UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE // INFO-SA ONLY // UNVERIFIED CLAIMS
CLAIM MAPIran–USA / Strait of Hormuz · 2026

UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — FOR INFORMATION & SITUATIONAL AWARENESS ONLY — NOT FOR TARGETING OR OPERATIONAL USE

WEEKLY SITREP · IRAN–USA · UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — INFO/SA ONLY

Weekly Situation Report — Iran–USA / Strait of Hormuz

DTG161922Z OCT 2026
Period covered2026-10-10 00:00Z – 2026-10-16 23:59Z (7 UTC days)
Data cutoff2026-10-16 13:02Z (latest claim record in window)
OriginatorIran–USA / Strait of Hormuz Claim Map — automated open-source claim aggregation (not an official body)
Basis125 claim records · 114 source links · machine-readable: report.json

UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED — INFO/SA ONLY. Every number below is a claim by the named party. Totals are “CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED”.

1. Situation overview (BLUF)

  • 125 open-source claim records were logged on this map between 10 Oct and 16 Oct 2026 (UTC), citing 114 distinct source links. All are UNVERIFIED / CLAIMED. Map side tags: Other 47, Iran 45, USA 28, Unknown 5.
  • Most-reported locations: Strait of Hormuz (EST) (11); Strait of Hormuz (assessment) (5); Tehran (statement) (4); Strait of Hormuz (3); Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin) (3).
  • United States / partners side: 3 United States / partners personnel killed, claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials (1 event(s), deduped) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (1 claim record).
  • 1 civilians / seafarers (commercial shipping & third countries) killed, claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) (1 event(s), deduped) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (1 claim record).
  • 3 civilians / seafarers (commercial shipping & third countries) wounded, claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources (1 event(s), deduped) — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (1 claim record).
  • Iran / IRGC side: 1 — strike / attack events reported (deduped), claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials — CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED (1 claim record).
  • Territory: no territorial-gain claims found in the records; no assessed change in the map’s EST territory layer.
  • Units layer: 12 new unit/actor entries and 12 EST position updates (≥5 km) — all NOT CONFIRMED / ESTIMATED.
  • 15 figure-claim(s) could not be assigned to the side that suffered the loss and are listed under “Side unclear” in Section 2.

2. Weekly totals by side

Losses are grouped by the side that SUFFERED them (target / victim parsed from the claim text and the claimant — not the map’s side tag); “Side unclear” holds figures whose victim could not be determined. Each figure is the sum of this week’s per-event claims, credited to the party making the claim. Repeat reports of one event are counted once; where reports conflict a low–high range is shown. Rolling official tallies are in Section 3 and are not included here. Different claimants are never added together. All totals: CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED.

Losses suffered by: United States / partners

Civilian casualties — Civilians (US / partner states): no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
PersonnelPersonnel killed3
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-15 · Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin) · 3 — src “CENTCOM says three US service members were killed in July.”

Losses suffered by: Iran / IRGC

Civilian casualties — Civilians in Iran: no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
Equipment / infrastructureVehicles / special equipment2
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Strait of Hormuz (assessment) · 2 — src “Iranian attacks sank two Emirati cargo vessels Oct 14 (WSJ)”
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area

Losses suffered by: Other / commercial shipping & third parties

Civilian casualties — Civilians / seafarers (commercial shipping & third countries): civilians killed 1 (claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers), 1 claim); civilians wounded / injured 3 (claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources, 1 claim). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
CiviliansCivilians killed1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Near the Strait of Hormuz (EST — plotted at Sep 23 strike area off Oman; sinking position not stated) · 1 — src “EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: Reuters (via gCaptain / Al-Monitor): Cape Dao sank close to the strait, weeks after being struck by a projectile on Sep 23 (one ”
CiviliansCivilians wounded / injured3
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Off Sirik / Sirik County coast, Hormozgan (EST; Bandar Kolahi mentioned in Fars) · 3 — src “three fishermen injured, taken ashore”
Equipment / infrastructureShips / vessels19,001–69,000 range: sources conflict
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)4 claims · 2 events
2 event(s)
  • 2026-10-13 · Strait of Hormuz — inbound transit (EST; no precise coords in warning) · 1–50,000 — src “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: UKMTO WARNING 172-26 (Attack, Source Verified, time-late): a 50,000 tonne container ship was struck by an unknown projectile whi”; src “Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): UKMTO WARNING 170-26 (Attack, Source Verified): verified source reports a container ship”; src “Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): UKMTO WARNING 171-26 (Attack, Source Verified): verified source reports a tanker was str”
  • 2026-10-13 · Strait of Hormuz — outbound transit (EST; no precise coords in warning) · 19,000 — src “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: UKMTO WARNING 173-26 (Attack, Source Verified, time-late): a 19,000 tonne container ship was struck by an unknown projectile whi”
Equipment / infrastructureShips / vessels25
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)2 claims · 2 events
2 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Near the Strait of Hormuz (EST — plotted at Sep 23 strike area off Oman; sinking position not stated) · 1 — src “CTP-ISW Oct 14 (citing WSJ): two Emirati cargo vessels sank in the strait on Oct 14.”
  • 2026-10-14 · Strait of Hormuz (assessment) · 24 — src “Iran struck at least 24 vessels Sep 28–Oct 11”
Equipment / infrastructureShips / vessels1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Off Sirik / Sirik County coast, Hormozgan (EST; Bandar Kolahi mentioned in Fars) · 1 — src “LIGHT 1:46pm MT Oct 14: Mehr + Anadolu Agency + Reuters (via Tasnim): Hormozgan provincial authorities said an unidentified drone struck a fishing boat off Siri”
Equipment / infrastructureEnergy infrastructure (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Media report: Iran International1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-15 · Kuwait / Persian Gulf states (retrospective; EST pin Kuwait) · 1 — src “Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Iran International summarised a Reuters investigation finding that Iran and its allies hit water plants, airports, refineries an”
Equipment / infrastructureCivilian buildings (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Mehrestan, Sistan and Baluchestan (town pin, OSM geocode) · 1 — src “Press TV (X): a police officer and a Basij commander were killed in two terrorist attacks in Sistan-Baluchestan”; src “IRNA headline: police officer killed in terrorist attack in southeastern Iran”
Equipment / infrastructureCivilian buildings (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Strait of Hormuz (assessment) · 1 — src “EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 14: recent waves of Iranian attacks indicate Iran retains the ability to effectively target vessels in/n”
Equipment / infrastructureCivilian buildings (incidents)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by US government (White House / State / Treasury)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-15 · Iran (report; no location — EST country pin) · 1 — src “Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Iran International relayed a CBS News report, citing sources familiar with the matter, that the White House and Pentagon have pr”
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)11
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)15 claims · 11 events
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)5
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources5 claims · 5 events
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Media report: CNA1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Media report: Iran International1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area

Losses suffered by: Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable)

Civilian casualties — Civilians — side unclear: no per-event civilian casualty figures were stated in this week’s claim records for this side (data missing — not evidence of zero). CLAIMED, UNVERIFIED.

CategoryMetricCLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIEDClaimed byBuilt from
Equipment / infrastructureDrones / UAVs5
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-13 · Dhahran, Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia (EST) · 5 — src “Coalition says it intercepted 5 drones and 6 missiles targeting Riyadh, Dhahran and the south”
Equipment / infrastructureMissiles / guided bombs6
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-13 · Dhahran, Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia (EST) · 6 — src “Coalition says it intercepted 5 drones and 6 missiles targeting Riyadh, Dhahran and the south”
Equipment / infrastructureVehicles / special equipment2
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Near the Strait of Hormuz (EST — plotted at Sep 23 strike area off Oman; sinking position not stated) · 2 — src “CTP-ISW Oct 14 (citing WSJ): two Emirati cargo vessels sank in the strait on Oct 14.”
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)4
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources5 claims · 4 events
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)2
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials2 claims · 2 events
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.)1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstStrike / attack events reported (deduped)1
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)1 claim · 1 event
count of strike/attack claim records against this side, deduped by UTC day + ~10 km area
Strikes launched againstLaunched against: Ground attacks / engagements18
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers)2 claims · 2 events
2 event(s)
  • 2026-10-15 · Strait of Hormuz (assessment) · 8 — src “eight unknown-projectile attacks (UKMTO 166–173-26) on Oct 11 and Oct 13”
  • 2026-10-16 · Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf / Gulf of Oman (EST) · 10 — src “ten of the attacks were in the Strait of Hormuz.”
Strikes launched againstLaunched against: Ground attacks / engagements2
CLAIMED TOTAL, UNVERIFIED
claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources1 claim · 1 event
1 event(s)
  • 2026-10-14 · Mehrestan, Sistan and Baluchestan (town pin, OSM geocode) · 2 — src “Press TV (X): a police officer and a Basij commander were killed in two terrorist attacks in Sistan-Baluchestan”

3. Rolling official tallies (kept separate)

Daily or “past 24 h” loss figures published by an official body. These are summed by day only (one figure per day per claimant; duplicates of the same day collapse to a range) and are never mixed with the per-event sums in Section 2.

No rolling daily official tallies were found in this week’s records.

4. Ground situation / territory

EST territory layer: 8 feature(s); generatedAt 2026-10-16T14:00:00Z; 8 feature(s) re-reported this week. Compared against 1 deployment snapshot(s) of this site (baseline 2026-10-09T02:02:00Z).

Assessed change: none. No EST territory feature changed side or geometry this week.

Territorial gain / advance claims (0)

    5. Strikes & engagements log (by day / area)

    All strike, combat, air-defence and naval claim records in the window, grouped by UTC day and location. Unverified.

    2026-10-13 — 10 strike / combat claim(s) in 7 area(s)

    Strait of Hormuz (EST) (3)

    • 2026-10-13 19:07Z Iran naval official_statement — Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): Mehr: IRGC Navy Commander Gen. Ali Ozmaei (first televised interview) rejects US claim that Hormuz is open/under US control; says if US wants to know who controls it they must come to the field; warns US warships not to approach or they will be sunk; claims US carrier acts like a runway 700–800 km from the strait; says IRGCN controls Hormuz/Persi Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Cdr Ali Ozmaei)
    • 2026-10-13 19:30Z Other civilian_vessel corroborated — Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): Anadolu Agency relays UKMTO's two Oct 13 warnings: a container ship and a tanker were each struck by unknown projectiles in separate Hormuz incidents; times unconfirmed; vessels not identified. Anadolu Agency (AA) citing UKMTO
    • 2026-10-13 20:40Z USA naval official_statement — Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 13 FULL: CENTCOM X post rebutting IRGC Navy commander Ozmaei's claim that Hormuz is under IRGC control and approaching US warships would be sunk; CENTCOM says American forces and regional partners clearly control the strait and US forces helped Gulf partners ship more than 19 million barrels of crude through it on Oct 12. Also reported by Gulf News / Iran International. @CENTCOM

    Strait of Hormuz (EST — no precise coords in warning) (2)

    • 2026-10-13 19:03Z Other civilian_vessel official_statement — Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): UKMTO WARNING 170-26 (Attack, Source Verified): verified source reports a container ship was struck by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz on 13 Oct 2026 (incident time TBC). Authorities investigating; vessels advised to transit with caution. UKMTO WARNING 170-26 (via @UK_MTO)
    • 2026-10-13 19:06Z Other civilian_vessel official_statement — Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): UKMTO WARNING 171-26 (Attack, Source Verified): verified source reports a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz on 13 Oct 2026 (incident time TBC). Separate from 170-26 container-ship notice. UKMTO WARNING 171-26 (via @UK_MTO)

    Eastern Strait of Hormuz (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-13 14:38Z Iran civilian_vessel official_statement — Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): Mehr (Iran Army Navy PR): this afternoon a law-breaking tanker that turned off navigation systems and tried to pass a restricted area was identified damaged and burning in the eastern Strait of Hormuz; Navy cites new arrangement/deployment of operational units in eastern Hormuz, Arabian Sea and Sea of Oman with real-time surveillance. Corroborate Mehr News Agency (Iran Army Navy Public Relations)

    Strait of Hormuz — inbound transit (EST; no precise coords in warning) (1)

    • 2026-10-13 16:40Z Other civilian_vessel official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: UKMTO WARNING 172-26 (Attack, Source Verified, time-late): a 50,000 tonne container ship was struck by an unknown projectile whilst conducting an inbound Strait of Hormuz transit on 13 Oct 2026 at 1640 UTC; vessel reports minor damage, no casualties, continued on passage. Posted by @UK_MTO 10:17Z Oct 14. Distinct from 170/171. UKMTO WARNING 172-26 (via @UK_MTO)

    Strait of Hormuz — outbound transit (EST; no precise coords in warning) (1)

    • 2026-10-13 17:00Z Other civilian_vessel official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: UKMTO WARNING 173-26 (Attack, Source Verified, time-late): a 19,000 tonne container ship was struck by an unknown projectile whilst conducting an outbound SoH transit on 13 Oct 2026 at 1700 UTC; vessel reports minor damage, no casualties, continued on passage. Posted by @UK_MTO 10:23Z Oct 14. Distinct from 170/171/172. UKMTO WARNING 173-26 (via @UK_MTO)

    Dhahran, Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-13 23:35Z Other strike news_report — Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 13 FULL: Iran International / Reuters source: loud explosions near Saudi Aramco HQ in Dhahran and a fire after a missile attack; unclear if direct hit or debris; Saudi Energy Ministry says fire limited to an administrative building, no injuries. Coalition says it intercepted 5 drones and 6 missiles targeting Riyadh, Dhahran and the south. Houthi spokesman had warned civilians to evacuate; Houth Iran International (Reuters source; Saudi Energy Ministry)

    Persian Gulf / Hormuz exports (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-13 23:53Z Other civilian_vessel news_report — Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 13 FULL: Iran International relaying TankerTrackers: combined crude exports from Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Oman rose to 17.273 million bpd in October (up from 14.652M), amid escalating attacks on shipping; TankerTrackers notes figure includes Oman. @IranIntl_En (citing @TankerTrackers)
    2026-10-14 — 15 strike / combat claim(s) in 14 area(s)

    Strait of Hormuz (EST) (2)

    • 2026-10-14 11:16Z Other naval corroborated — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Al Jazeera wrap: Iran expanded Hormuz surveillance (Press TV Tuesday Artesh Navy unit deployment already on map); UKMTO recorded 15 attacks Oct 6–14 (11 in past four days); Kpler: only 2.9M barrels through Hormuz Oct 11 vs ~20.8M Oct 8; relays Reuters spotter-dhow and CENTCOM 19M-bbl rebuttal. Useful aggregate context; primary vessel events ingested separately. Al Jazeera (Priyanka Shankar) citing UKMTO/Kpler/Reuters/Press TV
    • 2026-10-14 12:26Z Iran naval official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Mehr: IRGC Navy Chief Gen. Ali Ozmaei warns violating vessels in Hormuz; says forces 'do not shy away from dealing with any violating vessels'; 'If the Americans want to see whether the Strait of Hormuz is open or closed, let them enter the violated route'; 'We will deal with violating vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.' Continues Oct 13 control/sink-US-ships rhetoric already on map. Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Chief Ali Ozmaei)

    Strait of Hormuz (EST — MPA did not publish precise coords) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 06:00Z Other civilian_vessel official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (via CNA): Singapore-registered GFS Giselle struck by unknown projectile while transiting Strait of Hormuz on Oct 14 (Singapore time); hull damage but continued under own propulsion to safe anchorage; all 22 crew safe, no injuries; no Singaporeans among crew. Separate from GFS Pride sinking. CNA citing Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA)

    Off Sirik / Sirik County coast, Hormozgan (EST; Bandar Kolahi mentioned in Fars) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 08:30Z Unknown civilian_vessel corroborated — LIGHT 1:46pm MT Oct 14: Mehr + Anadolu Agency + Reuters (via Tasnim): Hormozgan provincial authorities said an unidentified drone struck a fishing boat off Sirik; three fishermen injured, taken ashore; no fatalities in initial reports. AA: drone source not yet identified. Mehr quotes Deputy Governor Ahmad Nafisi describing it as a US drone attack; Reuters notes Iranian authorities have not officially confirmed who wa Mehr News; Anadolu Agency; Reuters via Tasnim

    Waters south of the Strait of Hormuz (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 09:28Z Iran civilian_vessel official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Mehr (IRGC Navy PR): a container carrier carrying more than 2,500 containers sank Wednesday morning in waters south of the Strait of Hormuz after hitting a naval mine and catching fire; vessel allegedly using unauthorized/high-risk route; IRGC Navy warns local vessels/fishermen about floating containers. Also relayed by Iran International and Press TV X. Correlates in time/place with R Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Public Relations)

    Strait of Hormuz approaches (EST — exact dhow position not published) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 12:00Z USA naval corroborated — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Reuters (via Al-Monitor): two senior Iranian officials say Tehran adopted new offensive tactics ~10 days ago to keep oil prices high and influence US midterms, aiming toward 'complete closure' of Hormuz and expanding ops to Gulf of Oman and beyond. Anonymous US military official confirms IRGC now uses unarmed spotters in small boats/dhows after radar losses; last week US forces confron Reuters via Al-Monitor (Hafezi/Saul/Stewart)

    Strait of Hormuz, outbound lane (EST — no position published) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 12:00Z Unknown civilian_vessel not_verified — EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: Seatrade Maritime: Vanguard Tech identified the three container ships in UKMTO's Oct 13 warnings as GFS Pride, GFS Giselle and Al Saadiyat, and the tanker as Alfonso. Al Saadiyat has no significant damage or casualties reported after being attacked during an outbound transit (consistent with UKMTO 173-26 outbound container ship, minor damage). Seatrade Maritime (Gary Howard) citing Vanguard Tech

    Strait of Hormuz (EST — no position published) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 12:00Z Unknown civilian_vessel not_verified — EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: Seatrade Maritime: Vanguard Tech identified the tanker in UKMTO's Oct 13 warnings as Alfonso; its status is unclear. Alfonso is on the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) non-compliance list — Iran's blacklist of vessels it says violated its Hormuz rules (restrictions, fines, detention or confiscation). Seatrade Maritime (Gary Howard) citing Vanguard Tech

    Strait of Hormuz ~4 nm NW Ras Shaykh Masud (NAVAREA IX 373/26: 26-16.80N 056-08.60E) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 12:50Z Other civilian_vessel corroborated — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Reuters (via gCaptain): Singapore-flagged GFS Pride container ship (~2,824 TEU) sank near the Strait of Hormuz after being hit by a projectile; UAE-based manager GFS Ship Management FZE not immediately reached. CNA/MPA Singapore: struck Oct 13 (Singapore time), damage and fire then sank; all 21 crew safely evacuated, no injuries; second vessel sunk since Feb 28 war start per IMO data. Reuters via gCaptain; CNA/MPA Singapore; NAVAREA IX 373/26

    Strait of Hormuz / regional waters (EST — statement, not a new kinetic pin) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 14:11Z USA naval official_statement — LIGHT 1:46pm MT Oct 14: @CENTCOM (14:11Z) rejects Iranian IMO ambassador claim that US forces use threatening/abusive language against Iranian mariners. CENTCOM: blockade in place for months and professionally communicated; 'The only country attacking civilian mariners transiting regional waters is Iran'; commercial traffic continues with US/partner protection. Also summarized by Dawn / Iran International. @CENTCOM

    GFS Pride sinking area ~4 nm NW Ras Shaykh Masud, Hormuz (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 16:25Z USA strike contradicted — EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: ABC News live (12:25pm EDT): a US official said Iran lied about the cargo ship that sank Wednesday and that Iran attacked it, likely with a missile — directly contradicting the IRGC Navy statement (Mehr/Tasnim/Sepah News) that the container carrier sank after hitting a naval mine on an 'unauthorized' route. MPA Singapore says GFS Pride was struck by an unknown projectile. Marisks: no i ABC News (Steve Beynon) — unnamed US official

    Near the Strait of Hormuz (EST — plotted at Sep 23 strike area off Oman; sinking position not stated) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 17:22Z Unknown civilian_vessel corroborated — EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: Reuters (via gCaptain / Al-Monitor): Cape Dao sank close to the strait, weeks after being struck by a projectile on Sep 23 (one crew member killed then), per IMO data on Oct 14. Seatrade/Vanguard Tech: sinking followed an unsuccessful rescue attempt. Reuters/IMO: GFS Pride and Cape Dao are the 2nd and 3rd vessels sunk since the war began Feb 28. WaPo and Guardian also report the bulk c Reuters via gCaptain; Seatrade Maritime (Vanguard Tech); Washington Post

    Gulf of Oman (EST — CENTCOM did not publish precise coords) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 19:41Z USA strike official_statement — LIGHT 1:46pm MT Oct 14: @CENTCOM (19:41Z) officially states that on Oct 6 US forces destroyed an Iranian-affiliated dhow conducting surveillance and targeting US Navy ships in the Gulf of Oman; crew safely removed prior to destruction; repatriation ongoing. Also asserts IRGC has indiscriminately targeted civilian mariners over past seven months. Corroborates earlier anonymous US official account in morning Al-Monitor @CENTCOM

    Strait of Hormuz (EST — statement, not a new kinetic pin) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 21:17Z Iran naval official_statement — EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: Iran International (relaying Iranian state media): IRGC spokesperson Mohebi said attacks on ships Iran considers in violation of its restrictions were neither arbitrary nor uncoordinated, and were a response to what Tehran calls a third US breach of commitments after the MoU was signed; Iran's armed forces act only via the chain of command. Iran International separately reports Mohebi @IranIntl_En (relaying Iranian state media)

    Strait of Hormuz (assessment) (1)

    • 2026-10-14 23:00Z Other naval corroborated — EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 14: recent waves of Iranian attacks indicate Iran retains the ability to effectively target vessels in/near Hormuz, having either overcome earlier operational constraints (after US strikes on coastal radars) or adapted via new tactics (small-boat spotters per US official to Reuters). Iran struck at least 24 vessels Sep 28–Oct 11; UKMTO reported at least seven in CTP-ISW Iran Update, October 14, 2026 (criticalthreats.org)
    2026-10-15 — 8 strike / combat claim(s) in 7 area(s)

    Strait of Hormuz (assessment) (2)

    • 2026-10-15 13:00Z Other civilian_vessel corroborated — Midday LIGHT ~1:46pm MT Oct 15: JMIC Update 105 (ICOD 151300 UTC; posted by @UK_MTO 14:42Z): Hormuz threat SEVERE; eight unknown-projectile attacks (UKMTO 166–173-26) on Oct 11 and Oct 13; GFS Pride sank Oct 14; IRGC harassment (UAV overflight, surveillance, VHF hailing) persisted; IRGC mine claim unsubstantiated; US NCAGS ~30 assisted transits/day (121 over 96h) vs single digits per independent tracking. Gulf of Oma JMIC Update 105 Advisory Note, 15 October (PDF via UKMTO / @UK_MTO)
    • 2026-10-15 19:29Z Other civilian_vessel corroborated — Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Lloyd's List reported that Iran's escalating campaign against commercial shipping has pushed attacks around the Strait of Hormuz to a record monthly high, with a widening range of vessels targeted. Lloyd's List

    Strait of Hormuz (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-15 07:28Z Iran blockade official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 15: Mehr + Press TV + ISNA: Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari (Army Chief of Staff / Deputy Coordinator) says the Strait of Hormuz is closed and any passage must be coordinated; cites rising US gasoline prices as proof. Describes posture: IRGC Navy firmly positioned west of Hormuz; Army present with authority from east of the strait to north of the Sea of Oman. Warns otherwise 'you see in th Mehr News Agency (Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari); Press TV; ISNA

    GFS Pride sinking — ~4 nm NW Ras Shaykh Masud (Hormuz) (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-15 09:03Z Other civilian_vessel contradicted — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 15: The National (updated Oct 15): Singapore-flagged GFS Pride sank after unidentified projectile strike; all 21 crew evacuated safely (Singapore MPA). IRGC claimed naval mine on 'unauthorised' route; maritime security firm Marisks found no independent evidence supporting a mine and described Iran's claims as consistent with a psychological operations campaign. Unverified social posts alle The National (citing Marisks; Singapore MPA; IRGC)

    Kuwait / Persian Gulf states (retrospective; EST pin Kuwait) (1)

    • 2026-10-15 11:39Z Other strike not_verified — Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Iran International summarised a Reuters investigation finding that Iran and its allies hit water plants, airports, refineries and a nuclear power station across the Persian Gulf with precision that rules out the official 'falling debris' explanation; Iran hit at least four of Kuwait's eight combined power and desalination plants between March 2 and July 20. Iran International (relaying Reuters investigation)

    Strait of Hormuz (claim; no location given — EST pin) (1)

    • 2026-10-15 13:00Z Iran strike not_verified — Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Fox News live coverage reported that a pro-IRGC media outlet claimed in a public Telegram post that missiles struck several vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, describing them as 'rogue' ships, with no details on the ships, location, casualties or damage. Fox News Digital live (relaying pro-IRGC Telegram post)

    Sea of Oman, east of the Strait of Hormuz (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-15 13:06Z Iran civilian_vessel official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 15: Mehr (Iran Army Navy PR): a violating oil tanker that had switched off its tracking systems caught fire in a prohibited zone in the Sea of Oman, east of the Strait of Hormuz; monitoring teams detected it while on patrol controlling the east of the strait. Army says Hormuz is under full control/surveillance of Artesh forces and IRGC Navy. Also carried by Press TV X (@PressTV 12:58Z) and Mehr News Agency (Iran Army Navy Public Relations); @PressTV

    Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin) (1)

    • 2026-10-15 22:18Z Iran blockade official_statement — Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Iran International reported that Iran's army chief Amir Hatami said on Thursday, per state media, that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until what he called the rights of the Iranian people are respected. @IranIntl_En (relaying Iranian state media)
    2026-10-16 — 5 strike / combat claim(s) in 5 area(s)

    Strait of Hormuz approaches (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-16 05:00Z Other civilian_vessel corroborated — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: BBC Verify analysis of UKMTO incident reports said ship-attack reports near Hormuz hit a record weekly high (12 vessels between 5 and 11 October), with four further reported attacks so far this week, and Kpler showing ~12.6 million bpd through the strait on 13 October. BBC Verify

    Gulf of Oman / US blockade zone approaches (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-16 10:00Z USA blockade corroborated — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Reuters reporting (Al-Monitor / Iran International) said Iran exported some LPG (UANI: ≥8 gas tankers / ~4.1m barrels since mid-July) and jet fuel to Myanmar despite the US naval blockade, while CENTCOM called the blockade ironclad and Kpler showed Iranian crude exports at zero in September. Reuters (via Al-Monitor); also Iran International

    Strait of Hormuz (statement; EST pin) (1)

    • 2026-10-16 11:04Z Iran blockade official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Press TV relayed Iranian Army spokesman Brig. Gen. Mohammad Akraminia on X saying if the US leaves the region the Strait of Hormuz will reopen with regional collective security, and if it does not leave, Iran will expel it. @PressTV (relaying Artesh spokesman Akraminia)

    Eastern Strait of Hormuz / Gulf of Oman approaches (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-16 12:12Z Iran civilian_vessel official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Mehr reported Iran's Army Navy said surveillance teams detected a violating oil tanker that had caught fire in a restricted/unauthorized zone east of the Strait of Hormuz after switching off tracking systems. Cause of fire not stated; vessel unnamed. Related Press TV / Iran International relays same morning. Mehr News Agency (Iran Army Navy Public Relations)

    Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf / Gulf of Oman (EST) (1)

    • 2026-10-16 13:02Z Other civilian_vessel corroborated — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Iran International reported UKMTO said Friday that 12 attacks on vessels were reported over the past week in the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, with one vessel lost; ten of the attacks were in the Strait of Hormuz. @IranIntl_En (relaying UKMTO)

    6. Forces / unit layer (EST, not confirmed)

    176 unit/actor markers on the map; 48 re-reported this week. Positions are estimates derived from claims — NOT CONFIRMED.

    New entries (12)

    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · Iran Army Ground Force (NEZAJA) — 50+ border units (claimed; cmdr Ali Jahanshahi) (Iran) · Makran coast / Iran border belts (EST — commander claim, no positions given) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · MT Petro Dolphin (Nicaragua-flag product tanker, drone-hit at Sohar anchorage) (Other) · Sohar anchorage, Oman (EST — no position published) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · MT Valthera (Marshall Islands-flag tanker, projectile hit in Hormuz, fire) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — no position published) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · VLCC Al Maqam (UAE-owned, IMO 9732577 — IRGC claims strike) (Other) · Strait of Hormuz (EST — no position published) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · RFA Lyme Bay (L3007) — UK mine-countermeasures mothership (only RN presence near Hormuz per USNI) (Other) · Indian Ocean approaches to Hormuz (EST — exact position not published) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · HNLMS Evertsen (F805) — Dutch frigate hosting Hormuz multinational mission forward HQ (mission in limbo) (Other) · Middle East / Gulf of Oman–Arabian Sea area (EST — position not published) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · Iran Army Navy (Artesh Navy / IRIN) — eastern Hormuz / Gulf of Oman / Arabian Sea deployment (EST) (Iran) · Eastern Hormuz / Gulf of Oman approaches (EST — Artesh Navy claims new deployment; no published positions) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Carl M. Levin (DDG-120) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 13, independent deployer) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Mustin (DDG-89) (USA) · Indian Ocean (EST — USNI Oct 13) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Wayne E. Meyer (DDG-108) (USA) · Indian Ocean (EST — USNI Oct 13) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Jason Dunham (DDG-109) (USA) · Red Sea (EST — USNI Oct 13) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Gonzalez (DDG-66) (USA) · Red Sea (EST — USNI Oct 13) source
    EST position updates ≥5 km (12)
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) (USA) · Off Phuket, Thailand (EST — port visit in Seventh Fleet area; US official says it will return to CENTCOM) → Arabian Sea (EST — CENTCOM Oct 15: Bush patrols Arabian Sea after Thailand visit) (~3968 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Princeton (CG-59) (USA) · Arabian Sea — IAMD with GHW Bush CSG (estimated) → Indian Ocean (EST — USNI Oct 13; exact area not stated) (~1204 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Ross (DDG-71) (USA) · Arabian Sea (EST — USNI Oct 5; Bush CSG escort left behind) → Arabian Sea — Bush CSG (EST, USNI Oct 13) (~20 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Donald Cook (DDG-75) (USA) · Arabian Sea (EST — USNI Oct 5; Bush CSG escort left behind) → Arabian Sea — Bush CSG (EST, USNI Oct 13) (~8 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Delbert D. Black (DDG-119) (USA) · Phuket, Thailand — port visit with Bush CSG (EST) → Indian Ocean (EST — USNI Oct 13; exact area not stated) (~2354 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) (USA) · En route CENTCOM AOR (EST — TR CSG inbound; Cheung/Iran Intl >7k sailors theme) → Western Pacific, 7th Fleet — transiting westward (EST — USNI Oct 13) (~6740 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Makin Island ARG / 13th MEU (USA) · En route CENTCOM AOR (EST — Makin ARG ~2k Marines theme) → Central Pacific west of Hawaii (EST — USNI Oct 13: left Pearl Harbor Oct 12) (~12463 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Anchorage (LPD-23) — Makin Island ARG (USA) · EST Pacific–Indian Ocean transit with Makin Island ARG (destination unconfirmed per Stripes) → Central Pacific with Makin Island ARG (EST — USNI Oct 13) (~10665 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS John P. Murtha (LPD-26) — Makin Island ARG (USA) · EST with Makin Island ARG transit (LPD-26) → Central Pacific with Makin Island ARG (EST — USNI Oct 13) (~10728 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Chosin (CG-65) — Theodore Roosevelt CSG (USA) · EST with TR CSG transit toward Middle East (AP/Fortune: deployed with TR) → Western Pacific with TR CSG (EST — USNI Oct 13) (~6732 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Higgins (DDG-76) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, independent deployer) → Indian Ocean (EST — USNI Oct 13) (~1278 km) source
    • 2026-10-16T14:00 · USS Michael Murphy (DDG-112) (USA) · Arabian Sea / regional waters (EST — USNI Oct 5, independent deployer) → Indian Ocean (EST — USNI Oct 13) (~1866 km) source

    7. Diplomatic / political claims (12)

    • 2026-10-10 11:56Z Other other official_statement — Morning ~7:50am MT Oct 10 FULL-STACK: Qatar told the UNGA First Committee that Iranian ballistic-missile, cruise-missile and drone attacks since Feb 28 violated its sovereignty and that of other regional states, citing UNSC Resolution 2817 on freedom of navigation, while stressing de-escalation and diplomacy. Iran International
    • 2026-10-11 17:00Z Iran other official_statement — Midday ~12:00pm MT Oct 12 FULL-STACK: Reuters: SNSC secretary Mohsen Rezaei said the US response to Iran's seven conditions for reopening Hormuz was insufficient, Iran is "no longer in the process of responding to the Americans", and Hormuz will not open and no negotiations take place until conditions are met. Reuters (via Iran Times reprint) citing Iranian state media
    • 2026-10-12 01:42Z Other other official_statement — Evening ~7:55pm MT Oct 12 FULL-STACK (catch-up): UAE presidential diplomatic adviser Anwar Gargash posted on X that since the start of the aggression against Gulf Arab states all are targeted, that attacks on Saudi Arabia undermine UAE and Gulf security, and called for revitalized joint Gulf security and defence action. The National (UAE) citing Anwar Gargash on X
    • 2026-10-12 14:53Z Other other official_statement — Midday ~12:00pm MT Oct 12 FULL-STACK: British PM Andy Burnham told parliament the suspected plot targeting RAF Fairford was highly likely coordinated in Iran and almost certainly IRGC-directed; UK sanctioned two Iranians and summoned Iran's ambassador; Iran International reports 29 countries backed the attribution and the US and allies condemned Iran. Iran International citing UK Prime Minister in parliament
    • 2026-10-12 17:07Z USA other official_statement — Evening ~7:55pm MT Oct 12 FULL-STACK: State Department released a joint statement by the US, UK, Australia, Canada, New Zealand and 24 European governments condemning Iran's lethal plotting, arson, sabotage and cyber-attacks, recognizing the UK's attribution of Iran's involvement in the 27 Sept RAF Fairford incident, and pledging to identify, investigate, disrupt and prosecute hostile actors. US State Department, Office of the Spokesman (Oct 12, 2026)
    • 2026-10-12 19:06Z Iran other official_statement — Late-afternoon ~4:00pm MT Oct 12 FULL-STACK: Deputy FM Kazem Gharibabadi to Al Araby TV: US violated Islamabad MoU commitments; Iran cannot be expected to show more flexibility. Iran International liveblog (Oct 12, 20:06 GMT+1)
    • 2026-10-13 03:41Z Other other official_statement — Morning ~8:07am MT Oct 13 FULL-STACK: KUNA via Kuwait Times: Kuwaiti diplomat Abdullah Bousakhar renewed condemnation of Iranian attacks on Kuwaiti territory, called for full implementation of UNSC Resolution 2817 and for Iran to stop all acts obstructing transit passage in Hormuz or threatening Bab al-Mandab. Kuwait Times / KUNA (Kuwait statement to UNGA Second Committee)
    • 2026-10-13 07:03Z Iran other not_verified — Morning ~8:07am MT Oct 13 FULL-STACK: Iran International citing the Wall Street Journal: unnamed Iranian officials privately suggested Tehran could send forces into neighbouring countries if the US launches new strikes; warned Arab officials Saudi oil facilities could be targeted; told mediators it could try to sink US warships. Countries/timing not specified. Iran International citing The Wall Street Journal (Oct 13, 2026)
    • 2026-10-13 12:21Z Iran other official_statement — Morning ~8:07am MT Oct 13 FULL-STACK: Mehr/Tasnim: Deputy FM Kazem Gharibabadi told RIA Novosti that if the US resumes military aggression, consequences will reach beyond the region; US knows Iran's conditions and Iran will take reciprocal steps once they are met. Mehr News Agency / Tasnim (Deputy FM Kazem Gharibabadi via RIA Novosti)
    • 2026-10-13 23:00Z Iran other analysis — Evening ~7:46pm MT Oct 13 FULL: CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 13: Iranian officials warned Arab officials/mediators (WSJ) they would 'more aggressively' target US forces and naval vessels and regional energy (incl. Saudi oil) if conflict resumes; reported IRGC tests of 30+ Emad / Kheibar Shekan missiles Oct 11 (Tehran, Alborz, central Iran), Shahed-136 launches (Kashan), SAM launches (Esfahan, Yazd, Damavand) and the Jalja CTP-ISW Iran Update (Oct 13, 2026)
    • 2026-10-15 23:00Z Iran other not_verified — Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: CTP-ISW's Oct 15 Iran Update reported, citing unspecified Lebanese military sources speaking to Emirati media, that Iran instructed Hezbollah to prepare to participate in an 'imminent' regional conflict with the US and Israel and raise readiness to 'advanced levels'. Its US/partner military operations, Iranian strike campaign, US–Iran negotiations and Iranian domestic sections each sai CTP-ISW Iran Update (criticalthreats.org)
    • 2026-10-16 11:40Z Other other official_statement — Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Iran International reported Qatar's UN ambassador Sheikha Alya Ahmed bin Saif Al Thani condemned Iranian attacks on Qatar and other countries and called for the Strait of Hormuz to be reopened without conditions, while saying Qatar continues mediating between the US and Iran. Iran International (relaying Qatar UN ambassador)

    8. Claims to watch next week

    Open, contested or unconfirmed items worth following. This is not a forecast — no predictions are made.

    • contradiction Morning ~7:50am MT Oct 10 FULL-STACK: AAP: vessel owner NVTrans told AAP the NV Sunshine was not attacked, no engine-room fire occurred and all crew are safe — directly contradicting the IRGC Navy claim (Tasnim/Sepah News) that it struck the ship on the 'illegal' southern route. AAP (statement from NVTrans)
    • contradiction Midday ~12:00pm MT Oct 12 FULL-STACK: Iran's ambassador to Britain Seyed Ali Mousavi denied Tehran's involvement after being summoned to the Foreign Office. @IranIntl_En
    • contradiction EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: ABC News live (12:25pm EDT): a US official said Iran lied about the cargo ship that sank Wednesday and that Iran attacked it, likely with a missile — directly contradicting the IRGC Navy statement (Mehr/Tasnim/Sepah News) that the container carrier sank after hitting a naval mine on an 'unauthorized' route. MPA Singapore says GFS Pride was struck by an unknown projectile. Marisks: no i ABC News (Steve Beynon) — unnamed US official
    • contradiction Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 15: The National (updated Oct 15): Singapore-flagged GFS Pride sank after unidentified projectile strike; all 21 crew evacuated safely (Singapore MPA). IRGC claimed naval mine on 'unauthorised' route; maritime security firm Marisks found no independent evidence supporting a mine and described Iran's claims as consistent with a psychological operations campaign. Unverified social posts alle The National (citing Marisks; Singapore MPA; IRGC)
    • open Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: Mehr (IRGC Navy PR): a container carrier carrying more than 2,500 containers sank Wednesday morning in waters south of the Strait of Hormuz after hitting a naval mine and catching fire; vessel allegedly using unauthorized/high-risk route; IRGC Navy warns local vessels/fishermen about floating containers. Also relayed by Iran International and Press TV X. Correlates in time/place with R Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Public Relations)
    • territory Whether any of this week’s territorial claims (Section 4) appear in independent assessed-control reporting; this site’s EST territory layer showed no assessed change this week.

    9. Sources (114)

    Show all source links
    1. www.iranintl.com/en/liveblog/202610105959 Iran International liveblog (Oct 12, 20:06 GMT+1) · 6 claim(s)
    2. maritime-executive.com/article/ukmto-reports-third-strike-in The Maritime Executive (also TradeWinds, Tasnim photo) · 2 claim(s)
    3. www.iranintl.com/en/202610101543 Iran International (relaying Bloomberg) · 2 claim(s)
    4. www.iranintl.com/en/202610122524 Iran International citing Iranian state media · 2 claim(s)
    5. www.iranintl.com/en/202610137695 Iran International (Trump remarks / Truth Social) · 2 claim(s)
    6. www.iranintl.com/en/202610138563 Iran International citing The Wall Street Journal (Oct 13, 2026) · 2 claim(s)
    7. www.seatrade-maritime.com/security/iran-claims-mine-sank-con Seatrade Maritime (Gary Howard) citing Vanguard Tech · 2 claim(s)
    8. aapnews.aap.com.au/news/iran-strikes-gas-tanker-in-strait-of AAP (statement from NVTrans) · 1 claim(s)
    9. abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-updates-tru ABC News (Steve Beynon) — unnamed US official · 1 claim(s)
    10. en.aletihad.ae/news/uae/4697853/uae-national-guard-rescues-2 Aletihad News Center (WAM) · 1 claim(s)
    11. en.mehrnews.com/news/248460/Over-50-combat-support-units-dep Mehr News Agency (Army Ground Force cmdr. Ali Jahanshahi) · 1 claim(s)
    12. en.mehrnews.com/news/248469/Giant-oil-tanker-targeted-caught Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy public relations statement) · 1 claim(s)
    13. en.mehrnews.com/news/248541/Iran-Army-Navy-built-new-weapons Mehr News Agency (Rear Adm. Bamani, Iran Army Navy) · 1 claim(s)
    14. en.mehrnews.com/news/248551/Iran-s-control-over-Hormuz-repre Mehr News Agency (SNSC Secretary Mohsen Rezaei) · 1 claim(s)
    15. en.mehrnews.com/news/248562/If-Iran-attacked-consequences-to Mehr News Agency / Tasnim (Deputy FM Kazem Gharibabadi via RIA Novosti) · 1 claim(s)
    16. en.mehrnews.com/news/248563/Yet-another-oil-tanker-burns-in- Mehr News Agency (Iran Army Navy Public Relations) · 1 claim(s)
    17. en.mehrnews.com/news/248568/If-US-ships-approach-Hormuz-Stra Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Cdr Ali Ozmaei) · 1 claim(s)
    18. en.mehrnews.com/news/248569/US-to-have-so-many-POWs-in-Iran- Mehr News Agency (Brig. Gen. Mohammad Reza Naqdi) · 1 claim(s)
    19. en.mehrnews.com/news/248584/Drone-hit-a-boat-off-southern-Ir Mehr News; Anadolu Agency; Reuters via Tasnim · 1 claim(s)
    20. en.mehrnews.com/news/248588/Container-carrier-sinks-in-Strai Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Public Relations) · 1 claim(s)
    21. en.mehrnews.com/news/248591/Iran-not-shy-away-from-dealing-w Mehr News Agency (IRGC Navy Chief Ali Ozmaei) · 1 claim(s)
    22. en.mehrnews.com/news/248594/Basiji-woman-cmdr-martyred-in-so Mehr News; @PressTV; IRNA · 1 claim(s)
    23. en.mehrnews.com/news/248602/Strait-of-Hormuz-closed-transit- Mehr News Agency (Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari); Press TV; ISNA · 1 claim(s)
    24. en.mehrnews.com/news/248608/Violating-oil-tanker-catches-fir Mehr News Agency (Iran Army Navy Public Relations); @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    25. en.mehrnews.com/news/248625/Iran-Army-Navy-identifies-violat Mehr News Agency (Iran Army Navy Public Relations) · 1 claim(s)
    26. english.aawsat.com/node/5328967 Asharq Al-Awsat (Reuters) quoting Donald Trump on Truth Social · 1 claim(s)
    27. english.aawsat.com/node/5329024 Asharq Al-Awsat relaying The Wall Street Journal (Oct 13, 2026) · 1 claim(s)
    28. gcaptain.com/bulk-carrier-sinks-weeks-after-deadly-strait-of Reuters via gCaptain; Seatrade Maritime (Vanguard Tech); Washington Post · 1 claim(s)
    29. gcaptain.com/container-ship-sinks-near-hormuz-after-being-hi Reuters via gCaptain; CNA/MPA Singapore; NAVAREA IX 373/26 · 1 claim(s)
    30. gulfnews.com/world/mena/us-iran-war-yemen-says-950-houthis-k Gulf News liveblog (AP/AFP) quoting MI5 DG Ken McCallum; Iran International X · 1 claim(s)
    31. kuwaittimes.com/article/51496/kuwait/kuwait-condemns-iranian Kuwait Times / KUNA (Kuwait statement to UNGA Second Committee) · 1 claim(s)
    32. news.usni.org/2026/10/12/u-k-royal-navy-destroyer-returns-ho USNI News (Dzirhan Mahadzir) citing Royal Navy / UK MoD release · 1 claim(s)
    33. news.usni.org/2026/10/13/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker- USNI News Fleet and Marine Tracker (Oct 13, 2026) · 1 claim(s)
    34. newsonair.gov.in/two-tankers-attacked-near-strait-of-hormuz- All India Radio (Akashvani) citing Sonowal on X and India MEA · 1 claim(s)
    35. omidradio.com/en/2026/10/10/wall-street-journal-pentagon-rev Omid Radio (relaying The Wall Street Journal) · 1 claim(s)
    36. regulasshipping.com/blog/ukmto-logs-a-sohar-anchorage-uav-hi UKMTO Warning 165-26 + Update 001 (via Regulas Shipping summary); India MEA / Sonowal · 1 claim(s)
    37. thejewishedition.com/news/middle-east-levant/2026/10/12/iran The Jewish Edition citing Channel 14 / Saberin News; Liveuamap (cite-only) · 1 claim(s)
    38. www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/container-ship-tanker-struck-by Anadolu Agency (AA) citing UKMTO · 1 claim(s)
    39. www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/iran-s-irgc-says-3rd-off Anadolu Agency (also TASS) citing IRGC Navy public relations · 1 claim(s)
    40. www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/10/exclusive-iran-ships-so Reuters (via Al-Monitor); also Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    41. www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/10/iran-shifting-tactics-s Reuters via Al-Monitor (Hafezi/Saul/Stewart) · 1 claim(s)
    42. www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/10/12/iran-sets-crosshairs-on Al Jazeera (Maziar Motamedi) citing Mohsen Rezaei / Iranian state media; Windward · 1 claim(s)
    43. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/14/iran-steps-up-hormuz-surve Al Jazeera (Priyanka Shankar) citing UKMTO/Kpler/Reuters/Press TV · 1 claim(s)
    44. www.bbc.com/news/articles/cmde8dpg8g0no BBC Verify · 1 claim(s)
    45. www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/vessels-singapore-register CNA citing Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) · 1 claim(s)
    46. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-11-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update, October 11, 2026 (criticalthreats.org) · 1 claim(s)
    47. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-12-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update, October 12, 2026 (criticalthreats.org) · 1 claim(s)
    48. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-13-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update (Oct 13, 2026) · 1 claim(s)
    49. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-14-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update, October 14, 2026 (criticalthreats.org) · 1 claim(s)
    50. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-update-october-15-2026 CTP-ISW Iran Update (criticalthreats.org) · 1 claim(s)
    51. www.forth.news/lists/centcom/CfuUiQPmfHxXfWGGkPzeZ US Central Command (CENTCOM) press release; also @CENTCOM via Middle East Eye · 1 claim(s)
    52. www.foxnews.com/live-news/us-iran-war-peace-donald-trump-str Fox News Digital live (relaying pro-IRGC Telegram post) · 1 claim(s)
    53. www.iranintl.com/en/202610104268 Iran International · 1 claim(s)
    54. www.iranintl.com/en/202610106673 Iran International (citing Bessent / Newsmax) · 1 claim(s)
    55. www.iranintl.com/en/202610109658 Iran International (citing ISIS) · 1 claim(s)
    56. www.iranintl.com/en/202610120644 Iran International citing UK Prime Minister in parliament · 1 claim(s)
    57. www.iranintl.com/en/202610126090 Iran International (Maryam Sinaiee), Oct 12 23:59 GMT+1; also @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    58. www.iranintl.com/en/202610126636 Iran International (citing Safavi remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    59. www.iranintl.com/en/202610154035 Iran International (relaying Reuters investigation) · 1 claim(s)
    60. www.iranintl.com/en/202610162797 Iran International (relaying Qatar UN ambassador) · 1 claim(s)
    61. www.irantimes.com/news/iran-says-us-response-to-its-proposal Reuters (via Iran Times reprint) citing Iranian state media · 1 claim(s)
    62. www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-911224 The Jerusalem Post (Ben Caspit, citing Maariv) · 1 claim(s)
    63. www.lloydslist.com/LL1158715/Hormuz-ship-attacks-hit-record- Lloyd's List · 1 claim(s)
    64. www.newkerala.com/news/a/indian-crew-22-safe-after-drone-att NewKerala / ANI (Indian Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal on X) · 1 claim(s)
    65. www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/10/13/778247/iran-navy-deploys Press TV (Iran Army Navy statement) · 1 claim(s)
    66. www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesman/joint-stateme US State Department, Office of the Spokesman (Oct 12, 2026) · 1 claim(s)
    67. www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/12/3720700/another-tanker- Tasnim (IRGC-affiliated) citing IRGC Navy public relations · 1 claim(s)
    68. www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/12/3720885/security-won-t- Tasnim; also Reuters via Al-Monitor · 1 claim(s)
    69. www.thenationalnews.com/news/gulf/2026/10/12/gargash-calls-f The National (UAE) citing Anwar Gargash on X · 1 claim(s)
    70. www.thenationalnews.com/news/gulf/2026/10/15/fire-sinking-an The National (citing Marisks; Singapore MPA; IRGC) · 1 claim(s)
    71. www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-reportedly-pressed-trump-to- Times of Israel (citing Channel 12 News) · 1 claim(s)
    72. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261010-ukmto_advisory UKMTO; Ambrey via monitor-the-situation.com · 1 claim(s)
    73. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261010-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO · 1 claim(s)
    74. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261011-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 164-26 (PDF) · 1 claim(s)
    75. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261012-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 166-26 (PDF); @UK_MTO post · 1 claim(s)
    76. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261012-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 167-26 (PDF) · 1 claim(s)
    77. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261012-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 168-26 (PDF) · 1 claim(s)
    78. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261012-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO Warning 169-26 (PDF) · 1 claim(s)
    79. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261013-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO WARNING 170-26 (via @UK_MTO) · 1 claim(s)
    80. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261013-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO WARNING 171-26 (via @UK_MTO) · 1 claim(s)
    81. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261014-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO WARNING 172-26 (via @UK_MTO) · 1 claim(s)
    82. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/20261014-ukmto_warning_ UKMTO WARNING 173-26 (via @UK_MTO) · 1 claim(s)
    83. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-104-jmic-advisor JMIC Update 104 Advisory Note, 11 October (PDF via UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    84. www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-105-jmic-advisor JMIC Update 105 Advisory Note, 15 October (PDF via UKMTO / @UK_MTO) · 1 claim(s)
    85. www.worldports.org/more-tankers-struck-as-irgc-expands-threa World Ports Organization (Carlos Nieves) · 1 claim(s)
    86. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2110108416077123910 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    87. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2110372911378829540 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    88. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2110455930559086927 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    89. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2110737854481465457 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    90. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2110780675238289548 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    91. x.com/CENTCOM/status/2110910388489658403 @CENTCOM · 1 claim(s)
    92. x.com/GlobalDefenseAn/status/2108737245058637985 @GlobalDefenseAn (Global Defense Analysis) · 1 claim(s)
    93. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108928984025038927 @IranIntl_En (citing Kpler) · 1 claim(s)
    94. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108963216608887280 @IranIntl_En (relaying Saudi GACA statement / Reuters) · 1 claim(s)
    95. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2108966683792875649 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    96. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2109038761472582065 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    97. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2109674088587276586 @IranIntl_En (relaying Trump Truth Social post) · 1 claim(s)
    98. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2109686221563675104 @IranIntl_En · 1 claim(s)
    99. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110157108125852073 @IranIntl_En (citing @TankerTrackers) · 1 claim(s)
    100. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110179625037131889 @IranIntl_En (Trump rally remarks) · 1 claim(s)
    101. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110480096691949650 @IranIntl_En (relaying Iranian state media) · 1 claim(s)
    102. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110818858944565479 @IranIntl_En (relaying CBS News) · 1 claim(s)
    103. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110857835064246778 @IranIntl_En (relaying Iranian state media) · 1 claim(s)
    104. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110882907866968080 @IranIntl_En (relaying Israeli TV, Israeli security officials) · 1 claim(s)
    105. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2110897291523412239 @IranIntl_En (relaying Newsmax interview) · 1 claim(s)
    106. x.com/IranIntl_En/status/2111080292391788995 @IranIntl_En (relaying UKMTO) · 1 claim(s)
    107. x.com/MenchOsint/status/2109753422685598119 @MenchOsint · 1 claim(s)
    108. x.com/MenchOsint/status/2109804533396168785 @MenchOsint · 1 claim(s)
    109. x.com/PressTV/status/2109710692076900770 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    110. x.com/PressTV/status/2109755099191095470 @PressTV · 1 claim(s)
    111. x.com/PressTV/status/2111050616654942519 @PressTV (relaying Artesh spokesman Akraminia) · 1 claim(s)
    112. x.com/RyanRozbiani/status/2110009442993373261 @RyanRozbiani (X relay of IRGC Navy statement) · 1 claim(s)
    113. x.com/TankerTrackers/status/2108880499389198584 @TankerTrackers (TankerTrackers.com) · 1 claim(s)
    114. x.com/TankerTrackers/status/2109016489990746167 @TankerTrackers · 1 claim(s)

    Annex A — Multi-day, cumulative & nationwide figures (listed, not summed)

    • 2026-10-14 · 15 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · earlier event (before window) — “UKMTO recorded 15 attacks Oct 6–14 (11 in past four days)” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “second vessel sunk since Feb 28 war start per IMO data” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Reuters/IMO: GFS Pride and Cape Dao are the 2nd and 3rd vessels sunk since the war began Feb 28. WaPo and Guardian also report the bulk carrier sank Wednesday” source
    • 2026-10-15 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Lloyd's List reported that Iran's escalating campaign against commercial shipping has pushed attacks around the Strait of Hormuz to a record monthly high, with a wideni” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 12 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: BBC Verify analysis of UKMTO incident reports said ship-attack reports near Hormuz hit a record weekly high (12 vessels between 5 and 11 October), with four further rep” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 4 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: BBC Verify analysis of UKMTO incident reports said ship-attack reports near Hormuz hit a record weekly high (12 vessels between 5 and 11 October), with four further rep” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 12 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Iran International reported UKMTO said Friday that 12 attacks on vessels were reported over the past week in the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Iran International reported UKMTO said Friday that 12 attacks on vessels were reported over the past week in the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman” source

    Annex B — Component figures (breakdowns of an official tally; not summed)

    None.

    Annex C — Figure ledger (30 extracted figures)

    Every figure extracted, with its source
    • 2026-10-13 · 50,000 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: UKMTO WARNING 172-26 (Attack, Source Verified, time-late): a 50,000 tonne container ship was struck by an unknown projectile whilst conducting an inbound Strait of Horm” source
    • 2026-10-13 · 19,000 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 14: UKMTO WARNING 173-26 (Attack, Source Verified, time-late): a 19,000 tonne container ship was struck by an unknown projectile whilst conducting an outbound SoH transit o” source
    • 2026-10-13 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): UKMTO WARNING 170-26 (Attack, Source Verified): verified source reports a container ship was struck by an unknown projectile in ” source
    • 2026-10-13 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “Midday ~1:46pm MT Oct 13 LIGHT→FULL (UKMTO 170/171 new Hormuz attacks): UKMTO WARNING 171-26 (Attack, Source Verified): verified source reports a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile in the Stra” source
    • 2026-10-13 · 5 Drones / UAVs · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “Coalition says it intercepted 5 drones and 6 missiles targeting Riyadh, Dhahran and the south” source
    • 2026-10-13 · 6 Missiles / guided bombs · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “Coalition says it intercepted 5 drones and 6 missiles targeting Riyadh, Dhahran and the south” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “LIGHT 1:46pm MT Oct 14: Mehr + Anadolu Agency + Reuters (via Tasnim): Hormozgan provincial authorities said an unidentified drone struck a fishing boat off Sirik” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 3 Civilians wounded / injured · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “three fishermen injured, taken ashore” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 15 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · earlier event (before window) — “UKMTO recorded 15 attacks Oct 6–14 (11 in past four days)” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “second vessel sunk since Feb 28 war start per IMO data” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “Press TV (X): a police officer and a Basij commander were killed in two terrorist attacks in Sistan-Baluchestan” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 2 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “Press TV (X): a police officer and a Basij commander were killed in two terrorist attacks in Sistan-Baluchestan” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Iranian state / IRGC sources · event — “IRNA headline: police officer killed in terrorist attack in southeastern Iran” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Civilians killed · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: Reuters (via gCaptain / Al-Monitor): Cape Dao sank close to the strait, weeks after being struck by a projectile on Sep 23 (one crew member killed then), per IMO data o” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Reuters/IMO: GFS Pride and Cape Dao are the 2nd and 3rd vessels sunk since the war began Feb 28. WaPo and Guardian also report the bulk carrier sank Wednesday” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 2 Vehicles / special equipment · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “CTP-ISW Oct 14 (citing WSJ): two Emirati cargo vessels sank in the strait on Oct 14.” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “CTP-ISW Oct 14 (citing WSJ): two Emirati cargo vessels sank in the strait on Oct 14.” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “EVENING FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 14: CTP-ISW Iran Update Oct 14: recent waves of Iranian attacks indicate Iran retains the ability to effectively target vessels in/near Hormuz, having either overcome earli” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 24 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “Iran struck at least 24 vessels Sep 28–Oct 11” source
    • 2026-10-14 · 2 Vehicles / special equipment · target Iran / IRGC · claimed by Independent analysts (ISW/CTP etc.) · event — “Iranian attacks sank two Emirati cargo vessels Oct 14 (WSJ)” source
    • 2026-10-15 · 1 Energy infrastructure (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Media report: Iran International · event — “Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Iran International summarised a Reuters investigation finding that Iran and its allies hit water plants, airports, refineries and a nuclear power station across the Per” source
    • 2026-10-15 · 8 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “eight unknown-projectile attacks (UKMTO 166–173-26) on Oct 11 and Oct 13” source
    • 2026-10-15 · 3 Personnel killed · target United States / partners · claimed by US military / CENTCOM / US officials · event — “CENTCOM says three US service members were killed in July.” source
    • 2026-10-15 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Lloyd's List reported that Iran's escalating campaign against commercial shipping has pushed attacks around the Strait of Hormuz to a record monthly high, with a wideni” source
    • 2026-10-15 · 1 Civilian buildings (incidents) · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by US government (White House / State / Treasury) · event — “Evening FULL ~7:46pm MT Oct 15: Iran International relayed a CBS News report, citing sources familiar with the matter, that the White House and Pentagon have prepared plans to use a Massive Ordnance A” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 12 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: BBC Verify analysis of UKMTO incident reports said ship-attack reports near Hormuz hit a record weekly high (12 vessels between 5 and 11 October), with four further rep” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 4 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: BBC Verify analysis of UKMTO incident reports said ship-attack reports near Hormuz hit a record weekly high (12 vessels between 5 and 11 October), with four further rep” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 12 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Iran International reported UKMTO said Friday that 12 attacks on vessels were reported over the past week in the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 1 Ships / vessels · target Other / commercial shipping & third parties · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · aggregate — “Morning FULL ~7:46am MT Oct 16: Iran International reported UKMTO said Friday that 12 attacks on vessels were reported over the past week in the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman” source
    • 2026-10-16 · 10 Launched against: Ground attacks / engagements · target Side unclear (target/victim not stated or not parseable) · claimed by Maritime monitors / industry (UKMTO, JMIC, IMO, trackers) · event — “ten of the attacks were in the Strait of Hormuz.” source

    Annex D — Method

    Figures are extracted automatically from the English summaries of this map’s claim records (claims.json) by fixed text rules; nothing is estimated or imputed. Each figure is credited to the party the claim cites (the claimant) and assigned to the side that the claim says suffered the loss. Per-event figures are de-duplicated: repeat reports of the same event (same UTC day, same ~10 km area, same claimant) count once, and when they disagree the range runs from the lowest to the highest figure reported. Rolling official tallies (e.g. daily General Staff / MoD loss counts) are kept in a separate table and are never added to per-event sums. Multi-day, nationwide, monthly or cumulative figures are listed separately and not summed. Totals from different claimants are never added together. Separate incidents in the same area on the same day may merge into one range, so per-event totals can undercount; rule-based extraction can also misread text — every figure links to its source in the ledger so it can be checked. Synthesis / cross-source ‘contradiction’ records are excluded from all figures to avoid double counting. Losses are grouped by the side that suffered them, parsed from the claim text and claimant (never from the map’s side tag); figures whose victim cannot be determined are shown under ‘Side unclear’. Official day tallies are bucketed by UTC date, so an interim evening update and the next-morning full-day figure can overlap — treat tally sums as upper bounds.