side that the claim says suffered the loss. Per-event figures are de-duplicated: repeat reports of the same event (same UTC day, same ~10 km area, same claimant) count once, and when they disagree the range runs from the lowest to the highest figure reported. Rolling official tallies (e.g. daily General Staff / MoD loss counts) are kept in a separate table and are never added to per-event sums. Multi-day, nationwide, monthly or cumulative figures are listed separately and not summed. Totals from different claimants are never added together. Separate incidents in the same area on the same day may merge into one range, so per-event totals can undercount; rule-based extraction can also misread text — every figure links to its source in the ledger so it can be checked. Synthesis / cross-source ‘contradiction’ records are excluded from all figures to avoid double counting. Losses are grouped by the side that suffered them, parsed from the claim text and claimant (never from the map’s side tag); figures whose victim cannot be determined are shown under ‘Side unclear’. Official day tallies are bucketed by UTC date, so an interim evening update and the next-morning full-day figure can overlap — treat tally sums as upper bounds.", "disclaimers": [ { "title": "INFO / SA only", "text": "This page exists only to help people see what open sources claim — nothing else. It is an informational and situational-awareness (SA) aid. It is not a product for operations, targeting, advice, or decision-making under threat." }, { "title": "Unverified claims only", "text": "Every item, figure and total on this page is an UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED statement taken from the cited public sources. A label such as “official statement” means a public official utterance exists — citation ≠ confirmation." }, { "title": "Not an official military or intelligence product", "text": "The SITREP layout is a presentation style only. This is not official intelligence, not a military report, and not targeting, fire-control, navigation or operational guidance. Not affiliated with, funded by, or directed by any government, military, or intelligence service." }, { "title": "Casualty & damage figures are claims by the named parties", "text": "Killed / wounded / captured counts and equipment or damage figures are claims by the party named in each row. They may be propaganda, incomplete, revised, or inaccurate. Totals are arithmetic sums of one claimant’s own claims (“CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED”) — never a confirmed or ‘true’ count, and never summed across claimants." }, { "title": "No endorsement", "text": "Claims from all sides (and third parties) are listed under the same rules. Listing a claim does not endorse it, nor the legality, legitimacy, or justification of any military action by any party." }, { "title": "Fair use & links", "text": "Short quoted or paraphrased source text is included for commentary and situational awareness with links to the original publishers, who retain all rights. Outbound links lead to third-party sites we do not control." }, { "title": "Corrections & takedown", "text": "Errors usually originate upstream in reporting — check the linked source. As on the map’s Disclaimer and About pages, this project publishes no dedicated corrections email; re-read the terms via the map footer (Disclaimer / Terms) or the About page. Rights-holders and readers can request corrections or removal through the same About-page route; corrected items are replaced in the next weekly edition." }, { "title": "No warranty; limitation of liability; not legal advice", "text": "Provided “AS IS” and “AS AVAILABLE,” without warranty of accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or fitness for any purpose. To the maximum extent permitted by law, operators and contributors are not liable for any damages arising from use of this page. Use at your own risk. Nothing here is legal advice and no attorney–client relationship is created. If you are in a conflict zone, contact official authorities, the Red Cross / ICRC, or UNHCR — not this site." } ] }